Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 19, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Braga
Estoril 		46.8%
26.5%		26.7%
-141
+380
-160
+430
1.43
1.00		2.43
o2½-122
u2¾-124

Overall Bet Value Active
Games for Dec 18, 2025
Games for Dec 20, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Pacos
Portimonense		27.1%
46.0%		26.9%
+240
+133
+250
+130
1
0		-1.26862-1.30001-1.30589
Gil Vicente FC
Santa Clara		25.8%
48.4%		25.7%
+200
+160
+195
+165
0
1		-1.01088-1.02304-0.72493
Tondela
Benfica		9.6%
82.7%		7.6%
+2100
-665
+2500
-950
1
2		-0.15471-0.14742-0.18966
Vitoria
Braga		16.8%
69.0%		14.1%
+355
-129
+330
-125
0
0		-1.35023-1.38502-1.95666
Sporting CP
Famalicao		51.3%
25.8%		22.9%
-180
+548
-190
+600
1
1		-1.43050-1.43318-1.47412
Arouca
Porto		9.1%
83.3%		7.6%
+1410
-550
+1600
-625
0
3		-0.21986-0.19713-0.18273
Boavista
FC Vizela		32.2%
38.5%		29.4%
+205
+149
+210
+145
1
1		-1.19326-1.19448-1.22496
Maritimo
Estoril		25.8%
48.0%		26.2%
+277
+125
+300
+110
1
2		-0.84070-0.78955-0.73430
Santa Clara
Boavista		31.8%
38.4%		29.8%
+195
+161
+200
+160
0
2		-1.00611-1.00550-0.95782
Estoril
Pacos		24.3%
52.3%		23.4%
+260
+125
+280
+115
3
1		-1.31599-1.38462-1.41502
FC Vizela
Vitoria		26.1%
49.3%		24.6%
+326
-110
+350
-120
0
4		-0.67936-0.65433-0.70686
Porto
Maritimo		71.6%
14.4%		14.0%
-220
+710
-240
+775
1
1		-1.49942-1.51000-1.96676
Portimonense
Tondela		37.5%
32.1%		30.4%
+173
+191
+170
+180
3
0		-1.02650-1.04214-0.98035
Belenenses
Sporting CP		11.7%
75.6%		12.7%
+1500
-500
+1500
-500
0
2		-0.23240-0.23081-0.27937
Benfica
Gil Vicente FC		58.9%
21.5%		19.6%
-150
+435
-150
+440
2
0		-0.55837-0.56138-0.53004
Braga
Moreirense		43.5%
30.2%		26.3%
-145
+400
-150
+450
3
2		-0.57545-0.56512-0.83142
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).