Brazil Serie A Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for February 12, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Santos
Athletico Paranaense 		24.3%
47.8%		27.9%
+263
+125

0.87
1.35		2.22
o2¼-110
u2¼-110

Botafogo RJ
Fluminense 		25.9%
45.5%		28.6%
+340
+100

0.90
1.28		2.18
o2¼-108
u2¼-110

Bragantino
Corinthians 		18.4%
57.3%		24.3%
+326
+108

0.83
1.66		2.49
o2¼-107
u2¼-112

Palmeiras
Internacional 		42.0%
29.3%		28.6%
+139
+226

1.24
0.98		2.22
o2½+102
u2½-116

Games for Feb 11, 2026
Games for Feb 13, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Sao Paulo
Flamengo		26.9%
49.9%		23.2%
+520
-152
+460
-155
1
5		-0.51096-0.54957-0.69601
Bahia
Atletico Mineiro		21.6%
59.1%		19.3%
+449
-150
+460
-155
0
3		-0.54929-0.54957-0.52582
Fluminense
Palmeiras		19.9%
60.3%		19.8%
+603
-150
+525
-160
0
1		-0.53065-0.53731-0.50622
America (MG)
Gremio		22.7%
54.8%		22.5%
+330
+102
+340
-110
1
1		-1.25152-1.24660-1.48961
Atletico Goianiense
Cuiaba		42.8%
28.1%		29.1%
+215
+160
+210
+155
1
2		-0.99355-0.98840-1.26961
Sport Recife
America (MG)		26.5%
45.2%		28.4%
+460
-103
+470
-140
1
0		-1.71169-1.79198-1.32950
Juventude
Internacional		13.4%
72.6%		14.0%
+460
-116
+440
-135
0
1		-0.63309-0.60669-0.31994
Santos
Bragantino		29.7%
42.9%		27.4%
+345
-103
+290
-105
2
2		-1.30078-1.30567-1.29448
Flamengo
Bahia		50.6%
27.0%		22.4%
+106
+400
-155
+435
5
0		-0.65201-0.54775-0.68072
Palmeiras
Atletico Goianiense		44.9%
27.6%		27.5%
+104
+320
-115
+340
3
0		-0.74202-0.68045-0.80042
Cuiaba
Chapecoense		25.0%
47.9%		27.0%
+210
+160
+210
+165
3
2		-1.16690-1.18097-1.38529
Gremio
Fluminense		34.6%
35.8%		29.6%
+215
+170
+180
+180
1
0		-1.16620-1.08152-1.06163
Atletico Mineiro
Corinthians		42.9%
29.5%		27.6%
+195
+175
+190
+160
2
1		-1.11502-1.12043-0.84651
Fortaleza
Sao Paulo		19.3%
61.0%		19.7%
+297
+115
+240
+140
1
0		-1.42267-1.27791-1.64294
Athletico Paranaense
Ceara		34.2%
34.4%		31.4%
+300
+130
+240
+130
0
1		-0.81425-0.88312-1.06796
Corinthians
Fortaleza		37.2%
32.1%		30.7%
+250
+135
+255
+135
0
1		-0.90342-0.90515-1.13591
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks41-1-2 (0.500)0-1.07690 
Sportsbooks40-0-2 (0.750)4 
DRatings41-1-2 (0.500)0-1.09968
-0.02278

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor is used to predict future Brazilian Serie A soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.