Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 19, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Braga
Estoril 		46.8%
26.5%		26.7%
-175
+460
-175
+490
1.43
1.00		2.43
o2¾+100
u2¾-120

Games for Dec 18, 2025
Games for Dec 20, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Sporting CP
Estoril		57.7%
21.6%		20.7%
-163
+514
-165
+480
1
0		-0.50873-0.52396-0.55061
Moreirense
Porto		11.1%
79.2%		9.6%
+1663
-500
+1700
-650
0
5		-0.20458-0.19152-0.23280
Pacos
FC Vizela		31.0%
41.1%		27.9%
+242
+138
+220
+135
1
1		-1.21153-1.21244-1.27615
Vitoria
Arouca		32.7%
38.6%		28.7%
+108
+290
+100
+280
2
2		-1.26086-1.30048-1.24901
Gil Vicente FC
Belenenses		30.5%
39.0%		30.6%
+132
+270
+125
+230
1
1		-1.20457-1.24316-1.18538
Maritimo
Famalicao		18.3%
64.6%		17.1%
+394
-120
+375
-135
0
0		-1.34404-1.37215-1.76568
Santa Clara
Portimonense		26.2%
46.6%		27.2%
+261
+135
+260
+120
1
2		-0.88129-0.83704-0.76458
Estoril
Tondela		31.6%
39.8%		28.6%
+136
+226
+135
+215
2
1		-0.88637-0.90387-1.15271
Arouca
Maritimo		31.2%
39.5%		29.4%
+263
+127
+255
+125
2
2		-1.19343-1.17899-1.22499
Belenenses
Vitoria		28.0%
43.8%		28.2%
+761
-246
+750
-260
0
0		-1.61666-1.59884-1.26521
FC Vizela
Gil Vicente FC		26.5%
47.8%		25.7%
+227
+144
+230
+135
2
2		-1.19743-1.19241-1.35880
Portimonense
Boavista		33.4%
35.2%		31.4%
+179
+188
+170
+185
1
1		-1.16146-1.16309-1.15827
Famalicao
Moreirense		35.3%
36.4%		28.3%
+155
+194
+155
+170
2
2		-1.25194-1.26819-1.26249
Porto
Sporting CP		32.1%
39.9%		28.0%
+215
+152
+185
+160
1
1		-1.19175-1.21002-1.27318
Benfica
Santa Clara		60.0%
20.9%		19.1%
-170
+504
-165
+460
5
0		-0.49374-0.52373-0.51048
Braga
Pacos		48.2%
27.5%		24.3%
-119
+367
-125
+365
0
0		-1.32776-1.31793-1.41391
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).