Brazil Serie A Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for February 12, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Santos
Athletico Paranaense 		24.3%
47.8%		27.9%
+263
+125

0.87
1.35		2.22
o2¼-110
u2¼-110

Botafogo RJ
Fluminense 		25.9%
45.5%		28.6%
+340
+100

0.90
1.28		2.18
o2¼-108
u2¼-110

Bragantino
Corinthians 		18.4%
57.3%		24.3%
+326
+108

0.83
1.66		2.49
o2¼-107
u2¼-112

Palmeiras
Internacional 		42.0%
29.3%		28.6%
+138
+226

1.24
0.98		2.22
o2½+102
u2½-116

Games for Feb 11, 2026
Games for Feb 13, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Bragantino
Sport Recife		40.0%
30.4%		29.6%
+135
+306
+130
+270
0
0		-1.13663-1.11337-1.21871
America (MG)
Atletico Goianiense		22.6%
52.8%		24.6%
+210
+155
+220
+150
1
1		-1.16581-1.13202-1.40251
Fortaleza
Ceara		25.2%
49.2%		25.5%
+152
+235
+150
+240
1
3		-1.23509-1.27375-0.70861
Santos
Chapecoense		36.7%
33.1%		30.2%
+120
+270
+115
+245
1
0		-0.82044-0.81758-1.00286
Sport Recife
Bahia		24.0%
51.4%		24.6%
+370
-108
+390
-125
1
0		-1.55575-1.63758-1.42728
Athletico Paranaense
Atletico Mineiro		23.8%
52.4%		23.8%
+425
-137
+470
-150
0
2		-0.58971-0.56268-0.64636
Flamengo
Corinthians		47.7%
27.9%		24.4%
-140
+410
-140
+400
3
1		-0.58069-0.59122-0.73980
Gremio
Bragantino		32.6%
39.0%		28.4%
+295
+105
+305
+100
0
1		-0.75232-0.74188-0.94204
Cuiaba
Internacional		13.4%
72.6%		14.0%
+475
-132
+530
-155
0
0		-1.26429-1.30372-1.96840
Palmeiras
Sao Paulo		33.7%
36.2%		30.1%
+175
+193
+170
+195
0
0		-1.14743-1.12902-1.20131
Corinthians
Cuiaba		39.8%
30.1%		30.1%
+170
+210
+170
+205
2
1		-1.04214-1.04714-0.92078
Chapecoense
Juventude		34.1%
33.8%		32.1%
+282
+128
+285
+120
0
1		-0.86277-0.84035-1.08486
Ceara
Sport Recife		35.3%
33.4%		31.3%
+142
+281
+135
+260
0
0		-1.11868-1.10009-1.16018
Atletico Goianiense
Santos		27.9%
44.7%		27.4%
+400
-123
+375
-120
1
0		-1.65412-1.61119-1.27568
Internacional
Athletico Paranaense		36.3%
32.4%		31.3%
+215
+155
+210
+145
1
2		-0.96577-0.94804-1.12686
Bragantino
Fortaleza		37.0%
33.1%		29.9%
+175
+180
+175
+175
0
1		-1.06427-1.06025-1.10521
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks41-1-2 (0.500)0-1.07690 
Sportsbooks40-0-2 (0.750)4 
DRatings41-1-2 (0.500)0-1.09968
-0.02278

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor is used to predict future Brazilian Serie A soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.