Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 6, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Arouca
Famalicao 		19.3%
57.7%		23.0%
+355
-125
+350
-125
0.94
1.80		2.74
o2½-105
u2½-114

Games for Mar 5, 2026
Games for Mar 7, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Alverca
Moreirense		23.8%
49.7%		26.5%
+326
-101
+335
+100
1
2		-0.72677-0.74429-0.69870
Santa Clara
Famalicao		26.5%
47.1%		26.3%
+267
+128
+275
+120
0
3		-0.85628-0.83637-0.75209
AVS
Arouca		16.8%
59.8%		23.5%
+346
-129
+405
-140
1
3		-0.63220-0.58933-0.51468
Gil Vicente FC
Nacional		33.6%
37.3%		29.2%
+203
+171
+190
+175
2
0		-1.14479-1.11663-1.09124
Sporting CP
Casa Pia AC		76.7%
8.0%		15.3%
-283
+802
-300
+850
2
0		-0.33628-0.33774-0.26496
AVS
FC Vizela		31.2%
40.1%		28.7%
+354
-121
+350
-125
2
2		-1.36152-1.34519-1.24806
FC Vizela
AVS		21.1%
53.7%		25.2%

+190
+155
0
3		-0.98438-0.62232
Benfica
Braga		44.4%
29.5%		26.1%
-175
+466
-190
+500
1
1		-1.54571-1.52956-1.34151
Moreirense
AVS		29.0%
42.6%		28.4%
+340
-111
+330
-110
3
0		-1.52551-1.50787-1.23619
Santa Clara
SC Farense		37.3%
32.7%		30.0%
+178
+175
+175
+175
2
1		-1.05581-1.06025-0.98497
Vitoria
Sporting CP		8.9%
74.9%		16.2%
+900
-315
+960
-360
0
2		-0.30783-0.29618-0.28907
Nacional
Porto		5.1%
83.5%		11.5%
+845
-322
+800
-320
0
3		-0.30808-0.32223-0.18087
Boavista
Arouca		16.0%
61.3%		22.7%
+283
+105
+280
-105
1
4		-0.73900-0.72081-0.48929
Estrela
Estoril		24.5%
48.3%		27.2%
+173
+160
+160
+175
0
4		-1.00893-1.06161-0.72703
Gil Vicente FC
Rio Ave		27.0%
44.2%		28.8%
+162
+181
+165
+180
1
1		-1.24862-1.19806-1.24493
Casa Pia AC
Famalicao		20.1%
56.3%		23.7%
+330
-110
+350
-120
1
2		-0.68246-0.65433-0.57504
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).