Villarreal at Rayo Vallecano

Updated

Villarreal

39.0%27.6%33.4%
Villarreal WinDrawRayo Vallecano Win
1.26Projected Goals 1.14
1Final Score 0

Rayo Vallecano

Last 5 Games

Villarreal
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Valencia-145
W 2-1 at Las Palmas-170
W 1-5 vs Valladolid-530
T 1-1 at Atletico Madrid+320
W 0-4 vs Mallorca-145
Rayo Vallecano
Money Line
L 0-1 at Barcelona+1200
W 0-1 vs Valladolid-240
W 1-0 at Leganes+155
W 1-2 vs Girona+155
T 1-1 at Osasuna+245

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Villarreal+136+162+165+167+155+167+167+176.2
Rayo Vallecano+194+180+175+178+180+178+180+187.6
Draw+262+231+225+233+228+233+233+244.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Villarreal+140-+153-+125+155+155+176.2
Rayo Vallecano+200-+180-+175+180+180+187.6
Draw+235-+233-+215+230+233+244.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Villarreal: 10.0%
Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Villarreal: 10.0%
Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Villarreal ML
Rayo Vallecano ML moved from +180 to +174

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Villarreal: 10.0%
Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Villarreal: 0.0%
Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Villarreal ML
Rayo Vallecano ML moved from +190 to +180

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-122o2½-107o2½-108o2½-109o2½-111o2½-109o2½-107o2½+101
Underu2½+104u2½-110u2½-112u2½-111u2½-109u2½-111u2½-109u2½-101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-130o2½-120o2½-120-o2½-135o2½-125o2½-120o2½+101
Underu2½+110u2½+100u2½+100-u2½+105u2½+105u2½+105u2½-101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.8%
 
No51.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.06%
Exactly 226.12%
Exactly 412.56%
Exactly 62.41%
Exactly 80.25%
 
Exactly 121.75%
Exactly 320.91%
Exactly 56.03%
Exactly 70.83%
Exact Goals Scored - Villarreal
Exactly 028.40%
Exactly 135.75%
Exactly 222.50%
Exactly 39.44%
Exactly 42.97%
Exactly 50.75%
Exactly 60.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Rayo Vallecano
Exactly 031.89%
Exactly 136.45%
Exactly 220.83%
Exactly 37.93%
Exactly 42.27%
Exactly 50.52%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.89%
Exactly 220.34%
Exactly 42.10%
 
Exactly 136.57%
Exactly 37.54%
Exactly 50.47%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Villarreal
Exactly 055.83%
Exactly 132.54%
Exactly 29.48%
Exactly 31.84%
Exactly 40.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Rayo Vallecano
Exactly 058.91%
Exactly 131.17%
Exactly 28.25%
Exactly 31.45%
Exactly 40.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

Villarreal
Wins by 2+ goals17.16%
Wins by 3+ goals5.86%
Wins by 4+ goals1.60%
Wins by 5+ goals0.35%
Rayo Vallecano
Wins by 2+ goals13.47%
Wins by 3+ goals4.16%
Wins by 4+ goals0.98%
Wins by 5+ goals0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Villarreal
Rayo Vallecano
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Villarreal
Wins by 1 goal21.82%
Wins by 2 goals11.30%
Wins by 3 goals4.26%
Wins by 4 goals1.25%
Wins by 5 goals0.30%
Rayo Vallecano
Wins by 1 goal19.81%
Wins by 2 goals9.31%
Wins by 3 goals3.18%
Wins by 4 goals0.83%
Wins by 5 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.94%9.06%
1.569.19%30.81%
2.543.08%56.92%
3.522.16%77.84%
4.59.61%90.39%
5.53.58%96.42%
6.51.16%98.84%

Total Goals Villarreal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.60%28.40%
1.535.86%64.14%
2.513.35%86.65%
3.53.91%96.09%

Total Goals Rayo Vallecano Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.11%31.89%
1.531.66%68.34%
2.510.84%89.16%
3.52.90%97.10%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.11%32.89%
1.530.54%69.46%
2.510.20%89.80%
3.52.66%97.34%

Score Props

Correct Score

Villarreal
Rayo Vallecano
Score012345
0
9.06%
10.35%
5.91%
2.25%
0.64%
0.15%
1
11.40%
13.03%
7.45%
2.84%
0.81%
0.19%
2
7.18%
8.20%
4.69%
1.79%
0.51%
0.12%
3
3.01%
3.44%
1.97%
0.75%
0.21%
0.05%
4
0.95%
1.08%
0.62%
0.24%
0.07%
0.02%
5
0.24%
0.27%
0.16%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
Villarreal
1-011.40%
2-07.18%
2-18.20%
3-03.01%
3-13.44%
3-21.97%
4-00.95%
4-11.08%
4-20.62%
4-30.24%
5-00.24%
5-10.27%
5-20.16%
Draw
0-09.06%
1-113.03%
2-24.69%
3-30.75%
Rayo Vallecano
0-110.35%
0-25.91%
1-27.45%
0-32.25%
1-32.84%
2-31.79%
0-40.64%
1-40.81%
2-40.51%
3-40.21%
0-50.15%
1-50.19%
2-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Villarreal
Rayo Vallecano
Score01234
0
32.89%
17.40%
4.60%
0.81%
0.11%
1
19.17%
10.14%
2.68%
0.47%
0.06%
2
5.59%
2.96%
0.78%
0.14%
0.02%
3
1.09%
0.57%
0.15%
0.03%
0.00%
4
0.16%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Villarreal
1-019.17%
2-05.59%
2-12.96%
3-01.09%
3-10.57%
3-20.15%
4-00.16%
Draw
0-032.89%
1-110.14%
2-20.78%
Rayo Vallecano
0-117.40%
0-24.60%
1-22.68%
0-30.81%
1-30.47%
2-30.14%
0-40.11%