Sevilla at Atletico Madrid

Updated

Sevilla

7.9%15.9%76.2%
WinDrawAtletico Madrid Win
0.60Projected Goals 2.33
0Final Score 3

Atletico Madrid

Last 5 Games

Sevilla
Money Line
L 1-2 at Real Sociedad+300
L 3-1 vs Mallorca-115
W 1-4 vs Barcelona+480
W 1-0 at Rayo Vallecano+297
L 2-1 vs Villarreal+240
Atletico Madrid
Money Line
W 2-0 at Betis+115
W 0-1 vs Osasuna-290
T 1-1 at Celta Vigo-125
W 2-5 vs Real Madrid+220
W 2-3 vs Rayo Vallecano-210

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sevilla+650+777+750+820+825+820+825+851.7
Atletico Madrid-265-268-280-270-275-270-268-239.4
Draw+415+406+400+410+413+410+413+427.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sevilla+705-+735-+630+810+810+851.7
Atletico Madrid-301--290--390-310-290-239.4
Draw+445-+426-+420+440+440+427.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sevilla: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sevilla: 0.0%
Atletico Madrid: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sevilla: 20.0%
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sevilla ML moved from +802 to +777
Atletico Madrid ML moved from -285 to -292

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sevilla: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sevilla: 0.0%
Atletico Madrid: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sevilla: 10.0%
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sevilla ML moved from +650 to +630
Atletico Madrid ML moved from -300 to -310

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-112o2½-139o2¾-108o2¾-108o2¾-108o2¾-108o2½-139o2¾+102
Underu2¾-108u2½+118u2¾-112u2¾-112u2¾-112u2¾-112u2¾-112u2¾-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+100o3+115o2½-137-o2½-140o2½-135o2½-135o2¾+102
Underu3-120u3-135u2½+117-u2½+110u2½+115u3-135u2¾-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-120 to o3-109
The Under moved from u3-111 to u2¾+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-125 to u2½+110

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes41.0%
 
No59.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.31%
Exactly 222.88%
Exactly 416.43%
Exactly 64.72%
Exactly 80.73%
 
Exactly 115.59%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 59.64%
Exactly 71.98%
Exactly 90.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Sevilla
Exactly 054.63%
Exactly 133.03%
Exactly 29.98%
Exactly 32.01%
Exactly 40.30%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 09.73%
Exactly 122.66%
Exactly 226.41%
Exactly 320.51%
Exactly 411.95%
Exactly 55.57%
Exactly 62.16%
Exactly 70.72%
Exactly 80.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.69%
Exactly 223.72%
Exactly 43.65%
Exactly 60.22%
 
Exactly 134.92%
Exactly 310.75%
Exactly 50.99%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sevilla
Exactly 075.59%
Exactly 121.16%
Exactly 22.96%
Exactly 30.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 033.99%
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 219.79%
Exactly 37.12%
Exactly 41.92%
Exactly 50.41%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sevilla
Wins by 2+ goals1.80%
Wins by 3+ goals0.29%
Atletico Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals52.73%
Wins by 3+ goals30.21%
Wins by 4+ goals14.45%
Wins by 5+ goals5.85%
Wins by 6+ goals2.02%
Wins by 7+ goals0.58%
Wins by 8+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Sevilla
Atletico Madrid
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Sevilla
Wins by 1 goal6.07%
Wins by 2 goals1.51%
Wins by 3 goals0.26%
Atletico Madrid
Wins by 1 goal23.41%
Wins by 2 goals22.52%
Wins by 3 goals15.76%
Wins by 4 goals8.60%
Wins by 5 goals3.83%
Wins by 6 goals1.44%
Wins by 7 goals0.46%
Wins by 8 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.69%5.31%
1.579.09%20.91%
2.556.21%43.79%
3.533.82%66.18%
4.517.39%82.61%
5.57.75%92.25%
6.53.03%96.97%
7.51.06%98.94%

Total Goals Sevilla Over/Under

OverUnder
0.545.37%54.63%
1.512.34%87.66%
2.52.36%97.64%

Total Goals Atletico Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.27%9.73%
1.567.61%32.39%
2.541.20%58.80%
3.520.69%79.31%
4.58.74%91.26%
5.53.16%96.84%
6.51.00%99.00%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.31%25.69%
1.539.39%60.61%
2.515.67%84.33%
3.54.92%95.08%
4.51.27%98.73%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sevilla
Atletico Madrid
Score012345
0
5.31%
12.38%
14.43%
11.21%
6.53%
3.04%
1
3.21%
7.49%
8.72%
6.78%
3.95%
1.84%
2
0.97%
2.26%
2.64%
2.05%
1.19%
0.56%
3
0.20%
0.46%
0.53%
0.41%
0.24%
0.11%
Sevilla
1-03.21%
2-00.97%
2-12.26%
3-00.20%
3-10.46%
3-20.53%
Draw
0-05.31%
1-17.49%
2-22.64%
3-30.41%
Atletico Madrid
0-112.38%
0-214.43%
1-28.72%
0-311.21%
1-36.78%
2-32.05%
0-46.53%
1-43.95%
2-41.19%
3-40.24%
0-53.04%
1-51.84%
2-50.56%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Sevilla
Atletico Madrid
Score012345
0
25.69%
27.72%
14.96%
5.38%
1.45%
0.31%
1
7.19%
7.76%
4.19%
1.51%
0.41%
0.09%
2
1.01%
1.09%
0.59%
0.21%
0.06%
0.01%
Sevilla
1-07.19%
2-01.01%
2-11.09%
Draw
0-025.69%
1-17.76%
2-20.59%
Atletico Madrid
0-127.72%
0-214.96%
1-24.19%
0-35.38%
1-31.51%
2-30.21%
0-41.45%
1-40.41%
0-50.31%