Manchester City at Real Madrid

Updated

Manchester City

44.2%27.0%28.8%
Manchester City WinDrawReal Madrid Win
1.38Projected Goals 1.06
1Final Score 3

Real Madrid

Last 5 Games

Manchester City
Money Line
W 3-4 vs Real Madrid-205
T 0-0 at Atletico Madrid-132
W 0-1 vs Atletico Madrid-325
T 0-0 vs Sporting CP-500
W 5-0 at Sporting CP-310
Real Madrid
Money Line
L 3-4 at Manchester City+530
L 3-2 vs Chelsea+170
W 3-1 at Chelsea+270
W 1-3 vs Paris Saint-Germain+150
L 0-1 at Paris Saint-Germain+300

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-2.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBetting5DimesBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City+130-105-107-105-107+103+103+106.1
Real Madrid+200+245+265+237+265+259+265+266.0
Draw+255+300+305+298+305+300+305+314.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City-380--108-350-110+110+110+106.1
Real Madrid+310-+255+290+215+215+290+266.0
Draw+0-+305+0+265+290+305+314.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from +100 to -105
Real Madrid ML moved from +245 to +237

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Real Madrid: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 60.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from +100 to -102
Real Madrid ML moved from +300 to +290

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBetting5DimesBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-115o3-118o3¼+114-o3¼+114o3-112o3-112o3-104
Underu2¾-105u3-102u3¼-130-u3¼-130u3-103u3¼-130u3+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-110o3-135o3-115-o3-135o3-115o3-115o3-104
Underu3-120u3+115u3-105-u3+105u3-105u3+115u3+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3+115 to u3-105

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.9%
 
No51.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.72%
Exactly 225.95%
Exactly 412.86%
Exactly 62.55%
Exactly 80.27%
 
Exactly 121.28%
Exactly 321.10%
Exactly 56.28%
Exactly 70.89%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 025.17%
Exactly 134.72%
Exactly 223.95%
Exactly 311.01%
Exactly 43.80%
Exactly 51.05%
Exactly 60.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Madrid
Exactly 034.67%
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 219.45%
Exactly 36.87%
Exactly 41.82%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.33%
Exactly 220.61%
Exactly 42.19%
 
Exactly 136.51%
Exactly 37.76%
Exactly 50.49%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 052.80%
Exactly 133.72%
Exactly 210.77%
Exactly 32.29%
Exactly 40.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Madrid
Exactly 061.23%
Exactly 130.03%
Exactly 27.37%
Exactly 31.20%
Exactly 40.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals20.88%
Wins by 3+ goals7.72%
Wins by 4+ goals2.28%
Wins by 5+ goals0.54%
Real Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals10.90%
Wins by 3+ goals3.14%
Wins by 4+ goals0.69%

Exact Winning Margin

Manchester City
Real Madrid
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal23.26%
Wins by 2 goals13.16%
Wins by 3 goals5.43%
Wins by 4 goals1.75%
Wins by 5 goals0.45%
Real Madrid
Wins by 1 goal17.86%
Wins by 2 goals7.76%
Wins by 3 goals2.45%
Wins by 4 goals0.59%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.28%8.72%
1.570.00%30.00%
2.544.04%55.96%
3.522.95%77.05%
4.510.08%89.92%
5.53.81%96.19%
6.51.26%98.74%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.83%25.17%
1.540.11%59.89%
2.516.16%83.84%
3.55.15%94.85%
4.51.35%98.65%

Total Goals Real Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.33%34.67%
1.528.61%71.39%
2.59.15%90.85%
3.52.28%97.72%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.67%32.33%
1.531.17%68.83%
2.510.55%89.45%
3.52.80%97.20%

Score Props

Correct Score

Manchester City
Real Madrid
Score01234
0
8.72%
9.24%
4.90%
1.73%
0.46%
1
12.04%
12.75%
6.75%
2.39%
0.63%
2
8.30%
8.80%
4.66%
1.65%
0.44%
3
3.82%
4.04%
2.14%
0.76%
0.20%
4
1.32%
1.40%
0.74%
0.26%
0.07%
5
0.36%
0.38%
0.20%
0.07%
0.02%
Manchester City
1-012.04%
2-08.30%
2-18.80%
3-03.82%
3-14.04%
3-22.14%
4-01.32%
4-11.40%
4-20.74%
4-30.26%
5-00.36%
5-10.38%
5-20.20%
Draw
0-08.72%
1-112.75%
2-24.66%
3-30.76%
Real Madrid
0-19.24%
0-24.90%
1-26.75%
0-31.73%
1-32.39%
2-31.65%
0-40.46%
1-40.63%
2-40.44%
3-40.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Manchester City
Real Madrid
Score0123
0
32.33%
15.86%
3.89%
0.64%
1
20.65%
10.13%
2.48%
0.41%
2
6.59%
3.23%
0.79%
0.13%
3
1.40%
0.69%
0.17%
0.03%
4
0.22%
0.11%
0.03%
0.00%
Manchester City
1-020.65%
2-06.59%
2-13.23%
3-01.40%
3-10.69%
3-20.17%
4-00.22%
4-10.11%
Draw
0-032.33%
1-110.13%
2-20.79%
Real Madrid
0-115.86%
0-23.89%
1-22.48%
0-30.64%
1-30.41%
2-30.13%