English Premier League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 6, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Arsenal
Aston Villa 		46.7%
27.6%		25.7%
-105
+325
-109
+330
1.50
1.10		2.60
o2¼-116
u2¼+103
o2½+115
u2½-135
Chelsea
Bournemouth 		41.6%
30.4%		27.9%
+116
+233
+115
+215
1.28
1.05		2.33
o2¾-120
u3-114
o2½-150
u3-125
Volatility Bet Value Active
Nottingham Forest
Everton 		24.4%
49.6%		26.0%
+265
+122
+266
+120
0.97
1.50		2.47
o2¼-110
u2¼-102
o2½+125
u2½-140
Burnley
Newcastle United 		9.2%
74.4%		16.4%
+1050
-350
+915
-370
0.69
2.33		3.02
o3-102
u3-112
o3-105
u3-115
Sunderland
Manchester City 		7.3%
78.8%		13.8%
+1100
-405
+1060
-425
0.68
2.61		3.29
o3-120
u3¼-122
o3-125
u3+110
Brentford
Tottenham 		22.9%
53.4%		23.7%
+207
+135
+204
+130
1.05
1.73		2.78
o2½-115
u2½+102
o2½-120
u2½+100
Liverpool
Leeds United 		67.2%
14.0%		18.8%
-112
+316
-110
+313
2.22
0.91		3.13
o2¾-112
u2¾+100
o2½-145
u3-130
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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Arsenal
Burnley		73.1%
10.0%		17.0%
-405
+1350
-400
+1150
2
0		-0.24517-0.26876-0.31389
Manchester United
Nottingham Forest		38.2%
33.3%		28.5%
+112
+242
+116
+225
2
2		-1.34010-1.32821-1.25467
Tottenham
Everton		32.1%
41.8%		26.1%
+229
+130
+230
+130
3
0		-1.22489-1.22960-1.13591
Crystal Palace
Arsenal		11.2%
70.8%		18.0%
+800
-253
+770
-260
0
1		-0.35859-0.36583-0.34535
Burnley
Wolverhampton		20.7%
53.8%		25.5%
+350
-105
+340
-105
3
2		-1.53563-1.51891-1.57499
Nottingham Forest
Bournemouth		22.4%
51.9%		25.7%
+305
-101
+315
+102
0
2		-0.71276-0.71302-0.65549
Manchester City
Aston Villa		38.8%
34.0%		27.2%
-118
+350
-120
+335
0
1		-1.52906-1.50463-1.07899
Liverpool
Brentford		66.0%
14.3%		19.7%
-121
+330
-125
+325
2
3		-1.48581-1.48457-1.94547
Brighton and Hove Albion
Manchester United		22.1%
53.6%		24.3%
+263
+102
+250
+102
2
4		-0.72652-0.74608-0.62271
Fulham
Newcastle United		18.7%
58.4%		22.9%
+500
-165
+500
-170
1
2		-0.50083-0.50788-0.53737
Sunderland
Chelsea		8.4%
76.0%		15.6%
+735
-220
+675
-235
2
1		-2.13987-2.09273-2.47148
West Ham United
Leeds United		25.8%
49.5%		24.7%
+366
-122
+380
-128
1
2		-0.63248-0.61654-0.70271
Brentford
West Ham United		31.8%
40.7%		27.5%
+165
+187
+165
+185
2
0		-0.99943-0.99666-1.14715
Manchester United
Liverpool		12.5%
69.4%		18.1%
+368
-144
+400
-143
2
1		-1.57046-1.62009-2.07617
Aston Villa
Tottenham		31.6%
42.5%		25.9%
+226
+130
+220
+130
2
1		-1.21510-1.18790-1.15201
Arsenal
Fulham		55.1%
21.2%		23.7%
-196
+650
-200
+620
1
0		-0.43992-0.45092-0.59691
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.68378 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.66400 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.75933
-0.07555
-0.09533

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.