Newcastle Utd at Chelsea

Updated

Newcastle United

19.8%23.5%56.7%
WinDrawChelsea Win
0.92Projected Goals 1.75
2Final Score 3

Chelsea

Last 5 Games

Newcastle United
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Wolverhampton-125
L 1-4 at Arsenal+800
T 2-2 vs Bournemouth-105
W 3-2 at Nottingham Forest+115
T 4-4 vs Luton Town-195
Chelsea
Money Line
T 2-2 at Brentford+114
T 1-1 at Manchester City+790
W 3-1 at Crystal Palace-140
L 4-2 vs Wolverhampton-185
L 1-4 at Liverpool+400

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle Utd+280+283+275+305+294+305+305+319.0
Chelsea-120-116-120-122-120-122-116-113.3
Draw+320+313+320+320+325+320+325+334.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle Utd+255-+280+260+235+290+290+319.0
Chelsea-110--120-125-135-120-120-113.3
Draw+310-+310+300+290+305+310+334.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Chelsea: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle Utd: 20.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Newcastle Utd ML moved from +283 to +274
Chelsea ML moved from -114 to -120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Chelsea: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Newcastle Utd ML moved from +255 to +245
Chelsea ML moved from -115 to -125

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-102o3½+107o3¼-115o3¼-116o3¼-110o3¼-116o3¼-110o3¼-107
Underu3¼-118u3½-127u3¼-105u3¼+100u3¼-104u3¼+100u3½-127u3¼+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+115o3½+115o3½+110o3½+115o3½+105o3½+110o3½+115o3¼-107
Underu3½-135u3½-135u3½-130u3½-135u3½-135u3½-130u3½-130u3¼+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.9%
 
No50.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.91%
Exactly 224.67%
Exactly 414.68%
Exactly 63.50%
Exactly 80.45%
 
Exactly 118.46%
Exactly 321.98%
Exactly 57.85%
Exactly 71.33%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 039.60%
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 216.99%
Exactly 35.25%
Exactly 41.22%
Exactly 50.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Chelsea
Exactly 017.44%
Exactly 130.46%
Exactly 226.59%
Exactly 315.48%
Exactly 46.76%
Exactly 52.36%
Exactly 60.69%
Exactly 70.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.01%
Exactly 222.21%
Exactly 42.83%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 135.90%
Exactly 39.16%
Exactly 50.70%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 065.12%
Exactly 127.93%
Exactly 25.99%
Exactly 30.86%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chelsea
Exactly 044.55%
Exactly 136.02%
Exactly 214.56%
Exactly 33.92%
Exactly 40.79%
Exactly 50.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals6.59%
Wins by 3+ goals1.67%
Wins by 4+ goals0.32%
Chelsea
Wins by 2+ goals31.82%
Wins by 3+ goals14.33%
Wins by 4+ goals5.29%
Wins by 5+ goals1.62%
Wins by 6+ goals0.40%

Exact Winning Margin

Newcastle United
Chelsea
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal13.17%
Wins by 2 goals4.92%
Wins by 3 goals1.35%
Wins by 4 goals0.28%
Chelsea
Wins by 1 goal24.83%
Wins by 2 goals17.49%
Wins by 3 goals9.05%
Wins by 4 goals3.67%
Wins by 5 goals1.22%
Wins by 6 goals0.33%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.09%6.91%
1.574.63%25.37%
2.549.96%50.04%
3.527.99%72.01%
4.513.30%86.70%
5.55.45%94.55%
6.51.96%98.04%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.40%39.60%
1.523.72%76.28%
2.56.73%93.27%
3.51.48%98.52%

Total Goals Chelsea Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.56%17.44%
1.552.09%47.91%
2.525.50%74.50%
3.510.02%89.98%
4.53.26%96.74%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.99%29.01%
1.535.08%64.92%
2.512.87%87.13%
3.53.71%96.29%

Score Props

Correct Score

Newcastle Utd
Chelsea
Score012345
0
6.91%
12.06%
10.53%
6.13%
2.68%
0.93%
1
6.40%
11.17%
9.76%
5.68%
2.48%
0.87%
2
2.96%
5.18%
4.52%
2.63%
1.15%
0.40%
3
0.92%
1.60%
1.40%
0.81%
0.35%
0.12%
4
0.21%
0.37%
0.32%
0.19%
0.08%
0.03%
Newcastle United
1-06.40%
2-02.96%
2-15.18%
3-00.92%
3-11.60%
3-21.40%
4-00.21%
4-10.37%
4-20.32%
4-30.19%
Draw
0-06.91%
1-111.17%
2-24.52%
3-30.81%
Chelsea
0-112.06%
0-210.53%
1-29.76%
0-36.13%
1-35.68%
2-32.63%
0-42.68%
1-42.48%
2-41.15%
3-40.35%
0-50.93%
1-50.87%
2-50.40%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Newcastle Utd
Chelsea
Score01234
0
29.01%
23.46%
9.48%
2.56%
0.52%
1
12.44%
10.06%
4.07%
1.10%
0.22%
2
2.67%
2.16%
0.87%
0.24%
0.05%
3
0.38%
0.31%
0.12%
0.03%
0.01%
Newcastle United
1-012.44%
2-02.67%
2-12.16%
3-00.38%
3-10.31%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-029.01%
1-110.06%
2-20.87%
Chelsea
0-123.46%
0-29.48%
1-24.07%
0-32.56%
1-31.10%
2-30.24%
0-40.52%
1-40.22%