Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Famalicao
Vitoria 		32.5%
40.8%		26.7%
+193
+144
+200
+140
1.18
1.35		2.53
o2¼-115
u2¼-105

Alverca
Gil Vicente FC 		17.8%
58.9%		23.3%
+430
-150
+445
-150
0.84
1.75		2.59
o2¼-115
u2¼-105

Benfica
Arouca 		73.5%
9.4%		17.1%
-365
+900
-370
+930
2.25
0.66		2.91
o3+102
u3-122

Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Vitoria
Gil Vicente FC		28.8%
44.0%		27.2%
+240
+125
+225
+125
2
3		-0.84395-0.86034-0.82082
Arouca
Belenenses		29.7%
40.7%		29.7%
+169
+207
+155
+200
1
2		-1.14256-1.14558-0.90012
Famalicao
Braga		22.8%
58.4%		18.8%
+486
-154
+480
-170
2
2		-1.43717-1.43700-1.67057
Pacos
Benfica		9.0%
84.4%		6.7%
+1530
-526
+1400
-525
0
2		-0.20521-0.22269-0.17009
Maritimo
Portimonense		17.9%
62.0%		20.1%
+295
+105
+265
+115
2
1		-1.41589-1.34504-1.72065
Tondela
Boavista		25.4%
48.8%		25.7%
+286
+115
+290
+100
1
1		-1.23141-1.27307-1.35747
Porto
Estoril		40.2%
32.0%		27.8%
-323
+989

3
2		-0.30629-0.91222
Moreirense
FC Vizela		30.5%
41.5%		28.0%
+236
+137
+225
+130
1
0		-1.23698-1.22762-1.18702
Sporting CP
Santa Clara		63.6%
18.3%		18.1%
-230
+672
-250
+800
2
3		-2.09330-2.24857-1.69560
Belenenses
FC Vizela		28.0%
43.5%		28.5%
+428
-123
+390
-130
0
2		-0.61739-0.62027-0.83321
Benfica
Porto		31.1%
42.8%		26.1%
+380
-124
+350
-130
1
3		-0.61345-0.61990-0.84821
Braga
Arouca		51.1%
25.9%		23.0%
-122
+389
-120
+370
6
0		-0.62775-0.65716-0.67078
Santa Clara
Pacos		29.4%
42.8%		27.8%
+200
+169
+195
+170
1
2		-1.01481-1.04044-0.84880
Portimonense
Sporting CP		13.5%
72.8%		13.7%
+1186
-345
+1150
-380
2
3		-0.28231-0.28263-0.31766
Boavista
Vitoria		27.5%
45.9%		26.6%
+470
-145
+455
-160
1
1		-1.37279-1.41165-1.32475
Estoril
Moreirense		50.7%
25.1%		24.2%
+154
+214
+180
+175
0
1		-1.16954-1.06430-1.38406
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).