Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Famalicao
Vitoria 		32.5%
40.8%		26.7%
+193
+144
+200
+140
1.18
1.35		2.53
o2¼-115
u2¼-105

Alverca
Gil Vicente FC 		17.8%
58.9%		23.3%
+430
-150
+445
-150
0.84
1.75		2.59
o2¼-115
u2¼-105

Benfica
Arouca 		73.5%
9.4%		17.1%
-370
+900
-370
+930
2.25
0.66		2.91
o3+100
u3-120

Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Portimonense
Benfica		13.5%
74.4%		12.1%
+1716
-476
+1450
-500
1
0		-2.92527-2.79116-2.00575
Sporting CP
Arouca		64.2%
18.3%		17.5%
-246
+800
-260
+800
2
1		-0.36941-0.37490-0.44326
Pacos
Porto		11.3%
79.2%		9.6%
+1306
-375
+1300
-450
1
2		-0.25503-0.24909-0.23379
Santa Clara
FC Vizela		32.3%
38.5%		29.1%
+223
+151
+225
+135
1
1		-1.20065-1.19683-1.23316
Vitoria
Famalicao		23.8%
55.3%		21.0%
+175
+169
+175
+150
2
1		-1.03984-1.05976-1.43679
Moreirense
Maritimo		35.8%
33.6%		30.6%
+242
+135
+255
+115
0
0		-1.21466-1.24258-1.18273
Estoril
Boavista		29.4%
42.5%		28.2%
+194
+182
+190
+175
1
1		-1.13753-1.12819-1.26709
Belenenses
Pacos		26.9%
45.2%		27.8%
+448
-116
+390
-120
2
2		-1.23939-1.24514-1.27913
FC Vizela
Portimonense		23.4%
52.5%		24.1%
+238
+141
+230
+130
0
0		-1.19700-1.21221-1.42167
Braga
Santa Clara		45.4%
28.8%		25.8%
-104
+322
-105
+300
1
1		-1.29704-1.28910-1.35433
Famalicao
Tondela		39.2%
32.9%		27.9%
+101
+316
-105
+285
2
3		-1.45290-1.39659-1.11145
Benfica
Vitoria		65.0%
18.9%		16.1%
-135
+405
-140
+375
3
1		-0.57839-0.59122-0.43124
Arouca
Moreirense		25.0%
50.8%		24.2%
+304
+100
+315
-110
1
2		-0.72040-0.69587-0.67653
Porto
Gil Vicente FC		59.8%
20.5%		19.7%
-241
+703
-270
+700
2
1		-0.37711-0.36837-0.51366
Maritimo
Sporting CP		8.7%
82.5%		8.7%
+1212
-347
+1200
-420
0
1		-0.27930-0.26359-0.19185
Tondela
Braga		14.7%
72.9%		12.5%
+922
-321
+900
-360
1
3		-0.30282-0.29323-0.31645
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).