Rayo Vallecano at Villarreal

Updated

Rayo Vallecano

25.3%25.3%49.4%
Rayo Vallecano WinDrawVillarreal Win
1.05Projected Goals 1.56
0Final Score 4

Villarreal

Last 5 Games

Rayo Vallecano
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Alaves+120
W 3-0 at Levante+175
W 1-0 at Real Sociedad+255
L 1-0 vs Sevilla+100
L 2-3 at Atletico Madrid+615
Villarreal
Money Line
W 2-0 at Valencia+105
T 2-2 vs Betis+105
L 1-3 at Real Madrid+660
W 0-1 vs Athletic Club+105
W 2-1 at Sevilla+120

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Rayo Vallecano+393+395+385+430+430+430+430+448.3
Villarreal-138-137-133-142-142-142-133-131.1
Draw+288+285+265+286+286+286+286+299.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Rayo Vallecano+400-+375-+350+380+380+448.3
Villarreal-145--140--165-140-140-131.1
Draw+290-+280-+255+285+285+299.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Rayo Vallecano: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Rayo Vallecano: 30.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Rayo Vallecano: 30.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Rayo Vallecano ML moved from +400 to +390
No Steam Moves On Villarreal ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Rayo Vallecano: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Rayo Vallecano: 30.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Rayo Vallecano ML moved from +400 to +380
No Steam Moves On Villarreal ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-130o3+112o2¾-120o2¾-117o2¾-117o2¾-117o2¾-117o2¾-106
Underu2½+110u3-132u2¾+100u2¾-103u2¾-103u2¾-103u3-132u2¾+106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-140o3+110o3+110-o2½-140o2½-145o2½-140o2¾-106
Underu2½+120u3-130u3-130-u2½+110u2½+125u3-130u2¾+106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.2%
 
No48.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.36%
Exactly 225.05%
Exactly 414.21%
Exactly 63.22%
Exactly 80.39%
 
Exactly 119.21%
Exactly 321.79%
Exactly 57.41%
Exactly 71.20%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Rayo Vallecano
Exactly 035.20%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 219.19%
Exactly 36.68%
Exactly 41.74%
Exactly 50.36%
Exact Goals Scored - Villarreal
Exactly 020.92%
Exactly 132.73%
Exactly 225.60%
Exactly 313.35%
Exactly 45.22%
Exactly 51.63%
Exactly 60.43%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.89%
Exactly 221.80%
Exactly 42.65%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.10%
Exactly 38.78%
Exactly 50.64%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Rayo Vallecano
Exactly 061.67%
Exactly 129.81%
Exactly 27.21%
Exactly 31.16%
Exactly 40.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Villarreal
Exactly 048.46%
Exactly 135.10%
Exactly 212.71%
Exactly 33.07%
Exactly 40.56%

Alternate Props

Spread

Rayo Vallecano
Wins by 2+ goals9.32%
Wins by 3+ goals2.62%
Wins by 4+ goals0.56%
Villarreal
Wins by 2+ goals25.40%
Wins by 3+ goals10.36%
Wins by 4+ goals3.40%
Wins by 5+ goals0.88%
Wins by 6+ goals0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Rayo Vallecano
Villarreal
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Rayo Vallecano
Wins by 1 goal15.93%
Wins by 2 goals6.69%
Wins by 3 goals2.06%
Wins by 4 goals0.48%
Villarreal
Wins by 1 goal23.87%
Wins by 2 goals15.04%
Wins by 3 goals6.96%
Wins by 4 goals2.52%
Wins by 5 goals0.73%
Wins by 6 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.64%7.36%
1.573.43%26.57%
2.548.37%51.63%
3.526.59%73.41%
4.512.38%87.62%
5.54.97%95.03%
6.51.74%98.26%

Total Goals Rayo Vallecano Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.80%35.20%
1.528.05%71.95%
2.58.86%91.14%
3.52.18%97.82%

Total Goals Villarreal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.08%20.92%
1.546.35%53.65%
2.520.75%79.25%
3.57.40%92.60%
4.52.18%97.82%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.11%29.89%
1.534.02%65.98%
2.512.22%87.78%
3.53.44%96.56%

Score Props

Correct Score

Rayo Vallecano
Villarreal
Score012345
0
7.36%
11.52%
9.01%
4.70%
1.84%
0.58%
1
7.69%
12.03%
9.41%
4.91%
1.92%
0.60%
2
4.01%
6.28%
4.91%
2.56%
1.00%
0.31%
3
1.40%
2.19%
1.71%
0.89%
0.35%
0.11%
4
0.36%
0.57%
0.45%
0.23%
0.09%
0.03%
Rayo Vallecano
1-07.69%
2-04.01%
2-16.28%
3-01.40%
3-12.19%
3-21.71%
4-00.36%
4-10.57%
4-20.45%
4-30.23%
Draw
0-07.36%
1-112.03%
2-24.91%
3-30.89%
Villarreal
0-111.52%
0-29.01%
1-29.41%
0-34.70%
1-34.91%
2-32.56%
0-41.84%
1-41.92%
2-41.00%
3-40.35%
0-50.58%
1-50.60%
2-50.31%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Rayo Vallecano
Villarreal
Score01234
0
29.89%
21.65%
7.84%
1.89%
0.34%
1
14.45%
10.47%
3.79%
0.92%
0.17%
2
3.49%
2.53%
0.92%
0.22%
0.04%
3
0.56%
0.41%
0.15%
0.04%
0.01%
Rayo Vallecano
1-014.45%
2-03.49%
2-12.53%
3-00.56%
3-10.41%
3-20.15%
Draw
0-029.89%
1-110.47%
2-20.92%
Villarreal
0-121.65%
0-27.84%
1-23.79%
0-31.89%
1-30.92%
2-30.22%
0-40.34%
1-40.17%