Bracketology


Tournament Bracket

Welcome to our Bracketology page! Here we plan to prep you for everything that will take place during March Madness! To come up with our bracketology predictions, we use a combination of variables including our own NCAA college basketball ratings, RPI, strength of schedule (SOS), and few other factors to come up with the Bracket Rating. As is customary with the NCAA tournament, we also include the automatic qualifiers which are the champions from the conference tournaments. If the conference champion hasn’t yet been determined, then the highest rated team is predicted to be the champion. All of the factors that we use are key indicators that are very good predictors of which teams will make the final tournament.

Note that below there are 68 teams that make the NCAA tournament, and the winners of each conference are automatically included in the tournament. Because there are four play-in games, there are 2 seed groups that will have more than 4 teams.

Early in the season (pre-January) a lot of the teams may appear to have some strange seedings. Before teams get into conference play, there is a lot of projection that needs to be done to seed the teams. As we get into January and February, the projections are slowly worked out of the equation and only actual results are used.

* denotes that the team gets an automatic bid due to winning their conference.
# denotes first round play-in game

FINAL: Updated on 3/17/2019 @ 4:55pm EST.

Bracketology – NCAA Tournament – Bubble Teams

Last Four In First Four Out Next Four Out
Arizona St
Temple
Ohio St
NC State
Clemson
Belmont
St John’s
Creighton
UNC Greensboro
Alabama
Indiana
Memphis

The team listed at the top of the “Last Four In” is the most vulnerable to miss the tournament.

Bracketology – 2019 NCAA Tournament Seeding Predictions

Projected Seed Team Conf Record Actual Seed SOS (Rank)
1 Seeds
Duke
ACC*
29-5
NCAA – 1
1.390 (2)
Virginia
ACC
29-3
NCAA – 1
1.040 (36)
Gonzaga
WCC
30-3
NCAA – 1
0.442 (79)
North Carolina
ACC
27-6
NCAA – 1
1.367 (6)
2 Seeds
Michigan St
Big Ten
27-6
NCAA – 2
1.267 (12)
Tennessee
SEC
29-5
NCAA – 2
1.028 (40)
Kentucky
SEC
27-6
NCAA – 2
1.245 (15)
Michigan
Big Ten*
28-5
NCAA – 2
1.097 (26)
3 Seeds
Houston
AAC
31-2
NCAA – 3
0.377 (84)
LSU
SEC
26-6
NCAA – 3
1.062 (31)
Florida St
ACC
27-7
NCAA – 4
1.142 (22)
Texas Tech
Big 12
26-6
NCAA – 3
0.819 (58)
4 Seeds
Purdue
Big Ten
23-9
NCAA – 3
1.310 (10)
Kansas
Big 12
25-9
NCAA – 4
1.505 (1)
Wisconsin
Big Ten
23-10
NCAA – 5
1.258 (14)
Kansas St
Big 12
25-8
NCAA – 4
1.063 (30)
5 Seeds
Iowa St
Big 12*
23-11
NCAA – 6
1.071 (29)
Auburn
SEC*
26-9
NCAA – 5
1.058 (33)
Virginia Tech
ACC
24-8
NCAA – 4
0.851 (56)
Mississippi St
SEC
23-10
NCAA – 5
1.159 (19)
6 Seeds
Villanova
Big East*
25-9
NCAA – 6
0.988 (45)
Marquette
Big East
24-9
NCAA – 5
0.853 (55)
Buffalo
MAC*
31-3
NCAA – 6
0.186 (95)
Maryland
Big Ten
22-10
NCAA – 6
1.144 (21)
7 Seeds
Louisville
ACC
20-13
NCAA – 7
1.321 (9)
Cincinnati
AAC*
27-6
NCAA – 7
0.492 (74)
Nevada
MWC
29-4
NCAA – 7
0.093 (107)
Wofford
Southern*
29-4
NCAA – 7
-0.13 (154)
8 Seeds
Iowa
Big Ten
22-11
NCAA – 10
0.967 (48)
Seton Hall
Big East
20-13
NCAA – 10
1.052 (34)
UCF
AAC
23-8
NCAA – 9
0.525 (69)
Mississippi
SEC
20-12
NCAA – 8
0.952 (50)
9 Seeds
Minnesota
Big Ten
21-13
NCAA – 10
1.226 (16)
Utah St
MWC*
28-6
NCAA – 8
-0.09 (143)
Oklahoma
Big 12
19-13
NCAA – 9
1.370 (5)
Syracuse
ACC
20-13
NCAA – 8
1.138 (23)
10 Seeds
Baylor
Big 12
19-13
NCAA – 9
0.959 (49)
Washington
Pac-12
26-8
NCAA – 9
0.580 (65)
VA Commonwealth
A-10
25-7
NCAA – 8
0.278 (89)
Florida
SEC
19-15
NCAA – 10
1.326 (8)
11 Seeds
TCU
Big 12
20-13
NIT – 1
1.062 (32)
St Mary’s CA
WCC*
22-11
NCAA – 11
0.433 (81)
NC State
ACC#
22-11
NIT – 2
0.623 (63)
Ohio St
Big Ten#
19-14
NCAA – 11
1.120 (25)
Temple
AAC#
23-9
NCAA – 11
0.522 (70)
Arizona St
Pac-12#
22-10
NCAA – 11
0.519 (71)
12 Seeds
Murray St
OVC*
27-4
NCAA – 12
-0.58 (262)
Oregon
Pac-12*
23-12
NCAA – 12
0.473 (76)
New Mexico St
WAC*
30-4
NCAA – 12
-0.54 (253)
Liberty
ASUN*
28-6
NCAA – 12
-0.79 (305)
13 Seeds
UC Irvine
Big West*
30-5
NCAA – 13
-0.46 (233)
Vermont
AEC*
27-6
NCAA – 13
-0.59 (263)
Old Dominion
CUSA*
26-8
NCAA – 14
-0.13 (153)
Yale
Ivy*
22-7
NCAA – 14
-0.08 (140)
14 Seeds
Northeastern
Colonial*
23-10
NCAA – 13
0.045 (117)
Georgia St
Sun Belt*
24-9
NCAA – 14
0.005 (121)
St Louis
A-10*
23-12
NCAA – 13
0.145 (100)
N Kentucky
Horizon*
26-8
NCAA – 14
-0.61 (270)
15 Seeds
Colgate
Patriot*
24-10
NCAA – 15
-0.43 (226)
Montana
Big Sky*
26-8
NCAA – 15
-0.78 (303)
Bradley
MVC*
20-14
NCAA – 15
-0.27 (194)
Gardner Webb
Big South*
23-11
NCAA – 16
-0.81 (309)
16 Seeds
Abilene Chr
Southland*
27-6
NCAA – 15
-1.15 (345)
Prairie View
SWAC*
22-12
NCAA – 16
-0.92 (329)
F Dickinson
NEC*#
20-13
NCAA – 16
-0.94 (333)
N Dakota St
Summit*#
18-15
NCAA – 16
-0.50 (243)
Iona
MAAC*#
17-15
NCAA – 16
-0.56 (254)
NC Central
MEAC*#
18-15
NCAA – 16
-1.40 (353)

There are currently two teams that are ineligible for the 2019 tournament due to APR. Those teams are Alabama A&M and Florida A&M.

Bracketology – 2019 NIT Tournament Bracket Predictions

For the hardcore college basketball fan, we have now introduced bracketology for the NIT tournament (otherwise known as NITology). The NIT takes the next 32 best teams that did not make the NCAA tournament.

All regular season champions that did not win their conference tournament automatically qualify for the National Invitation Tournament (NIT). It is important to note that early predictions will be flawed because of this rule. Typically, there are about seven to nine teams that win their conference in the regular season but don’t win their conference tournament and end up in the NIT. So, in early predictions, if your team is a seven or eight seed, then it is likely they won’t make the tournament because of these auto qualifiers.

* denotes that the team gets an automatic bid due to winning their conference in the regular season.

Seed Team Conf Record Actual Seed SOS (Rank)
1 Seeds
Clemson
ACC
19-13
NIT – 2
1.032 (38)
Belmont
OVC*
26-5
NCAA – 11
-0.37 (216)
St John’s
Big East
21-12
NCAA – 11
0.700 (60)
Creighton
Big East
18-14
NIT – 2
0.905 (52)
2 Seeds
UNC Greensboro
Southern
28-6
NIT – 1
-0.07 (135)
Alabama
SEC
18-15
NIT – 1
1.207 (17)
Indiana
Big Ten
17-15
NIT – 1
1.183 (18)
Memphis
AAC
21-13
NIT – 3
0.537 (67)
3 Seeds
Lipscomb
ASUN*
25-7
NIT – 5
-0.43 (227)
Furman
Southern
25-7
NIT – 3
-0.29 (200)
Texas
Big 12
16-16
NIT – 2
1.343 (7)
Nebraska
Big Ten
18-16
NIT – 4
1.150 (20)
4 Seeds
Toledo
MAC
25-7
NIT – 6
-0.01 (124)
Xavier
Big East
18-15
NIT – 3
0.977 (47)
Georgetown
Big East
19-13
NIT – 3
0.667 (61)
ETSU
Southern
24-9
NIT – 4
-0.17 (163)
5 Seeds
Davidson
A-10
24-9
NIT – 4
0.082 (110)
South Carolina
SEC
16-16
Out
1.050 (35)
Fresno St
MWC
23-9
Out
-0.21 (169)
Providence
Big East
18-15
NIT – 4
0.858 (54)
6 Seeds
Dayton
A-10
21-11
NIT – 5
0.231 (92)
Arkansas
SEC
17-15
NIT – 5
1.029 (39)
San Francisco
WCC
21-10
Out
-0.04 (131)
Hofstra
Colonial*
27-7
NIT – 7
-0.47 (236)
7 Seeds
Harvard
Ivy*
18-11
NIT – 6
0.136 (102)
S Dakota St
Summit*
24-8
NIT – 7
-0.77 (301)
Loyola-Chicago
MVC*
20-13
NIT – 7
-0.18 (166)
Wright St
Horizon*
21-13
NIT – 7
-0.39 (220)
8 Seeds
Sam Houston St
Southland*
21-11
NIT – 8
-0.82 (313)
Campbell
Big South*
20-12
NIT – 8
-0.84 (317)
Norfolk St
MEAC*
21-13
NIT – 8
-1.24 (351)
St Francis PA
NEC*
18-14
NIT – 8
-0.77 (300)