Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 20, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Rio Ave
Gil Vicente FC 		17.1%
58.7%		24.2%
+350
-133
+400
-135
0.76
1.66		2.42
o2¼-106
u2¼-114

Moreirense
Estrela 		31.2%
39.8%		29.0%
+178
+166
+195
+155
1.02
1.18		2.20
o2¼-110
u2¼-109

Games for Dec 19, 2025
Games for Dec 21, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Tondela
Portimonense		32.8%
35.5%		31.7%
+345
-105
+350
-115
0
3		-0.36376-0.34745-1.03527
Santa Clara
Sporting CP		17.0%
66.8%		16.2%
+808
-200
+800
-240
1
2		-0.15288-0.14618-0.40404
Nacional
Pacos		23.7%
52.1%		24.2%
+435
-132
+450
-145
1
2		-0.28406-0.26789-0.65164
Rio Ave
Benfica		19.3%
62.5%		18.2%
+683
-244
+650
-240
0
2		-0.16556-0.17302-0.46957
Braga
Nacional		65.4%
18.3%		16.3%
-185
+510
-190
+525
2
1		-0.23442-0.22428-0.42425
Gil Vicente FC
Tondela		34.6%
34.1%		31.3%
+155
+195
+150
+200
0
1		-0.76867-0.78847-1.07447
Maritimo
Portimonense		36.9%
31.9%		31.2%
+350
+105
+350
-110
0
0		-0.76850-0.78237-0.69750
Sporting CP
Porto		27.0%
48.8%		24.2%
+312
-104
+290
+100
0
0		-0.76046-0.74789-0.72698
Pacos
Santa Clara		38.9%
32.1%		29.0%
+175
+180
+175
+185
0
3		-0.70221-0.71117-1.13625
SC Farense
Famalicao		28.2%
47.6%		24.2%
+210
+140
+205
+140
0
0		-0.70132-0.70031-0.72708
Boavista
Vitoria		22.1%
55.6%		22.3%
+255
+119
+255
+120
1
2		-0.48051-0.48225-0.58787

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.61415 
Sportsbooks10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.71741 
DRatings10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.32961
0.28454
0.38780

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).