Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Famalicao
Vitoria 		32.5%
40.8%		26.7%
+193
+144
+200
+140
1.18
1.35		2.53
o2¼-115
u2¼-105

Alverca
Gil Vicente FC 		17.8%
58.9%		23.3%
+430
-150
+445
-150
0.84
1.75		2.59
o2¼-115
u2¼-105

Benfica
Arouca 		73.5%
9.4%		17.1%
-365
+900
-370
+930
2.25
0.66		2.91
o3+102
u3-122

Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
FC Vizela
Maritimo		33.1%
36.6%		30.3%
+170
+182
+160
+180
0
2		-1.06706-1.08246-1.00496
Gil Vicente FC
Tondela		34.0%
35.8%		30.2%
+126
+227
+115
+240
3
0		-0.84490-0.81744-1.07860
Belenenses
Braga		14.5%
71.6%		13.9%
+1286
-424
+1300
-475
0
1		-0.24495-0.24114-0.33406
Porto
FC Vizela		69.0%
16.3%		14.7%
-351
+982
-350
+1000
4
0		-0.28141-0.30059-0.37074
Moreirense
Boavista		28.2%
44.3%		27.5%
+179
+190
+175
+175
0
1		-1.08521-1.06025-0.81468
Maritimo
Benfica		6.2%
88.6%		5.2%
+1781
-526
+1900
-650
1
7		-0.19993-0.19189-0.12105
Sporting CP
Gil Vicente FC		60.9%
19.7%		19.3%
-125
+440
-160
+515
3
0		-0.59875-0.53616-0.49518
Arouca
Portimonense		22.6%
53.9%		23.5%
+313
+111
+280
+115
1
1		-1.20644-1.18101-1.44975
Pacos
Tondela		32.0%
39.1%		28.8%
+195
+162
+185
+155
1
0		-1.10256-1.09679-1.13828
Famalicao
Estoril		21.7%
59.1%		19.3%
+253
+155
+200
+135
2
2		-1.17009-1.27540-1.64558
Vitoria
Santa Clara		30.4%
41.5%		28.1%
+144
+235
+130
+215
0
1		-1.21578-1.19690-0.88039
FC Vizela
Arouca		28.2%
45.3%		26.6%
+164
+198
+155
+200
4
1		-0.99258-0.98305-1.26759
Braga
Porto		20.5%
62.0%		17.5%
+661
-224
+650
-240
0
1		-0.39972-0.39686-0.47763
Benfica
Famalicao		57.5%
23.2%		19.3%
-167
+489
-170
+465
4
1		-0.49880-0.51191-0.55262
Portimonense
Moreirense		34.7%
34.3%		31.0%
+227
+146
+230
+140
1
0		-1.20554-1.24039-1.05834
Estoril
Belenenses		52.8%
22.8%		24.4%
+129
+245
+120
+280
1
0		-0.87551-0.83822-0.63927
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).