Chelsea at Milan

Updated

Chelsea

50.7%25.0%24.3%
Chelsea WinDrawMilan Win
1.60Projected Goals 1.02
2Final Score 0

Milan

Last 5 Games

Chelsea
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Milan-140
T 1-1 vs RB Salzburg-330
L 0-1 at Dinamo Zagreb-250
W 3-2 at Real Madrid+165
L 3-1 vs Real Madrid+110
Milan
Money Line
L 0-3 at Chelsea+400
W 1-3 vs Dinamo Zagreb-325
T 1-1 at RB Salzburg+100
L 2-1 vs Liverpool+130
W 1-0 at Atletico Madrid+467

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chelsea+125-+130+135+122+135+135+140.3
Milan+215-+220+217+213+217+220+243.1
Draw+235-+215+240+246+240+246+242.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chelsea+135-+130-+105+130+130+140.3
Milan+205-+225-+215+225+225+243.1
Draw+235-+223-+205+225+225+242.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chelsea: 30.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chelsea: 0.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chelsea ML moved from +136 to +125
Milan ML moved from +223 to +217

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chelsea: 30.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chelsea: 0.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chelsea ML moved from +140 to +126
No Steam Moves On Milan ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-108-o2¼-120o2½+112-o2½+112o2¼-120o2½+119
Underu2½-112-u2¼+100u2½-132-u2½-132u2½-132u2½-119
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+100o2½+100o2½+110-o2½+100o2½+115o2½+115o2½+119
Underu2½-120u2½-120u2½-130-u2½-130u2½-135u2½-120u2½-119

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¼-115 to o2½+100
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.0%
 
No49.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.31%
Exactly 225.01%
Exactly 414.26%
Exactly 63.25%
Exactly 80.40%
 
Exactly 119.13%
Exactly 321.81%
Exactly 57.46%
Exactly 71.21%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Chelsea
Exactly 020.31%
Exactly 132.38%
Exactly 225.80%
Exactly 313.71%
Exactly 45.46%
Exactly 51.74%
Exactly 60.46%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 036.01%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.79%
Exactly 36.40%
Exactly 41.63%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.79%
Exactly 221.84%
Exactly 42.67%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.08%
Exactly 38.82%
Exactly 50.65%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chelsea
Exactly 047.81%
Exactly 135.28%
Exactly 213.02%
Exactly 33.20%
Exactly 40.59%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 062.32%
Exactly 129.47%
Exactly 26.97%
Exactly 31.10%
Exactly 40.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Chelsea
Wins by 2+ goals26.54%
Wins by 3+ goals11.07%
Wins by 4+ goals3.76%
Wins by 5+ goals1.06%
Milan
Wins by 2+ goals8.78%
Wins by 3+ goals2.42%
Wins by 4+ goals0.51%

Exact Winning Margin

Chelsea
Milan
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Chelsea
Wins by 1 goal24.10%
Wins by 2 goals15.48%
Wins by 3 goals7.30%
Wins by 4 goals2.70%
Wins by 5 goals0.82%
Milan
Wins by 1 goal15.45%
Wins by 2 goals6.35%
Wins by 3 goals1.91%
Wins by 4 goals0.44%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.69%7.31%
1.573.56%26.44%
2.548.54%51.46%
3.526.74%73.26%
4.512.48%87.52%
5.55.02%94.98%
6.51.77%98.23%

Total Goals Chelsea Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.69%20.31%
1.547.31%52.69%
2.521.51%78.49%
3.57.80%92.20%
4.52.34%97.66%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.99%36.01%
1.527.22%72.78%
2.58.43%91.57%
3.52.03%97.97%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.21%29.79%
1.534.13%65.87%
2.512.29%87.71%
3.53.47%96.53%

Score Props

Correct Score

Chelsea
Milan
Score01234
0
7.31%
7.47%
3.82%
1.30%
0.33%
1
11.66%
11.91%
6.08%
2.07%
0.53%
2
9.29%
9.49%
4.85%
1.65%
0.42%
3
4.94%
5.04%
2.58%
0.88%
0.22%
4
1.97%
2.01%
1.03%
0.35%
0.09%
5
0.63%
0.64%
0.33%
0.11%
0.03%
Chelsea
1-011.66%
2-09.29%
2-19.49%
3-04.94%
3-15.04%
3-22.58%
4-01.97%
4-12.01%
4-21.03%
4-30.35%
5-00.63%
5-10.64%
5-20.33%
5-30.11%
Draw
0-07.31%
1-111.91%
2-24.85%
3-30.88%
Milan
0-17.47%
0-23.82%
1-26.08%
0-31.30%
1-32.07%
2-31.65%
0-40.33%
1-40.53%
2-40.42%
3-40.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Chelsea
Milan
Score0123
0
29.79%
14.09%
3.33%
0.53%
1
21.99%
10.40%
2.46%
0.39%
2
8.11%
3.84%
0.91%
0.14%
3
2.00%
0.94%
0.22%
0.04%
4
0.37%
0.17%
0.04%
0.01%
Chelsea
1-021.99%
2-08.11%
2-13.84%
3-02.00%
3-10.94%
3-20.22%
4-00.37%
4-10.17%
Draw
0-029.79%
1-110.40%
2-20.91%
Milan
0-114.09%
0-23.33%
1-22.46%
0-30.53%
1-30.39%
2-30.14%