Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 20, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Rio Ave
Gil Vicente FC 		17.1%
58.7%		24.2%
+340
-133
+400
-135
0.76
1.66		2.42
o2¼-114
u2¼-106

Moreirense
Estrela 		31.2%
39.8%		29.0%
+200
+149
+210
+140
1.02
1.18		2.20
o2¼-107
u2¼-112

Games for Dec 19, 2025
Games for Dec 21, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Porto
Rio Ave		66.1%
17.3%		16.7%
-227
+700
-240
+700
3
0		-0.40324-0.40004-0.41421
Sporting CP
Benfica		34.0%
38.5%		27.6%
+311
-105
+310
-110
3
4		-0.70556-0.69866-0.95508
Portimonense
Boavista		29.3%
40.8%		29.9%
+220
+144
+215
+140
0
1		-0.92158-0.92576-0.89725
Moreirense
Braga		19.6%
63.4%		17.0%
+692
-260
+600
-270
1
2		-0.35625-0.36807-0.45528
Gil Vicente FC
Pacos		25.8%
49.1%		25.2%
+160
+196
+160
+200
2
0		-0.99463-1.00550-1.35588
Famalicao
Vitoria		25.9%
51.9%		22.2%
+169
+175
+175
+170
2
1		-1.03631-1.06178-1.35209
Boavista
Sporting CP		14.7%
71.2%		14.0%
+1039
-320
+950
-325
0
1		-0.30426-0.31745-0.33906
Benfica
Nacional		66.3%
17.4%		16.3%
-255
+700
-270
+675
3
1		-0.36586-0.36489-0.41077
Rio Ave
Santa Clara		34.7%
34.1%		31.2%
+229
+136
+220
+135
0
1		-0.89806-0.90372-1.07649
SC Farense
Porto		9.5%
82.8%		7.8%
+860
-300
+850
-320
1
5		-0.32795-0.32296-0.18908
Moreirense
Portimonense		41.3%
29.4%		29.3%
+415
-125
+380
-130
2
1		-1.66845-1.61868-0.88341
Braga
Gil Vicente FC		62.4%
20.1%		17.5%
-114
+330
-125
+350
1
1		-1.32306-1.33499-1.74160
Maritimo
Pacos		26.5%
47.5%		26.0%
+232
+144
+225
+140
1
1		-1.14655-1.16607-1.34777
Tondela
Boavista		30.5%
39.4%		30.1%
+290
+105
+300
+100
1
1		-1.25075-1.24559-1.20158
Santa Clara
Famalicao		33.2%
39.2%		27.6%
+226
+130
+210
+135
0
1		-0.87827-0.90429-0.93621
Vitoria
SC Farense		52.6%
24.3%		23.1%
+229
+130
+230
+125
2
2		-1.25607-1.24316-1.46547
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.61415 
Sportsbooks10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.71741 
DRatings10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.32961
0.28454
0.38780

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).