UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for January 31, 2026

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Aaron Tau
Namsrai Batbayar 		46.0%
54.0%
+105
-122
+110
-125
Sulangrangbo
Lawrence Lui 		66.4%
33.6%
-250
+215
-230
+205
Keiichiro Nakamura
Sebastian Szalay 		45.9%
54.1%
+122
-135
+110
-130
Sangwook Kim
Dom Mar Fan 		46.0%
54.0%
+130
-147
+145
-155
Kaan Ofli
Yizha 		27.8%
72.2%
+173
-200
+175
-190
Jonathan Micallef
Oban Elliott 		53.0%
47.0%
-130
+112
-135
+120
Jacob Malkoun
Torrez Finney 		57.2%
42.8%
-142
+125
-130
+130
Volatility Bet Value Active
Cam Rowston
Cody Brundage 		71.2%
28.8%
-360
+295
-350
+295
Junior Tafa
Billy Elekana 		34.8%
65.2%
+210
-245
+200
-235
Quillan Salkilld
Jamie Mullarkey 		81.4%
18.6%
-900
+650
-900
+650
Tai Tuivasa
Tallison Teixeira 		22.4%
77.6%
+295
-350
+300
-330
Rafael Fiziev
Mauricio Ruffy 		52.7%
47.3%
+100
-120
+110
-120
Dan Hooker
Benoit Saint Denis 		26.7%
73.3%
+285
-350
+290
-340
Diego Lopes
Alexander Volkanovski 		40.0%
60.0%
+122
-139
+125
-140
Fights for Jan 30, 2026
Fights for Feb 7, 2026

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Paddy Pimblett
Justin Gaethje		55.4%
44.6%
-240
+220
-230
+210
Loss
Win		-1.18136-1.15078-0.80697
Song Yadong
Sean O'Malley		46.2%
53.8%
+200
-220
+190
-220
Loss
Win		-0.39531-0.40651-0.62003
Derrick Lewis
Waldo Cortes-Acosta		28.2%
71.8%
+260
-305
+280
-310
Loss
Win		-0.31397-0.29866-0.33116
Rose Namajunas
Natalia Silva		29.6%
70.4%
+270
-265
+240
-270
Loss
Win		-0.31645-0.33865-0.35051
Jean Silva
Arnold Allen		67.5%
32.5%
-200
+190
-200
+200
Win
Loss		-0.41690-0.40546-0.39332
Deiveson Figueiredo
Umar Nurmagomedov		17.4%
82.6%
+900
-1200
+1000
-1200
Loss
Win		-0.10285-0.09394-0.19056
Andrey Pulyaev
Ateba Gautier		20.8%
79.2%
+725
-900
+625
-800
Loss
Win		-0.12635-0.14425-0.23278
Modestas Bukauskas
Nikita Krylov		52.7%
47.3%
-130
+115
-130
+120
Loss
Win		-0.79536-0.80802-0.74965
Charles Johnson
Alex Perez		66.0%
34.0%
-190
+185
-190
+170
Loss
Win		-1.05334-1.01846-1.07966
Denzel Freeman
Josh Hokit		31.7%
68.3%
+222
-255
+220
-240
Loss
Win		-0.35932-0.36652-0.38158
Ty Miller
Adam Fugitt		73.4%
26.6%
-410
+400
-450
+400
Win
Loss		-0.22217-0.21869-0.30919
Manel Kape
Brandon Royval		66.2%
33.8%
-240
+210
-250
+230
Win
Loss		-0.37637-0.35364-0.41290
Giga Chikadze
Kevin Vallejos		31.3%
68.7%
+320
-385
+330
-370
Loss
Win		-0.26233-0.25884-0.37577
Cesar Almeida
Cezary Oleksiejczuk		40.3%
59.7%
+180
-210
+205
-205
Loss
Win		-0.42344-0.39730-0.51502
Morgan Charriere
Melquizael Costa		59.6%
40.4%
+135
-135
+135
-145
Loss
Win		-0.55431-0.54173-0.90733
Marcus Buchecha
Kennedy Nzechukwu		43.4%
56.6%
+100
-120
+105
-115
Draw
Draw		-0.69409-0.69421-0.70203
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks118-3 (0.727)0-0.48031 
Sportsbooks118-3 (0.727)0-0.47727 
DRatings118-3 (0.727)0-0.49504
-0.01473
-0.01777

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.