Brazil Serie A Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for February 5, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Fluminense
Bahia 		30.4%
40.9%		28.7%
+262
+119

1.01
1.22		2.23
o2½+106
u2½-125

Chapecoense
Vasco da Gama 		17.0%
58.0%		24.9%
+495
-152

0.73
1.60		2.33
o2¼-130
u2½-122

Coritiba
Cruzeiro 		13.9%
62.4%		23.7%
+725
-230

0.64
1.68		2.32
o2¼-124
u2½-120

Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Feb 4, 2026
Games for Feb 10, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Botafogo RJ
Gremio 		30.8%
39.9%		29.3%
+230
+136

2.16
o2¼-110
u2¼-105

2nd H
46:00		2
1
Vitoria
Palmeiras 		9.5%
73.3%		17.1%
+910
-315

2.92
o2½-120
u2¾-120

2nd H
51:00		0
3

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Atletico Mineiro
Fortaleza		31.3%
39.7%		29.0%
-172
+500

3
3		-1.45303-1.23770
Palmeiras
Mirassol		46.9%
25.3%		27.8%
+100
+304

1
2		-1.43540-1.37441
Gremio
Fortaleza		26.2%
46.5%		27.3%
+290
+111

2
2		-1.25836-1.29968
Santos
Flamengo		8.7%
75.6%		15.8%
+997
-298

2
3		-0.31515-0.28023
Botafogo RJ
Vitoria		46.4%
25.5%		28.0%
+138
+220

0
0		-1.21389-1.27168
Fluminense
Cruzeiro		17.6%
56.5%		25.9%
+372
-105

0
0		-1.23124-1.35035
Ceara
Corinthians		22.0%
50.1%		27.9%
+486
-130

1
0		-1.77425-1.51240
Bragantino
Sao Paulo		21.4%
53.7%		24.9%
+480
-130

1
0		-1.77319-1.54201
Bahia
Internacional		18.3%
57.8%		23.9%
+239
+131

2
2		-1.20491-1.43037
Juventude
Vasco da Gama		21.3%
51.3%		27.4%
+540
-186

3
1		-1.89213-1.54656
Atletico Mineiro
Sport Recife		37.0%
31.6%		31.4%
+142
+251

4
2		-0.88310-0.99409
Santos
Palmeiras		12.0%
68.1%		19.8%
+965
-290

0
2		-0.32385-0.38352
Fortaleza
Ceara		23.5%
48.9%		27.6%
+248
+133

1
1		-1.17202-1.28779
Mirassol
Fluminense		17.3%
58.2%		24.5%
+435
-125

0
1		-0.61960-0.54120
Flamengo
Sao Paulo		46.0%
27.2%		26.7%
-107
+372

2
2		-1.20357-1.31983
Bahia
Atletico Mineiro		22.7%
51.8%		25.5%
+267
+116

0
3		-0.80874-0.65824
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks31-0-2 (0.667)0-1.19464 
Sportsbooks30-0-2 (0.833)3 
DRatings31-0-2 (0.667)0-1.26664
-0.07199

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor is used to predict future Brazilian Serie A soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.