Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Famalicao
Vitoria 		32.5%
40.8%		26.7%
+200
+148
+200
+140
1.18
1.35		2.53
o2¼-115
u2½-134

Alverca
Gil Vicente FC 		17.8%
58.9%		23.3%
+430
-145
+445
-150
0.84
1.75		2.59
o2¼-115
u2½-137

Benfica
Arouca 		73.5%
9.4%		17.1%
-357
+900
-370
+930
2.25
0.66		2.91
o2¾-128
u3-118

Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Braga
Maritimo		59.0%
21.1%		19.9%
-125
+390
-125
+375
2
0		-0.63059-0.63828-0.52789
Benfica
Moreirense		53.7%
24.4%		21.9%
-230
+630
-275
+750
2
1		-0.40455-0.35988-0.62105
Estoril
Arouca		29.1%
43.8%		27.1%
+255
+131
+235
+125
2
0		-1.29463-1.25836-1.23495
FC Vizela
Sporting CP		10.7%
79.7%		9.6%
+1100
-385
+1070
-385
0
3		-0.27379-0.27991-0.22670
Maritimo
Sporting CP		15.9%
68.7%		15.4%
+845
-303
+875
-315
1
5		-0.31809-0.32646-0.37603
Rio Ave
Nacional		40.4%
29.5%		30.0%
-167
+435
-170
+425
2
1		-0.51478-0.51395-0.90525
SC Farense
Santa Clara		27.6%
45.8%		26.6%
+253
+107
+240
+110
0
4		-0.77375-0.79644-0.78010
Braga
Portimonense		67.3%
17.2%		15.6%
+240
+138
+220
+130
0
0		-1.23008-1.24299-1.86098
Boavista
Gil Vicente FC		31.4%
38.6%		30.0%
+142
+215
+150
+200
2
1		-0.90827-0.97069-1.15776
Benfica
Vitoria		46.3%
28.7%		25.0%
+110
+241
+110
+215
3
1		-0.76875-0.79078-0.76919
Famalicao
Moreirense		32.2%
40.9%		26.9%
-115
+285
-115
+290
0
3		-1.40100-1.41399-0.89411
Belenenses
Porto		10.0%
79.8%		10.2%
+1200
-455
+1300
-500
0
4		-0.24030-0.23389-0.22536
Pacos
Tondela		45.6%
27.5%		27.0%
+134
+204
+145
+190
3
2		-0.89289-0.94631-0.78566
Vitoria
Maritimo		45.7%
27.6%		26.8%
+121
+268
+115
+275
0
0		-1.17941-1.19548-1.31778
Santa Clara
Belenenses		36.1%
32.0%		31.9%
+132
+234
+130
+230
2
0		-0.89028-0.88201-1.01860
Nacional
Famalicao		28.6%
45.5%		25.8%
+351
-133
+315
-125
0
3		-0.61164-0.63626-0.78706
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).