Bracketology


Tournament Bracket

Welcome to our Bracketology page! Here we plan to prep you for everything that will take place during March Madness! To come up with our bracketology predictions, we use a combination of variables including our own NCAA college basketball ratings, RPI, strength of schedule (SOS), and few other factors to come up with the Bracket Rating. As is customary with the NCAA tournament, we also include the automatic qualifiers which are the champions from the conference tournaments. If the conference champion hasn’t yet been determined, then the highest rated team is predicted to be the champion. All of the factors that we use are key indicators that are very good predictors of which teams will make the final tournament.

Note that below there are 68 teams that make the NCAA tournament, and the winners of each conference are automatically included in the tournament. Because there are four play-in games, there are 2 seed groups that will have more than 4 teams.

Early in the season (pre-January) a lot of the teams may appear to have some strange seedings. Before teams get into conference play, there is a lot of projection that needs to be done to seed the teams. As we get into January and February, the projections are slowly worked out of the equation and only actual results are used.

* denotes that the team gets an automatic bid due to winning their conference.
# denotes first round play-in game

Updated on 3/11/2018 @ 4:35pm ET.

Bracketology – NCAA Tournament – Bubble Teams

Last Four In First Four Out Next Four Out
St Mary’s CA
Oklahoma
USC
Texas
Arizona St
Louisville
Marquette
Oklahoma St
Syracuse
Baylor
MTSU
Notre Dame


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Bracketology – 2018 NCAA Tournament Seeding Predictions

Projected Seed Team Conf Record Actual Seed SOS (Rank)
1 Seeds
Virginia
ACC*
31-2
NCAA – 1
0.979 (22)
Villanova
Big East*
30-4
NCAA – 1
1.039 (11)
Kansas
Big 12*
27-7
NCAA – 1
1.212 (2)
Xavier
Big East
28-5
NCAA – 1
1.007 (17)
2 Seeds
North Carolina
ACC
25-10
NCAA – 2
1.331 (1)
Duke
ACC
26-7
NCAA – 2
1.000 (21)
Cincinnati
AAC*
29-4
NCAA – 2
0.390 (82)
Purdue
Big Ten
28-6
NCAA – 2
0.750 (49)
3 Seeds
Michigan St
Big Ten
29-4
NCAA – 3
0.605 (70)
Michigan
Big Ten*
28-7
NCAA – 3
0.680 (60)
Tennessee
SEC
25-8
NCAA – 3
1.155 (3)
Auburn
SEC
25-7
NCAA – 4
0.814 (41)
4 Seeds
West Virginia
Big 12
24-10
NCAA – 5
0.957 (24)
Arizona
Pac-12*
27-7
NCAA – 4
0.741 (52)
Texas Tech
Big 12
24-9
NCAA – 3
0.880 (37)
Gonzaga
WCC*
30-4
NCAA – 4
0.087 (119)
5 Seeds
Kentucky
SEC*
24-10
NCAA – 5
1.150 (4)
Wichita St
AAC
25-7
NCAA – 4
0.688 (59)
Clemson
ACC
23-9
NCAA – 5
0.956 (25)
Ohio St
Big Ten
24-8
NCAA – 5
0.806 (43)
6 Seeds
Houston
AAC
26-6
NCAA – 6
0.368 (87)
Arkansas
SEC
23-11
NCAA – 7
1.038 (12)
Florida
SEC
20-12
NCAA – 6
1.042 (10)
Miami FL
ACC
22-9
NCAA – 6
0.748 (50)
7 Seeds
Texas A&M
SEC
20-12
NCAA – 7
1.113 (8)
TCU
Big 12
21-11
NCAA – 6
1.037 (13)
Nevada
MWC
27-7
NCAA – 7
0.439 (80)
Seton Hall
Big East
20-11
NCAA – 8
0.942 (26)
8 Seeds
Virginia Tech
ACC
21-11
NCAA – 8
0.669 (61)
Rhode Island
A-10
25-7
NCAA – 7
0.371 (85)
Missouri
SEC
20-12
NCAA – 8
0.879 (38)
Providence
Big East
21-12
NCAA – 10
1.006 (18)
9 Seeds
Kansas St
Big 12
22-11
NCAA – 9
0.895 (34)
Creighton
Big East
20-11
NCAA – 8
0.659 (63)
NC State
ACC
21-11
NCAA – 9
0.628 (67)
Butler
Big East
20-13
NCAA – 10
1.025 (14)
10 Seeds
Florida St
ACC
20-11
NCAA – 9
0.780 (46)
St Bonaventure
A-10
25-7
NCAA – 11
0.219 (98)
Alabama
SEC
19-15
NCAA – 9
1.127 (6)
UCLA
Pac-12
21-11
NCAA – 11
0.760 (48)
11 Seeds
Texas
Big 12#
19-14
NCAA – 10
1.105 (9)
USC
Pac-12#
23-11
NIT – 1
0.721 (54)
Oklahoma
Big 12#
18-13
NCAA – 10
1.135 (5)
St Mary’s CA
WCC#
28-5
NIT – 1
-0.06 (145)
Loyola-Chicago
MVC*
27-5
NCAA – 11
0.045 (127)
San Diego St
MWC*
22-10
NCAA – 11
0.203 (103)
12 Seeds
New Mexico St
WAC*
28-5
NCAA – 12
-0.44 (246)
Davidson
A-10*
21-11
NCAA – 12
0.327 (89)
S Dakota St
Summit*
28-6
NCAA – 12
-0.37 (216)
Murray St
OVC*
26-5
NCAA – 12
-0.65 (296)
13 Seeds
Buffalo
MAC*
27-9
NCAA – 13
0.038 (129)
UNC Greensboro
Southern*
25-7
NCAA – 13
-0.36 (211)
Col Charleston
Colonial*
26-7
NCAA – 13
-0.44 (244)
Marshall
CUSA*
24-10
NCAA – 13
-0.24 (175)
14 Seeds
Montana
Big Sky*
25-7
NCAA – 14
-0.32 (198)
Bucknell
Patriot*
25-9
NCAA – 14
-0.41 (233)
Wright St
Horizon*
25-9
NCAA – 14
-0.59 (284)
SF Austin
Southland*
27-6
NCAA – 14
-0.98 (341)
15 Seeds
Georgia St
Sun Belt*
24-10
NCAA – 15
-0.52 (271)
Lipscomb
ASUN*
23-9
NCAA – 15
-0.64 (294)
Iona
MAAC*
20-13
NCAA – 15
-0.22 (173)
Penn
Ivy*
23-8
NCAA – 16
-0.54 (277)
16 Seeds
CS Fullerton
Big West*
20-11
NCAA – 15
-0.29 (189)
UMBC
AEC*
23-10
NCAA – 16
-0.75 (317)
Radford
Big South*#
22-12
NCAA – 16
-0.53 (276)
Long Island
NEC*#
17-16
NCAA – 16
-0.78 (324)
TX Southern
SWAC*#
15-19
NCAA – 16
-0.46 (255)
NC Central
MEAC*#
18-15
NCAA – 16
-1.32 (351)

There are currently three teams that are ineligible for the 2018 tournament due to APR. These teams are Alabama A&M, Grambling and SE Missouri St.


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Bracketology – 2018 NIT Tournament Bracket Predictions

For the hardcore college basketball fan, we have now introduced bracketology for the NIT tournament (otherwise known as NITology). The NIT takes the next 32 best teams that did not make the NCAA tournament.

All regular season champions that did not win their conference tournament automatically qualify for the National Invitation Tournament (NIT). It is important to note that early predictions will be flawed because of this rule. Typically, there are about seven to nine teams that win their conference in the regular season but don’t win their conference tournament and end up in the NIT. So, in early predictions, if your team is a seven or eight seed, then it is likely they won’t make the tournament because of these auto qualifiers.

* denotes that the team gets an automatic bid due to winning their conference in the regular season.

Seed Team Conf Record Actual Seed SOS (Rank)
1 Seeds
Arizona St
Pac-12
20-11
NCAA – 11
0.701 (57)
Louisville
ACC
20-13
NIT – 2
0.934 (27)
Marquette
Big East
19-13
NIT – 2
1.001 (20)
Oklahoma St
Big 12
19-14
NIT – 2
0.923 (30)
2 Seeds
Syracuse
ACC
20-13
NCAA – 11
0.906 (33)
Baylor
Big 12
18-14
NIT – 1
0.887 (35)
MTSU
CUSA*
24-7
NIT – 3
0.106 (112)
Notre Dame
ACC
20-14
NIT – 1
0.795 (44)
3 Seeds
Penn St
Big Ten
21-13
NIT – 4
0.644 (65)
Nebraska
Big Ten
22-10
NIT – 5
0.616 (69)
Mississippi St
SEC
22-11
NIT – 4
0.486 (76)
LSU
SEC
17-14
NIT – 3
0.882 (36)
4 Seeds
Boise St
MWC
22-8
NIT – 4
0.237 (96)
Utah
Pac-12
19-11
NIT – 2
0.641 (66)
WKU
CUSA
23-10
NIT – 4
0.207 (102)
Oregon
Pac-12
22-12
NIT – 3
0.481 (78)
5 Seeds
Maryland
Big Ten
18-13
Out
0.741 (51)
Washington
Pac-12
20-12
NIT – 5
0.602 (71)
Boston College
ACC
19-15
NIT – 5
0.715 (55)
BYU
WCC
24-10
NIT – 6
0.100 (114)
6 Seeds
Old Dominion
CUSA
25-7
Out
-0.19 (166)
ULL
Sun Belt*
27-6
NIT – 6
-0.46 (256)
Vermont
AEC*
27-7
NIT – 6
-0.46 (254)
UC Davis
Big West*
22-10
NIT – 7
-0.30 (193)
7 Seeds
Rider
MAAC*
22-9
NIT – 6
-0.22 (172)
N Kentucky
Horizon*
19-9
NIT – 7
-0.53 (274)
FL Gulf Coast
ASUN*
22-11
NIT – 7
-0.75 (316)
Harvard
Ivy*
18-13
NIT – 7
-0.25 (177)
8 Seeds
Wagner
NEC*
23-9
NIT – 8
-0.90 (337)
SE Louisiana
Southland*
22-11
NIT – 8
-0.84 (330)
UNC Asheville
Big South*
20-12
NIT – 8
-0.39 (227)
Hampton
MEAC*
18-15
NIT – 8
-1.04 (343)