Manchester City at Chelsea

Updated

Manchester City

52.6%24.3%23.1%
Manchester City WinDrawChelsea Win
1.67Projected Goals 1.02
1Final Score 0

Chelsea

Last 5 Games

Manchester City
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Everton-650
W 3-1 at Leeds United-370
L 2-1 vs Brentford-750
W 1-2 vs Fulham-550
W 1-0 at Leicester City-260
Chelsea
Money Line
T 1-1 at Nottingham Forest-170
W 0-2 vs Bournemouth-290
L 0-1 at Newcastle United+245
L 1-0 vs Arsenal+175
L 1-4 at Brighton and Hove Albion+136

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City-145-151-155-155-142-155-142-135.7
Chelsea+380+420+400+432+432+432+432+442.2
Draw+300+305+320+318+309+318+320+316.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City-160--150--180-160-150-135.7
Chelsea+450-+395-+365+415+415+442.2
Draw+300-+308-+275+310+310+316.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 0.0%
Chelsea: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from -145 to -152
Chelsea ML moved from +435 to +428

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 0.0%
Chelsea: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from -150 to -160
Chelsea ML moved from +380 to +365

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-105o2½-141o2¾-105o2¾-104o2½-129o2¾-104o2½-129o2½-121
Underu2¾-115u2½+119u2¾-115u2¾-112u2½+114u2¾-112u2¾-112u2½+121
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-130o2½-140o2½-130-o2½-145o2½-135o2½-130o2½-121
Underu2½+110u2½+120u2½+110-u2½+115u2½+115u2½+120u2½+121

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.9%
 
No48.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.79%
Exactly 224.56%
Exactly 414.81%
Exactly 63.57%
Exactly 80.46%
 
Exactly 118.26%
Exactly 322.02%
Exactly 57.97%
Exactly 71.37%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 018.81%
Exactly 131.43%
Exactly 226.25%
Exactly 314.62%
Exactly 46.11%
Exactly 52.04%
Exactly 60.57%
Exactly 70.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Chelsea
Exactly 036.09%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.74%
Exactly 36.37%
Exactly 41.62%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.78%
Exactly 222.32%
Exactly 42.89%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.85%
Exactly 39.27%
Exactly 50.72%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 046.13%
Exactly 135.69%
Exactly 213.81%
Exactly 33.56%
Exactly 40.69%
Exactly 50.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chelsea
Exactly 062.38%
Exactly 129.44%
Exactly 26.94%
Exactly 31.09%
Exactly 40.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals28.43%
Wins by 3+ goals12.29%
Wins by 4+ goals4.35%
Wins by 5+ goals1.28%
Chelsea
Wins by 2+ goals8.27%
Wins by 3+ goals2.27%
Wins by 4+ goals0.47%

Exact Winning Margin

Manchester City
Chelsea
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal24.16%
Wins by 2 goals16.14%
Wins by 3 goals7.95%
Wins by 4 goals3.07%
Wins by 5 goals0.97%
Chelsea
Wins by 1 goal14.74%
Wins by 2 goals6.00%
Wins by 3 goals1.79%
Wins by 4 goals0.41%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.21%6.79%
1.574.95%25.05%
2.550.39%49.61%
3.528.37%71.63%
4.513.56%86.44%
5.55.59%94.41%
6.52.02%97.98%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.19%18.81%
1.549.77%50.23%
2.523.51%76.49%
3.58.89%91.11%
4.52.78%97.22%

Total Goals Chelsea Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.91%36.09%
1.527.13%72.87%
2.58.39%91.61%
3.52.02%97.98%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.22%28.78%
1.535.38%64.62%
2.513.05%86.95%
3.53.79%96.21%

Score Props

Correct Score

Manchester City
Chelsea
Score01234
0
6.79%
6.92%
3.52%
1.20%
0.31%
1
11.34%
11.56%
5.89%
2.00%
0.51%
2
9.48%
9.66%
4.92%
1.67%
0.43%
3
5.28%
5.38%
2.74%
0.93%
0.24%
4
2.20%
2.25%
1.14%
0.39%
0.10%
5
0.74%
0.75%
0.38%
0.13%
0.03%
Manchester City
1-011.34%
2-09.48%
2-19.66%
3-05.28%
3-15.38%
3-22.74%
4-02.20%
4-12.25%
4-21.14%
4-30.39%
5-00.74%
5-10.75%
5-20.38%
5-30.13%
Draw
0-06.79%
1-111.56%
2-24.92%
3-30.93%
Chelsea
0-16.92%
0-23.52%
1-25.89%
0-31.20%
1-32.00%
2-31.67%
0-40.31%
1-40.51%
2-40.43%
3-40.24%

Correct Score - First Half

Manchester City
Chelsea
Score0123
0
28.78%
13.58%
3.20%
0.50%
1
22.27%
10.51%
2.48%
0.39%
2
8.61%
4.06%
0.96%
0.15%
3
2.22%
1.05%
0.25%
0.04%
4
0.43%
0.20%
0.05%
0.01%
Manchester City
1-022.27%
2-08.61%
2-14.06%
3-02.22%
3-11.05%
3-20.25%
4-00.43%
4-10.20%
Draw
0-028.78%
1-110.51%
2-20.96%
Chelsea
0-113.58%
0-23.20%
1-22.48%
0-30.50%
1-30.39%
2-30.15%