UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for December 16, 2025

There are no fights on the schedule today.
Fights for Dec 15, 2025
Fights for Dec 17, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Manel Kape
Brandon Royval		66.2%
33.8%
-240
+210
-250
+230
Win
Loss		-0.37637-0.35364-0.41290
Giga Chikadze
Kevin Vallejos		31.3%
68.7%
+320
-385
+330
-370
Loss
Win		-0.26233-0.25884-0.37577
Cesar Almeida
Cezary Oleksiejczuk		40.3%
59.7%
+180
-210
+205
-205
Loss
Win		-0.42344-0.39730-0.51502
Morgan Charriere
Melquizael Costa		59.6%
40.4%
+135
-135
+135
-145
Loss
Win		-0.55431-0.54173-0.90733
Marcus Buchecha
Kennedy Nzechukwu		43.4%
56.6%
+100
-120
+105
-115
Draw
Draw		-0.69409-0.69421-0.70203
Lance Gibson Jr
Bobby Green		40.2%
59.8%
+155
-170
+160
-175
Loss
Win		-0.48418-0.47276-0.51381
Neil Magny
Yaroslav Amosov		21.6%
78.4%
+430
-533
+450
-520
Loss
Win		-0.20219-0.19621-0.24272
Isaac Thomson
Joanderson Brito		37.4%
62.6%
+195
-228
+200
-235
Loss
Win		-0.39720-0.38877-0.46848
Sean Sharaf
Steven Asplund		25.4%
74.6%
+190
-215
+195
-210
Loss
Win		-0.40893-0.40573-0.29361
Melissa Croden
Luana Santos		42.3%
57.7%
+115
-130
+120
-135
Loss
Win		-0.60042-0.58291-0.55010
Guilherme Pat
Allen Frye		57.0%
43.0%
-170
+155
-160
+160
Win
Loss		-0.48418-0.48552-0.56205
Jamey-Lyn Horth
Tereza Bleda		45.1%
54.9%
+210
-215
+210
-230
Win
Loss		-1.13650-1.15078-0.79649
Petr Yan
Merab Dvalishvili		26.7%
73.3%
+315
-385
+335
-360
Win
Loss		-1.45732-1.48259-1.32058
Joshua Van
Alexandre Pantoja		36.3%
63.7%
+180
-205
+190
-200
Win
Loss		-1.05849-1.07614-1.01313
Tatsuro Taira
Brandon Moreno		51.5%
48.5%
-117
+105
-110
+105
Win
Loss		-0.64434-0.65817-0.66442
Payton Talbott
Henry Cejudo		69.8%
30.2%
-244
+220
-260
+220
Win
Loss		-0.36504-0.35955-0.35918
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1210-1 (0.833)0-0.50201 
Sportsbooks1210-1 (0.833)0-0.49403 
DRatings129-2 (0.750)0-0.52836
-0.02635
-0.03433

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.