Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Vitoria
Tondela		38.8%
32.6%		28.6%
+166
+198
+175
+175
1
0		-1.00398-1.06025-0.94641
Rio Ave
Alverca		32.0%
37.9%		30.0%
+250
+121
+265
+115
1
1		-1.24500-1.21345-1.20254
Arouca
Estoril		24.9%
47.2%		27.9%
+300
+100
+285
-105
3
4		-0.72054-0.71756-0.75109
Santa Clara
Gil Vicente FC		30.8%
40.1%		29.0%
+365
+102
+315
+110
0
1		-0.73424-0.79118-0.91270
Braga
Porto		12.5%
68.7%		18.8%
+550
-181
+550
-195
1
2		-0.47805-0.46291-0.37612
Moreirense
Arouca		25.8%
46.2%		28.0%
+191
+170
+190
+155
2
0		-1.08963-1.11301-1.35390
Tondela
AVS		36.8%
34.3%		28.9%
+151
+215
+145
+220
2
2		-1.18019-1.16254-1.23991
Benfica
Vitoria		55.9%
20.4%		23.6%
-208
+642
-210
+560
3
0		-0.41922-0.43936-0.58162
Estrela
Casa Pia AC		24.8%
48.3%		26.9%
+255
+126
+240
+130
5
3		-1.31264-1.27397-1.39437
Estoril
Rio Ave		30.0%
40.2%		29.9%
+235
+131
+230
+130
4
0		-1.23843-1.24303-1.20484
Famalicao
Nacional		34.2%
38.2%		27.7%
+134
+215
+125
+220
1
0		-0.88751-0.86074-1.07376
Alverca
Sporting CP		3.1%
88.3%		8.6%
+2174
-865
+2000
-975
0
2		-0.14438-0.14628-0.12485
Porto
Moreirense		68.2%
12.3%		19.4%
-343
+1000
-400
+1050
2
1		-0.29361-0.27278-0.38242
Casa Pia AC
Braga		8.3%
76.4%		15.3%
+675
-218
+720
-250
0
4		-0.41133-0.38649-0.26957
Sporting CP
Tondela		69.7%
11.8%		18.5%
-405
+1040
-425
+1025
3
0		-0.25996-0.26004-0.36123
Vitoria
Famalicao		31.4%
41.0%		27.6%
+375
-121
+375
-125
0
2		-0.63316-0.63828-0.89057
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).