Newcastle Utd at Chelsea

Updated

Newcastle United

25.0%25.6%49.4%
Newcastle Utd WinDrawChelsea Win
1.02Projected Goals 1.54
1Final Score 1

Chelsea

Last 5 Games

Newcastle United
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Leicester City-320
W 1-4 vs Brighton and Hove Albion-120
T 2-2 at Leeds United-165
L 2-0 vs Arsenal+130
W 1-3 vs Southampton-373
Chelsea
Money Line
L 1-4 at Manchester United+470
L 0-1 at Manchester City+450
T 2-2 vs Nottingham Forest-185
W 3-1 at Bournemouth+110
L 1-3 at Arsenal+500

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle Utd+140+136+140+145+145+145+145+153.6
Chelsea+180+186+170+175+182+175+186+184.6
Draw+260+276+280+280+279+280+280+293.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle Utd+130-+140-+100+125+140+153.6
Chelsea+145-+170-+185+195+195+184.6
Draw+250-+269-+265+275+275+293.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Chelsea: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Newcastle Utd ML moved from +128 to +118
Chelsea ML moved from +185 to +175

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Chelsea: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Chelsea: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Newcastle Utd ML moved from +115 to +100
Chelsea ML moved from +180 to +170

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-115o3-127o3-120o3-116o3-115o3-116o3-115o3-107
Underu2¾-105u3+107u3+100u3+100u3+100u3+100u3+107u3+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-140o3-120o3-120-o3-115o3-120o3-115o3-107
Underu2½+110u3+100u3+100-u3-115u3+100u3+100u3+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-142 to o3-106
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-145 to o3-115
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.2%
 
No49.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.75%
Exactly 225.34%
Exactly 413.81%
Exactly 63.01%
Exactly 80.35%
 
Exactly 119.82%
Exactly 321.61%
Exactly 57.07%
Exactly 71.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 036.16%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.71%
Exactly 36.34%
Exactly 41.61%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - Chelsea
Exactly 021.43%
Exactly 133.01%
Exactly 225.42%
Exactly 313.05%
Exactly 45.03%
Exactly 51.55%
Exactly 60.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.60%
Exactly 221.45%
Exactly 42.51%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.24%
Exactly 38.47%
Exactly 50.59%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 062.44%
Exactly 129.41%
Exactly 26.92%
Exactly 31.09%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chelsea
Exactly 049.01%
Exactly 134.95%
Exactly 212.46%
Exactly 32.96%
Exactly 40.53%

Alternate Props

Spread

Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals9.05%
Wins by 3+ goals2.50%
Wins by 4+ goals0.52%
Chelsea
Wins by 2+ goals25.24%
Wins by 3+ goals10.20%
Wins by 4+ goals3.31%
Wins by 5+ goals0.85%
Wins by 6+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Newcastle United
Chelsea
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal15.90%
Wins by 2 goals6.55%
Wins by 3 goals1.97%
Wins by 4 goals0.45%
Chelsea
Wins by 1 goal24.08%
Wins by 2 goals15.04%
Wins by 3 goals6.89%
Wins by 4 goals2.46%
Wins by 5 goals0.71%
Wins by 6 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.25%7.75%
1.572.43%27.57%
2.547.09%52.91%
3.525.48%74.52%
4.511.66%88.34%
5.54.60%95.40%
6.51.59%98.41%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.84%36.16%
1.527.05%72.95%
2.58.35%91.65%
3.52.01%97.99%

Total Goals Chelsea Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.57%21.43%
1.545.56%54.44%
2.520.14%79.86%
3.57.08%92.92%
4.52.05%97.95%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.40%30.60%
1.533.16%66.84%
2.511.71%88.29%
3.53.24%96.76%

Score Props

Correct Score

Newcastle Utd
Chelsea
Score012345
0
7.75%
11.94%
9.19%
4.72%
1.82%
0.56%
1
7.88%
12.14%
9.35%
4.80%
1.85%
0.57%
2
4.01%
6.17%
4.76%
2.44%
0.94%
0.29%
3
1.36%
2.09%
1.61%
0.83%
0.32%
0.10%
4
0.35%
0.53%
0.41%
0.21%
0.08%
0.02%
Newcastle United
1-07.88%
2-04.01%
2-16.17%
3-01.36%
3-12.09%
3-21.61%
4-00.35%
4-10.53%
4-20.41%
4-30.21%
Draw
0-07.75%
1-112.14%
2-24.76%
3-30.83%
Chelsea
0-111.94%
0-29.19%
1-29.35%
0-34.72%
1-34.80%
2-32.44%
0-41.82%
1-41.85%
2-40.94%
3-40.32%
0-50.56%
1-50.57%
2-50.29%

Correct Score - First Half

Newcastle Utd
Chelsea
Score01234
0
30.60%
21.83%
7.78%
1.85%
0.33%
1
14.41%
10.28%
3.67%
0.87%
0.16%
2
3.39%
2.42%
0.86%
0.21%
0.04%
3
0.53%
0.38%
0.14%
0.03%
0.01%
Newcastle United
1-014.41%
2-03.39%
2-12.42%
3-00.53%
3-10.38%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-030.60%
1-110.28%
2-20.86%
Chelsea
0-121.83%
0-27.78%
1-23.67%
0-31.85%
1-30.87%
2-30.21%
0-40.33%
1-40.16%