Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 20, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Rio Ave
Gil Vicente FC 		17.1%
58.7%		24.2%
+335
-132
+400
-135
0.76
1.66		2.42
o2¼-114
u2¼-106

Moreirense
Estrela 		31.2%
39.8%		29.0%
+200
+149
+210
+140
1.02
1.18		2.20
o2¼-107
u2¼-112

Games for Dec 19, 2025
Games for Dec 21, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Braga
Maritimo		59.0%
21.1%		19.9%
-125
+390
-125
+375
2
0		-0.63059-0.63828-0.52789
Benfica
Moreirense		53.7%
24.4%		21.9%
-230
+630
-275
+750
2
1		-0.40455-0.35988-0.62105
Estoril
Arouca		29.1%
43.8%		27.1%
+255
+131
+235
+125
2
0		-1.29463-1.25836-1.23495
FC Vizela
Sporting CP		10.7%
79.7%		9.6%
+1100
-385
+1070
-385
0
3		-0.27379-0.27991-0.22670
Maritimo
Sporting CP		15.9%
68.7%		15.4%
+845
-303
+875
-315
1
5		-0.31809-0.32646-0.37603
Rio Ave
Nacional		40.4%
29.5%		30.0%
-167
+435
-170
+425
2
1		-0.51478-0.51395-0.90525
SC Farense
Santa Clara		27.6%
45.8%		26.6%
+253
+107
+240
+110
0
4		-0.77375-0.79644-0.78010
Braga
Portimonense		67.3%
17.2%		15.6%
+240
+138
+220
+130
0
0		-1.23008-1.24299-1.86098
Boavista
Gil Vicente FC		31.4%
38.6%		30.0%
+142
+215
+150
+200
2
1		-0.90827-0.97069-1.15776
Benfica
Vitoria		46.3%
28.7%		25.0%
+110
+241
+110
+215
3
1		-0.76875-0.79078-0.76919
Famalicao
Moreirense		32.2%
40.9%		26.9%
-115
+285
-115
+290
0
3		-1.40100-1.41399-0.89411
Belenenses
Porto		10.0%
79.8%		10.2%
+1200
-455
+1300
-500
0
4		-0.24030-0.23389-0.22536
Pacos
Tondela		45.6%
27.5%		27.0%
+134
+204
+145
+190
3
2		-0.89289-0.94631-0.78566
Vitoria
Maritimo		45.7%
27.6%		26.8%
+121
+268
+115
+275
0
0		-1.17941-1.19548-1.31778
Santa Clara
Belenenses		36.1%
32.0%		31.9%
+132
+234
+130
+230
2
0		-0.89028-0.88201-1.01860
Nacional
Famalicao		28.6%
45.5%		25.8%
+351
-133
+315
-125
0
3		-0.61164-0.63626-0.78706
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.61415 
Sportsbooks10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.71741 
DRatings10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.32961
0.28454
0.38780

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).