Burnley at Arsenal

Updated

Burnley

4.0%9.9%86.2%
WinDrawArsenal Win
0.53Projected Goals 2.98
0Final Score 1

Arsenal

Last 5 Games

Burnley
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Aston Villa+550
L 1-3 at Leeds United+730
L 1-0 vs Manchester City+2000
L 1-4 at Nottingham Forest+650
L 2-0 vs Brighton and Hove Albion+450
Arsenal
Money Line
W 1-0 at West Ham United-175
W 0-3 vs Fulham-225
W 0-1 vs Newcastle United-245
L 1-2 at Manchester City+350
L 2-1 vs Bournemouth-225

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Burnley+2275+2600+1900+2400+2449+2400+2600+2490.9
Arsenal-1050-1111-950-865-1120-865-865-640.3
Draw+1150+1000+900+900+978+900+1000+936.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Burnley+2250-+2000--+2000+2000+2490.9
Arsenal-1250--1000---1000-1000-640.3
Draw+1100-+1048--+1000+1048+936.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Burnley: 10.0%
Arsenal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Burnley: 30.0%
Arsenal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Burnley ML moved from +2700 to +2600
Arsenal ML moved from -1102 to -1120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Burnley: 10.0%
Arsenal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Burnley: 0.0%
Arsenal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Burnley ML moved from +2100 to +2000
Arsenal ML moved from -1000 to -1050

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-106o3½+102o3½-102o3½-102o3½-102o3½-102o3½+102o3½+105
Underu3½-110u3½-116u3½-118u3½-114u3½-118u3½-114u3½-114u3½-105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-110o3½-105o3½-105o3½+100o3½-105o3½+100o3½+100o3½+105
Underu3½-110u3½-115u3½-115u3½-120u3½-125u3½-120u3½-115u3½-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3¼-108 to o3½+102
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3½+120 to o3½+100
The Under moved from u3½+100 to u3+115

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes38.8%
 
No61.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.99%
Exactly 218.43%
Exactly 418.90%
Exactly 67.76%
Exactly 81.71%
Exactly 100.23%
 
Exactly 110.50%
Exactly 321.55%
Exactly 513.27%
Exactly 73.89%
Exactly 90.66%
Exact Goals Scored - Burnley
Exactly 059.17%
Exactly 131.05%
Exactly 28.15%
Exactly 31.43%
Exactly 40.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Arsenal
Exactly 05.06%
Exactly 115.10%
Exactly 222.52%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 416.71%
Exactly 59.97%
Exactly 64.96%
Exactly 72.11%
Exactly 80.79%
Exactly 90.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 019.70%
Exactly 226.00%
Exactly 45.72%
Exactly 60.50%
 
Exactly 132.00%
Exactly 314.08%
Exactly 51.86%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Burnley
Exactly 078.43%
Exactly 119.06%
Exactly 22.32%
Exactly 30.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arsenal
Exactly 025.12%
Exactly 134.70%
Exactly 223.97%
Exactly 311.04%
Exactly 43.81%
Exactly 51.05%
Exactly 60.24%

Alternate Props

Spread

Burnley
Wins by 2+ goals0.78%
Arsenal
Wins by 2+ goals68.05%
Wins by 3+ goals46.25%
Wins by 4+ goals26.92%
Wins by 5+ goals13.50%
Wins by 6+ goals5.88%
Wins by 7+ goals2.22%
Wins by 8+ goals0.70%
Wins by 9+ goals0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Burnley
Arsenal
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Burnley
Wins by 1 goal3.16%
Wins by 2 goals0.67%
Arsenal
Wins by 1 goal18.01%
Wins by 2 goals21.80%
Wins by 3 goals19.33%
Wins by 4 goals13.42%
Wins by 5 goals7.62%
Wins by 6 goals3.66%
Wins by 7 goals1.52%
Wins by 8 goals0.55%
Wins by 9 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.01%2.99%
1.586.50%13.50%
2.568.07%31.93%
3.546.52%53.48%
4.527.62%72.38%
5.514.35%85.65%
6.56.60%93.40%
7.52.71%97.29%
8.51.00%99.00%

Total Goals Burnley Over/Under

OverUnder
0.540.83%59.17%
1.59.78%90.22%
2.51.63%98.37%

Total Goals Arsenal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.94%5.06%
1.579.84%20.16%
2.557.32%42.68%
3.534.91%65.09%
4.518.20%81.80%
5.58.23%91.77%
6.53.27%96.73%
7.51.16%98.84%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.30%19.70%
1.548.29%51.71%
2.522.30%77.70%
3.58.22%91.78%
4.52.51%97.49%

Score Props

Correct Score

Burnley
Arsenal
Score012345
0
2.99%
8.93%
13.33%
13.26%
9.89%
5.90%
1
1.57%
4.69%
6.99%
6.96%
5.19%
3.10%
2
0.41%
1.23%
1.84%
1.83%
1.36%
0.81%
Burnley
1-01.57%
2-00.41%
2-11.23%
Draw
0-02.99%
1-14.69%
2-21.84%
3-30.32%
Arsenal
0-18.93%
0-213.33%
1-26.99%
0-313.26%
1-36.96%
2-31.83%
0-49.89%
1-45.19%
2-41.36%
3-40.24%
0-55.90%
1-53.10%
2-50.81%
3-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Burnley
Arsenal
Score0123456
0
19.70%
27.22%
18.80%
8.66%
2.99%
0.83%
0.19%
1
4.79%
6.61%
4.57%
2.10%
0.73%
0.20%
0.05%
2
0.58%
0.80%
0.56%
0.26%
0.09%
0.02%
0.01%
Burnley
1-04.79%
2-00.58%
2-10.80%
Draw
0-019.70%
1-16.61%
2-20.56%
Arsenal
0-127.22%
0-218.80%
1-24.57%
0-38.66%
1-32.10%
2-30.26%
0-42.99%
1-40.73%
0-50.83%
1-50.20%
0-60.19%