Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 20, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Rio Ave
Gil Vicente FC 		17.1%
58.7%		24.2%
+335
-132
+400
-135
0.76
1.66		2.42
o2¼-114
u2¼-106

Moreirense
Estrela 		31.2%
39.8%		29.0%
+200
+149
+210
+140
1.02
1.18		2.20
o2¼-107
u2¼-112

Games for Dec 19, 2025
Games for Dec 21, 2025

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Braga
Estoril 		46.8%
26.5%		26.7%
-141
+380
-160
+430
2.43
o2½-122
u2¾-124

2nd H
61:00		0
1

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Famalicao
Arouca		37.6%
34.4%		28.0%
+170
+182
+175
+180
1
2		-1.08122-1.08232-1.06796
Maritimo
Belenenses		23.3%
50.0%		26.6%
+205
+165
+195
+170
2
1		-1.15296-1.13457-1.45487
Pacos
Boavista		30.7%
40.7%		28.6%
+160
+210
+150
+210
0
3		-1.16075-1.18581-0.89791
Moreirense
Santa Clara		28.8%
43.6%		27.6%
+310
+104
+325
-105
2
2		-1.24525-1.24320-1.28717
Porto
Famalicao		56.8%
23.2%		20.1%
-250
+683
-260
+725
2
1		-0.38353-0.37589-0.56607
Gil Vicente FC
Portimonense		25.2%
48.5%		26.3%
+215
+149
+210
+155
1
0		-1.18721-1.17837-1.37706
Sporting CP
Braga		35.3%
36.6%		28.2%
+145
+200
+155
+195
2
1		-0.94410-0.98840-1.04205
Arouca
Benfica		10.4%
81.5%		8.1%
+1163
-425
+1500
-500
0
2		-0.25528-0.23081-0.20426
Tondela
FC Vizela		27.8%
45.7%		26.5%
+200
+140
+200
+140
1
2		-0.91864-0.92284-0.78283
Vitoria
Estoril		32.5%
39.1%		28.4%
+145
+220
+165
+190
0
0		-1.19577-1.15265-1.25780
Boavista
Gil Vicente FC		28.6%
43.2%		28.2%
+370
-111
+400
-120
0
3		-0.68780-0.65792-0.83850
Famalicao
Pacos		31.7%
41.4%		26.9%
+200
+165
+200
+160
0
2		-1.00728-1.00550-0.88232
Belenenses
Porto		10.0%
79.7%		10.3%
+1500
-610
+1450
-625
0
2		-0.20125-0.19872-0.22729
Santa Clara
Tondela		37.4%
32.8%		29.7%
+143
+215
+145
+215
0
3		-1.19571-1.19448-1.11419
Portimonense
Vitoria		32.3%
37.9%		29.8%
+320
-104
+330
-105
1
0		-1.47872-1.50973-1.12930
Braga
Maritimo		59.0%
21.1%		19.9%
-125
+390
-125
+375
2
0		-0.63059-0.63828-0.52789
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).