Arsenal at Southampton

Updated

Arsenal

57.1%22.4%20.4%
Arsenal WinDrawSouthampton Win
1.87Projected Goals 1.02
1Final Score 1

Southampton

Last 5 Games

Arsenal
Money Line
W 1-0 at Leeds United-160
W 2-3 vs Liverpool+160
W 1-3 vs Tottenham-105
W 3-0 at Brentford-130
L 1-3 at Manchester United+170
Southampton
Money Line
W 1-0 at Bournemouth+180
T 1-1 vs West Ham United+195
L 0-4 at Manchester City+1950
L 2-1 vs Everton+130
L 0-1 at Aston Villa+260

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arsenal-170-211-215-215--215-211-195.8
Southampton+440+594+550+590-+590+594+637.0
Draw+310+361+350+380-+380+380+394.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arsenal-170--215--255-220-215-195.8
Southampton+450-+575-+525+600+600+637.0
Draw+315-+340-+300+355+355+394.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arsenal: 0.0%
Southampton: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arsenal: 0.0%
Southampton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arsenal ML moved from -210 to -220
Southampton ML moved from +550 to +525

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arsenal: 0.0%
Southampton: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arsenal: 0.0%
Southampton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arsenal ML moved from -210 to -220
Southampton ML moved from +425 to +400

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-120o3+111o2¾-122o2¾-118-o2¾-118o2¾-118o3+121
Underu2¾+100u3-131u2¾+102u2¾+102-u2¾+102u2¾+103u3-121
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+105o3+110o3+105-o3-105o3+110o3+110o3+121
Underu3-125u3-130u3-125-u3-125u3-130u3-125u3-121

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes54.2%
 
No45.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.55%
Exactly 223.20%
Exactly 416.16%
Exactly 64.50%
Exactly 80.67%
 
Exactly 116.05%
Exactly 322.36%
Exactly 59.35%
Exactly 71.86%
Exactly 90.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Arsenal
Exactly 015.44%
Exactly 128.84%
Exactly 226.94%
Exactly 316.78%
Exactly 47.84%
Exactly 52.93%
Exactly 60.91%
Exactly 70.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Southampton
Exactly 035.95%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.81%
Exactly 36.42%
Exactly 41.64%
Exactly 50.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.22%
Exactly 223.49%
Exactly 43.51%
Exactly 60.21%
 
Exactly 135.10%
Exactly 310.48%
Exactly 50.94%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arsenal
Exactly 042.10%
Exactly 136.42%
Exactly 215.75%
Exactly 34.54%
Exactly 40.98%
Exactly 50.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Southampton
Exactly 062.27%
Exactly 129.50%
Exactly 26.99%
Exactly 31.10%
Exactly 40.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Arsenal
Wins by 2+ goals33.09%
Wins by 3+ goals15.55%
Wins by 4+ goals6.02%
Wins by 5+ goals1.94%
Southampton
Wins by 2+ goals7.21%
Wins by 3+ goals1.96%
Wins by 4+ goals0.40%

Exact Winning Margin

Arsenal
Southampton
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Arsenal
Wins by 1 goal23.99%
Wins by 2 goals17.54%
Wins by 3 goals9.53%
Wins by 4 goals4.08%
Wins by 5 goals1.43%
Southampton
Wins by 1 goal13.13%
Wins by 2 goals5.25%
Wins by 3 goals1.55%
Wins by 4 goals0.35%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.45%5.55%
1.578.40%21.60%
2.555.21%44.79%
3.532.85%67.15%
4.516.68%83.32%
5.57.34%92.66%
6.52.83%97.17%

Total Goals Arsenal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.56%15.44%
1.555.72%44.28%
2.528.78%71.22%
3.511.99%88.01%
4.54.16%95.84%
5.51.23%98.77%

Total Goals Southampton Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.05%35.95%
1.527.27%72.73%
2.58.46%91.54%
3.52.04%97.96%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.78%26.22%
1.538.68%61.32%
2.515.19%84.81%
3.54.71%95.29%
4.51.20%98.80%

Score Props

Correct Score

Arsenal
Southampton
Score01234
0
5.55%
5.68%
2.90%
0.99%
0.25%
1
10.37%
10.61%
5.43%
1.85%
0.47%
2
9.69%
9.91%
5.07%
1.73%
0.44%
3
6.03%
6.17%
3.16%
1.08%
0.28%
4
2.82%
2.88%
1.47%
0.50%
0.13%
5
1.05%
1.08%
0.55%
0.19%
0.05%
Arsenal
1-010.37%
2-09.69%
2-19.91%
3-06.03%
3-16.17%
3-23.16%
4-02.82%
4-12.88%
4-21.47%
4-30.50%
5-01.05%
5-11.08%
5-20.55%
5-30.19%
Draw
0-05.55%
1-110.61%
2-25.07%
3-31.08%
4-40.13%
Southampton
0-15.68%
0-22.90%
1-25.43%
0-30.99%
1-31.85%
2-31.73%
0-40.25%
1-40.47%
2-40.44%
3-40.28%

Correct Score - First Half

Arsenal
Southampton
Score0123
0
26.22%
12.42%
2.94%
0.46%
1
22.68%
10.74%
2.54%
0.40%
2
9.81%
4.65%
1.10%
0.17%
3
2.83%
1.34%
0.32%
0.05%
4
0.61%
0.29%
0.07%
0.01%
5
0.11%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Arsenal
1-022.68%
2-09.81%
2-14.65%
3-02.83%
3-11.34%
3-20.32%
4-00.61%
4-10.29%
5-00.11%
Draw
0-026.22%
1-110.74%
2-21.10%
Southampton
0-112.42%
0-22.94%
1-22.54%
0-30.46%
1-30.40%
2-30.17%