Real Madrid at Sevilla

Updated

Real Madrid

55.2%24.7%20.1%
Real Madrid WinDrawSevilla Win
1.63Projected Goals 0.88
2Final Score 1

Sevilla

Last 5 Games

Real Madrid
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Rayo Vallecano-245
L 0-1 at Valencia+120
W 0-1 vs Getafe-160
L 0-2 at Real Sociedad+210
W 2-4 vs Almeria-675
Sevilla
Money Line
T 1-1 at Elche+100
T 0-0 vs Betis+120
W 3-0 at Valladolid+195
W 2-3 vs Espanyol-125
L 2-0 vs Girona-110

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Real Madrid+135+126+125+127+126+127+127+135.0
Sevilla+185+217+210+214+214+214+217+225.1
Draw+260+256+260+262+261+262+262+274.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Real Madrid+140---+105+125+125+135.0
Sevilla+185---+195+205+205+225.1
Draw+255---+230+255+255+274.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sevilla: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Real Madrid: 40.0%
Sevilla: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Real Madrid: 0.0%
Sevilla: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Real Madrid ML moved from +140 to +128
Sevilla ML moved from +228 to +217

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sevilla: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Real Madrid: 40.0%
Sevilla: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Real Madrid: 0.0%
Sevilla: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Real Madrid ML moved from +125 to +105
No Steam Moves On Sevilla ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-108o2½-131o2¾-102o2½-118o3+135o2½-118o2½-118o2½-107
Underu3-112u2½+111u2¾-118u2½-102u3-150u2½-102u3-150u2½+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-135o2½-130--o2½-140o2½-125o2½-125o2½-107
Underu2½+115u2½+110--u2½+110u2½+105u2½+110u2½+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.0%
 
No53.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.11%
Exactly 225.59%
Exactly 413.45%
Exactly 62.83%
Exactly 80.32%
 
Exactly 120.38%
Exactly 321.42%
Exactly 56.76%
Exactly 71.01%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Madrid
Exactly 019.52%
Exactly 131.89%
Exactly 226.05%
Exactly 314.19%
Exactly 45.79%
Exactly 51.89%
Exactly 60.52%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Sevilla
Exactly 041.57%
Exactly 136.49%
Exactly 216.02%
Exactly 34.69%
Exactly 41.03%
Exactly 50.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.26%
Exactly 221.13%
Exactly 42.38%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.35%
Exactly 38.19%
Exactly 50.55%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Madrid
Exactly 046.93%
Exactly 135.50%
Exactly 213.43%
Exactly 33.39%
Exactly 40.64%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sevilla
Exactly 066.60%
Exactly 127.07%
Exactly 25.50%
Exactly 30.75%

Alternate Props

Spread

Real Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals29.86%
Wins by 3+ goals12.83%
Wins by 4+ goals4.49%
Wins by 5+ goals1.30%
Sevilla
Wins by 2+ goals6.50%
Wins by 3+ goals1.58%
Wins by 4+ goals0.29%

Exact Winning Margin

Real Madrid
Sevilla
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Real Madrid
Wins by 1 goal25.33%
Wins by 2 goals17.03%
Wins by 3 goals8.34%
Wins by 4 goals3.19%
Wins by 5 goals0.99%
Sevilla
Wins by 1 goal13.61%
Wins by 2 goals4.91%
Wins by 3 goals1.29%
Wins by 4 goals0.26%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.89%8.11%
1.571.51%28.49%
2.545.91%54.09%
3.524.49%75.51%
4.511.04%88.96%
5.54.28%95.72%
6.51.45%98.55%

Total Goals Real Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.48%19.52%
1.548.59%51.41%
2.522.54%77.46%
3.58.35%91.65%
4.52.56%97.44%

Total Goals Sevilla Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.43%41.57%
1.521.94%78.06%
2.55.92%94.08%
3.51.24%98.76%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.74%31.26%
1.532.39%67.61%
2.511.26%88.74%
3.53.06%96.94%

Score Props

Correct Score

Real Madrid
Sevilla
Score01234
0
8.11%
7.12%
3.13%
0.91%
0.20%
1
13.26%
11.64%
5.11%
1.49%
0.33%
2
10.83%
9.51%
4.17%
1.22%
0.27%
3
5.90%
5.18%
2.27%
0.66%
0.15%
4
2.41%
2.11%
0.93%
0.27%
0.06%
5
0.79%
0.69%
0.30%
0.09%
0.02%
Real Madrid
1-013.26%
2-010.83%
2-19.51%
3-05.90%
3-15.18%
3-22.27%
4-02.41%
4-12.11%
4-20.93%
4-30.27%
5-00.79%
5-10.69%
5-20.30%
Draw
0-08.11%
1-111.64%
2-24.17%
3-30.66%
Sevilla
0-17.12%
0-23.13%
1-25.11%
0-30.91%
1-31.49%
2-31.22%
0-40.20%
1-40.33%
2-40.27%
3-40.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Real Madrid
Sevilla
Score0123
0
31.26%
12.70%
2.58%
0.35%
1
23.65%
9.61%
1.95%
0.26%
2
8.94%
3.63%
0.74%
0.10%
3
2.25%
0.92%
0.19%
0.03%
4
0.43%
0.17%
0.04%
0.00%
Real Madrid
1-023.65%
2-08.94%
2-13.63%
3-02.25%
3-10.92%
3-20.19%
4-00.43%
4-10.17%
Draw
0-031.26%
1-19.61%
2-20.74%
Sevilla
0-112.70%
0-22.58%
1-21.95%
0-30.35%
1-30.26%
2-30.10%