Bracketology


Tournament Bracket

Welcome to our Bracketology page! Here we plan to prep you for everything that will take place during March Madness! To come up with our bracketology predictions, we use a combination of variables including our own NCAA college basketball ratings, RPI, strength of schedule (SOS), and few other factors to come up with the Bracket Rating. As is customary with the NCAA tournament, we also include the automatic qualifiers which are the champions from the conference tournaments. If the conference champion hasn’t yet been determined, then the highest rated team is predicted to be the champion. All of the factors that we use are key indicators that are very good predictors of which teams will make the final tournament.

Note that below there are 68 teams that make the NCAA tournament, and the winners of each conference are automatically included in the tournament. Because there are four play-in games, there are 2 seed groups that will have more than 4 teams.

Early in the season (pre-January) a lot of the teams may appear to have some strange seedings. Before teams get into conference play, there is a lot of projection that needs to be done to seed the teams. As we get into January and February, the projections are slowly worked out of the equation and only actual results are used.

* denotes that the team gets an automatic bid due to winning their conference.
# denotes first round play-in game

Updated on 4/23/2018.

Bracketology – NCAA Tournament – Bubble Teams

Last Four In First Four Out Next Four Out
Vanderbilt
Notre Dame
Indiana
St John’s
Wisconsin
Iowa St
Houston
Kansas St
Arkansas
Alabama
Oklahoma
Oklahoma St


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Bracketology – 2019 NCAA Tournament Seeding Predictions

Projected Seed Team Conf Record Bracket Rating SOS (Rank)
1 Seeds
Villanova
Big East*
0-0
23.03
0 (1)
Duke
ACC*
0-0
21.70
0 (1)
Kansas
Big 12*
0-0
21.17
0 (1)
Virginia
ACC
0-0
19.78
0 (1)
2 Seeds
North Carolina
ACC
0-0
18.53
0 (1)
Kentucky
SEC*
0-0
17.56
0 (1)
Gonzaga
WCC*
0-0
17.14
0 (1)
Michigan
Big Ten*
0-0
16.97
0 (1)
3 Seeds
Michigan St
Big Ten
0-0
14.90
0 (1)
West Virginia
Big 12
0-0
14.81
0 (1)
Purdue
Big Ten
0-0
14.35
0 (1)
Texas Tech
Big 12
0-0
13.77
0 (1)
4 Seeds
Tennessee
SEC
0-0
13.68
0 (1)
Auburn
SEC
0-0
13.47
0 (1)
Florida
SEC
0-0
12.60
0 (1)
Cincinnati
AAC*
0-0
12.59
0 (1)
5 Seeds
Clemson
ACC
0-0
11.98
0 (1)
Xavier
Big East
0-0
11.98
0 (1)
Wichita St
AAC
0-0
11.56
0 (1)
Nevada
MWC*
0-0
11.39
0 (1)
6 Seeds
Ohio St
Big Ten
0-0
11.28
0 (1)
Florida St
ACC
0-0
10.78
0 (1)
TCU
Big 12
0-0
10.66
0 (1)
NC State
ACC
0-0
10.60
0 (1)
7 Seeds
Texas A&M
SEC
0-0
10.56
0 (1)
Penn St
Big Ten
0-0
10.47
0 (1)
UCLA
Pac-12*
0-0
10.46
0 (1)
Butler
Big East
0-0
10.36
0 (1)
8 Seeds
Miami FL
ACC
0-0
10.17
0 (1)
Virginia Tech
ACC
0-0
10.16
0 (1)
Seton Hall
Big East
0-0
10.00
0 (1)
Syracuse
ACC
0-0
9.821
0 (1)
9 Seeds
Oregon
Pac-12
0-0
9.729
0 (1)
Texas
Big 12
0-0
9.589
0 (1)
Baylor
Big 12
0-0
9.541
0 (1)
Louisville
ACC
0-0
9.384
0 (1)
10 Seeds
Mississippi St
SEC
0-0
9.246
0 (1)
Arizona
Pac-12
0-0
9.245
0 (1)
Arizona St
Pac-12
0-0
9.077
0 (1)
LSU
SEC
0-0
8.976
0 (1)
11 Seeds
Maryland
Big Ten
0-0
8.610
0 (1)
St John’s
Big East#
0-0
8.135
0 (1)
Loyola-Chicago
MVC*
0-0
7.909
0 (1)
Indiana
Big Ten#
0-0
7.711
0 (1)
Notre Dame
ACC#
0-0
7.503
0 (1)
Vanderbilt
SEC#
0-0
7.385
0 (1)
12 Seeds
Rhode Island
A-10*
0-0
2.362
0 (1)
WKU
CUSA*
0-0
1.784
0 (1)
New Mexico St
WAC*
0-0
1.141
0 (1)
Buffalo
MAC*
0-0
1.001
0 (1)
13 Seeds
Murray St
OVC*
0-0
0.953
0 (1)
S Dakota St
Summit*
0-0
0.668
0 (1)
Montana
Big Sky*
0-0
0.437
0 (1)
ULL
Sun Belt*
0-0
0.051
0 (1)
14 Seeds
UNC Greensboro
Southern*
0-0
0.044
0 (1)
Vermont
AEC*
0-0
0.044
0 (1)
Northeastern
Colonial*
0-0
-0.51
0 (1)
Bucknell
Patriot*
0-0
-0.94
0 (1)
15 Seeds
SF Austin
Southland*
0-0
-1.10
0 (1)
N Kentucky
Horizon*
0-0
-1.21
0 (1)
Penn
Ivy*
0-0
-1.60
0 (1)
UC Davis
Big West*
0-0
-1.63
0 (1)
16 Seeds
Rider
MAAC*
0-0
-1.77
0 (1)
Lipscomb
ASUN*
0-0
-2.56
0 (1)
Winthrop
Big South*#
0-0
-3.10
0 (1)
Wagner
NEC*#
0-0
-3.57
0 (1)
TX Southern
SWAC*#
0-0
-5.94
0 (1)
Hampton
MEAC*#
0-0
-6.36
0 (1)

There are currently three teams that are ineligible for the 2018 tournament due to APR. These teams are Alabama A&M, Grambling and SE Missouri St.


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Bracketology – 2019 NIT Tournament Bracket Predictions

For the hardcore college basketball fan, we have now introduced bracketology for the NIT tournament (otherwise known as NITology). The NIT takes the next 32 best teams that did not make the NCAA tournament.

All regular season champions that did not win their conference tournament automatically qualify for the National Invitation Tournament (NIT). It is important to note that early predictions will be flawed because of this rule. Typically, there are about seven to nine teams that win their conference in the regular season but don’t win their conference tournament and end up in the NIT. So, in early predictions, if your team is a seven or eight seed, then it is likely they won’t make the tournament because of these auto qualifiers.

* denotes that the team gets an automatic bid due to winning their conference in the regular season.

Seed Team Conf Record Bracket Rating SOS (Rank)
1 Seeds
Wisconsin
Big Ten
0-0
6.915
0 (1)
Iowa St
Big 12
0-0
4.729
0 (1)
Houston
AAC
0-0
4.330
0 (1)
Kansas St
Big 12
0-0
4.079
0 (1)
2 Seeds
Arkansas
SEC
0-0
3.843
0 (1)
Alabama
SEC
0-0
3.819
0 (1)
Oklahoma
Big 12
0-0
3.711
0 (1)
Oklahoma St
Big 12
0-0
3.683
0 (1)
3 Seeds
Creighton
Big East
0-0
3.542
0 (1)
Providence
Big East
0-0
3.476
0 (1)
Missouri
SEC
0-0
3.432
0 (1)
Marquette
Big East
0-0
2.823
0 (1)
4 Seeds
Georgia
SEC
0-0
2.568
0 (1)
Nebraska
Big Ten
0-0
2.283
0 (1)
San Diego St
MWC
0-0
1.906
0 (1)
St Mary’s CA
WCC
0-0
1.896
0 (1)
5 Seeds
Boston College
ACC
0-0
1.820
0 (1)
USC
Pac-12
0-0
1.784
0 (1)
South Carolina
SEC
0-0
1.569
0 (1)
Utah
Pac-12
0-0
1.440
0 (1)
6 Seeds
St Bonaventure
A-10
0-0
1.348
0 (1)
MTSU
CUSA
0-0
1.264
0 (1)
Boise St
MWC
0-0
1.123
0 (1)
Davidson
A-10
0-0
1.082
0 (1)
7 Seeds
Temple
AAC
0-0
0.830
0 (1)
Washington
Pac-12
0-0
0.706
0 (1)
Old Dominion
CUSA
0-0
0.599
0 (1)
Northwestern
Big Ten
0-0
0.332
0 (1)
8 Seeds
Mississippi
SEC
0-0
0.165
0 (1)
BYU
WCC
0-0
0.151
0 (1)
Georgetown
Big East
0-0
0.132
0 (1)
UCF
AAC
0-0
0.001
0 (1)