UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for August 14, 2022

There are no fights on the schedule today.

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML
Final
Result
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Thiago Santos
Jamahal Hill
33.5%
66.5%
+285
-315
+285
-320
Loss
Win
-0.29430-0.29335-0.40863
Geoff Neal
Vicente Luque
41.5%
58.5%
+180
-190
+180
-188
Win
Loss
-1.04185-1.03950-0.87912
Augusto Sakai
Serghei Spivac
31.4%
68.6%
+280
-305
+300
-330
Loss
Win
-0.29969-0.28198-0.37699
Erick Gonzalez
Terrance McKinney
11.9%
88.1%
+700
-760
+650
-900
Loss
Win
-0.13230-0.13815-0.12692
Sam Alvey
Michal Oleksiejczuk
25.4%
74.6%
+507
-600
+500
-650
Loss
Win
-0.17579-0.17589-0.29338
Takashi Sato
Bryan Battle
38.7%
61.3%
+259
-300
+300
-330
Loss
Win
-0.31583-0.28198-0.48986
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks86-2 (0.750)0-0.43164 
Sportsbooks86-2 (0.750)0-0.43103 
DRatings87-1 (0.875)0-0.46004
-0.02840
-0.02902

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.