English Premier League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 6, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Arsenal
Aston Villa 		46.7%
27.6%		25.7%
-105
+325
-109
+335
1.50
1.10		2.60
o2¼-115
u2¼+102
o2½+115
u2½-135
Chelsea
Bournemouth 		41.6%
30.4%		27.9%
+116
+233
+115
+220
1.28
1.05		2.33
o2¾-120
u3-114
o2½-150
u3-125
Volatility Bet Value Active
Nottingham Forest
Everton 		24.4%
49.6%		26.0%
+265
+122
+270
+115
0.97
1.50		2.47
o2¼-110
u2¼-102
o2½+125
u2½-140
Burnley
Newcastle United 		9.2%
74.4%		16.4%
+1000
-350
+915
-370
0.69
2.33		3.02
o3+100
u3-114
o3-105
u3-115
Sunderland
Manchester City 		7.3%
78.8%		13.8%
+1050
-405
+1060
-425
0.68
2.61		3.29
o3¼+106
u3¼-122
o3-125
u3+110
Brentford
Tottenham 		22.9%
53.4%		23.7%
+207
+134
+204
+130
1.05
1.73		2.78
o2½-118
u2¾-120
o2½-120
u2½+100
Liverpool
Leeds United 		67.2%
14.0%		18.8%
-115
+316
-120
+313
2.22
0.91		3.13
o2¾-113
u2¾+100
o2½-145
u3-130
Games for Dec 5, 2025
Games for Dec 7, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
West Ham United
Manchester United		11.3%
71.5%		17.2%
+650
-245
+650
-250
1
1		-1.68378-1.66400-1.75933
Chelsea
Leeds United		50.7%
24.4%		24.8%
-104
+320
+100
+305
1
3		-1.45745-1.41223-1.40854
Sunderland
Liverpool		5.7%
82.4%		11.9%
+750
-285
+750
-290
1
1		-1.76597-1.74686-2.12972
Nottingham Forest
Wolverhampton		37.0%
33.0%		30.0%
+138
+221
+140
+210
1
0		-0.90123-0.91252-0.99460
Aston Villa
Brighton and Hove Albion		25.3%
49.2%		25.5%
+225
+125
+230
+125
4
3		-1.21039-1.23467-1.37480
Brentford
Arsenal		9.2%
75.1%		15.7%
+725
-233
+700
-230
0
2		-0.39155-0.37339-0.28658
Crystal Palace
Burnley		52.8%
21.6%		25.6%
-136
+415
-135
+395
1
0		-0.58625-0.59793-0.63911
Tottenham
Newcastle United		23.3%
53.0%		23.7%
+320
-116
+330
-119
2
2		-1.38234-1.38701-1.44096
Everton
Bournemouth		26.4%
47.5%		26.1%
+240
+123
+240
+120
1
0		-1.25896-1.26986-1.33192
Manchester City
Fulham		57.6%
19.6%		22.8%
-157
+437
-160
+450
5
4		-0.52745-0.51483-0.55166
Arsenal
Chelsea		34.2%
37.7%		28.2%
+150
+225
+150
+220
1
1		-1.17662-1.16587-1.26734
Wolverhampton
Aston Villa		12.4%
68.4%		19.2%
+600
-200
+569
-205
0
1		-0.43576-0.44020-0.38010
Liverpool
West Ham United		72.0%
11.0%		17.0%
-165
+415
-160
+410
2
0		-0.50514-0.51864-0.32814
Brighton and Hove Albion
Nottingham Forest		33.0%
37.8%		29.2%
+157
+190
+160
+175
2
0		-0.97072-0.99701-1.10918
Manchester United
Crystal Palace		29.0%
43.9%		27.1%
+255
+109
+210
+125
2
1		-1.29836-1.17746-1.23829
Fulham
Tottenham		20.4%
57.1%		22.4%
+215
+138
+230
+136
2
1		-1.17451-1.21800-1.58866
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.68378 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.66400 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.75933
-0.07555
-0.09533

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.