Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 20, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Rio Ave
Gil Vicente FC 		17.1%
58.7%		24.2%
+340
-133
+400
-135
0.76
1.66		2.42
o2¼-114
u2¼-106

Moreirense
Estrela 		31.2%
39.8%		29.0%
+195
+148
+210
+140
1.02
1.18		2.20
o2¼-115
u2¼-103

Games for Dec 19, 2025
Games for Dec 21, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Porto
Benfica		42.8%
31.1%		26.1%
+195
+143
+195
+145
1
1		-1.27372-1.24289-1.34186
Portimonense
Belenenses		29.6%
38.6%		31.9%
+179
+234
+180
+220
0
1		-1.22721-1.21598-0.95295
Sporting CP
Rio Ave		55.3%
22.5%		22.2%
-133
+425
-130
+410
2
0		-0.60278-0.62044-0.59232
Pacos
Braga		22.7%
58.0%		19.4%
+625
-200
+640
-205
1
1		-1.49508-1.46089-1.64155
Gil Vicente FC
Maritimo		31.3%
38.7%		30.0%
+172
+194
+165
+200
1
0		-1.04523-1.02304-1.16027
Nacional
Sporting CP		13.8%
72.7%		13.5%
+1176
-312
+1200
-400
0
2		-0.28576-0.27273-0.31877
Rio Ave
Portimonense		42.3%
28.2%		29.4%
+210
+147
+220
+145
0
0		-1.19574-1.16254-1.22254
Boavista
Santa Clara		29.3%
41.8%		28.9%
+345
-110
+350
-115
3
3		-1.28851-1.27372-1.24129
SC Farense
Gil Vicente FC		29.7%
42.4%		27.9%
+195
+157
+195
+160
0
0		-1.18081-1.16533-1.27694
Famalicao
Porto		12.9%
77.8%		9.3%
+633
-246
+700
-250
2
3		-0.39955-0.38299-0.25147
Benfica
Tondela		66.9%
17.2%		15.9%
-345
+900
-350
+1000
2
0		-0.29697-0.30059-0.40212
Moreirense
Vitoria		26.3%
48.4%		25.3%
+341
-112
+360
-120
0
2		-0.67189-0.65356-0.72656
Belenenses
Pacos		23.7%
50.8%		25.4%
+309
+117
+245
+120
0
1		-0.80024-0.84381-0.67645
Braga
Maritimo		60.6%
20.7%		18.6%
-160
+485
-160
+480
0
1		-1.80454-1.80758-1.57277
Portimonense
SC Farense		31.9%
38.2%		29.8%
+245
+138
+240
+125
1
1		-1.18326-1.21295-1.20922
Porto
Moreirense		67.9%
16.7%		15.4%
-440
+1335
-480
+1300
1
1		-1.90946-1.92326-1.86950
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.61415 
Sportsbooks10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.71741 
DRatings10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.32961
0.28454
0.38780

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).