UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for December 6, 2025

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Muhammad Naimov
Mairon Santos 		37.8%
62.2%
+215
-250
+225
-235
Antonio Trocoli
Mansur Abdul-Malik 		17.0%
83.0%
+875
-1300
+800
-1200
Edson Barboza
Jalin Turner 		34.0%
66.0%
+260
-310
+260
-310
Marvin Vettori
Brunno Ferreira 		57.2%
42.8%
-110
-105
-105
+100
Fares Ziam
Nazim Sadykhov 		59.5%
40.5%
-133
+113
-135
+115
Karine Silva
Maycee Barber 		43.4%
56.6%
+165
-190
+170
-180
Terrance McKinney
Chris Duncan 		38.3%
61.7%
+127
-141
+135
-140
Manuel Torres
Grant Dawson 		30.8%
69.2%
+185
-220
+190
-220
Bogdan Guskov
Jan Blachowicz 		47.9%
52.1%
+112
-130
+115
-130
Payton Talbott
Henry Cejudo 		69.8%
30.2%
-245
+222
-250
+225
Tatsuro Taira
Brandon Moreno 		51.5%
48.5%
-122
+110
-130
+110
Joshua Van
Alexandre Pantoja 		36.3%
63.7%
+200
-223
+200
-225
Fights for Dec 5, 2025
Fights for Dec 7, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Dan Hooker
Arman Tsarukyan		23.1%
76.9%
+625
-800
+600
-800
Loss
Win		-0.14425-0.14903-0.26329
Belal Muhammad
Ian Garry		38.0%
62.0%
+270
-290
+260
-300
Loss
Win		-0.31004-0.31508-0.47833
Alonzo Menifield
Volkan Oezdemir		35.9%
64.1%
+180
-205
+190
-210
Loss
Win		-0.42615-0.41146-0.44462
Jack Hermansson
Myktybek Orolbai		38.5%
61.5%
+173
-190
+175
-190
Loss
Win		-0.44410-0.44150-0.48552
Waldo Cortes-Acosta
Shamil Gaziev		55.2%
44.8%
-150
+150
-160
+160
Win
Loss		-0.51083-0.48552-0.59365
Kyoji Horiguchi
Tagir Ulanbekov		37.0%
63.0%
+195
-230
+200
-230
Win
Loss		-1.11712-1.12846-0.99539
Bogdan Grad
Luke Riley		32.2%
67.8%
+205
-230
+200
-225
Loss
Win		-0.38554-0.39304-0.38864
Nicolas Dalby
Saygid Izagakhmaev		28.7%
71.3%
+275
-335
+290
-330
Win
Loss		-1.35786-1.38454-1.24827
Alex Perez
Asu Almabayev		37.2%
62.8%
+190
-217
+180
-200
Loss
Win		-0.40795-0.42898-0.46486
Rafael Cerqueira
Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev		7.4%
92.6%
+1075
-2000
+1150
-2000
Loss
Win		-0.08559-0.08066-0.07659
Bekzat Almakhan
Aleksandre Topuria		50.2%
49.8%
+120
-134
+125
-130
Loss
Win		-0.58431-0.58016-0.69816
Ismail Naurdiev
Ryan Loder		56.2%
43.8%
-128
+115
-125
+115
Win
Loss		-0.60349-0.60825-0.57593
Shem Rock
Nurullo Aliev		32.1%
67.9%
+255
-285
+280
-280
Loss
Win		-0.32247-0.30538-0.38719
Denzel Freeman
Marek Bujlo		61.5%
38.5%
-230
+205
-220
+200
Win
Loss		-0.38554-0.39531-0.48639
Jack Della Maddalena
Islam Makhachev		24.2%
75.8%
+265
-282
+290
-300
Loss
Win		-0.31563-0.29408-0.27701
Valentina Shevchenko
Zhang Weili		47.5%
52.5%
-133
+129
-135
+125
Win
Loss		-0.56815-0.57304-0.74440
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.