Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Famalicao
Vitoria 		32.5%
40.8%		26.7%
+193
+144
+200
+140
1.18
1.35		2.53
o2¼-115
u2¼-105

Alverca
Gil Vicente FC 		17.8%
58.9%		23.3%
+430
-150
+445
-150
0.84
1.75		2.59
o2¼-115
u2¼-105

Benfica
Arouca 		73.5%
9.4%		17.1%
-365
+900
-370
+930
2.25
0.66		2.91
o3+102
u3-122

Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Gil Vicente FC
Maritimo		37.1%
32.4%		30.5%
+165
+210
+170
+190
2
1		-0.99379-1.04064-0.99088
Vitoria
Sporting CP		12.3%
76.8%		10.9%
+752
-255
+700
-260
0
1		-0.36212-0.37545-0.26397
Benfica
Estoril		64.1%
19.2%		16.8%
-239
+717
-250
+700
1
1		-1.61697-1.60674-1.78546
Boavista
Porto		10.5%
80.0%		9.5%
+1755
-584
+1700
-625
1
4		-0.19271-0.19812-0.22333
Tondela
Arouca		30.3%
41.6%		28.2%
+246
+117
+240
+120
0
2		-0.80350-0.83884-0.87810
Belenenses
Boavista		27.8%
42.8%		29.4%
+282
+127
+270
+120
0
0		-1.15154-1.16648-1.22458
Braga
Gil Vicente FC		46.6%
28.1%		25.3%
-131
+393
-140
+400
1
0		-0.59647-0.58780-0.76374
Estoril
Portimonense		24.5%
50.6%		24.9%
+244
+140
+225
+145
2
0		-1.25804-1.22666-1.40744
Benfica
FC Vizela		66.1%
18.2%		15.7%
-278
+821
-300
+800
1
0		-0.33311-0.33798-0.41473
Arouca
Pacos		24.9%
51.4%		23.7%
+325
+101
+310
-110
0
0		-1.27111-1.30482-1.43948
Moreirense
Sporting CP		12.8%
75.3%		11.9%
+1565
-495
+1450
-500
0
1		-0.21945-0.23274-0.28353
Porto
Tondela		66.6%
17.3%		16.1%
-398
+1162
-400
+1000
3
1		-0.25546-0.27279-0.40602
Famalicao
Santa Clara		33.2%
38.8%		28.1%
+189
+167
+175
+165
2
0		-1.08729-1.05912-1.10361
Maritimo
Vitoria		23.3%
53.3%		23.4%
+622
-192
+600
-200
1
2		-0.45011-0.45751-0.62938
Boavista
Braga		16.1%
69.5%		14.4%
+779
-265
+740
-260
2
2		-1.68024-1.60864-1.93780
Gil Vicente FC
Estoril		30.3%
41.4%		28.3%
+289
+117
+245
+115
2
2		-1.21888-1.26104-1.26188
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).