English Premier League Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Chelsea
Crystal Palace
44.2%
28.1%
27.7%
-137
+412
-140
+425
3
1
-0.57058-0.56941-0.81561
Manchester United
Aston Villa
34.6%
37.8%
27.6%
+220
+116
+220
+112
2
1
-1.19201-1.20614-1.06135
Arsenal
West Ham United
46.6%
27.6%
25.8%
-185
+549
-200
+550
6
0
-0.46115-0.45215-0.76336
Newcastle United
Nottingham Forest
52.3%
22.5%
25.3%
+117
+233
+115
+222
3
2
-0.79538-0.81038-0.64903
Bournemouth
Fulham
23.5%
51.3%
25.2%
+180
+157
+180
+155
1
3
-0.96467-0.96281-0.66736
Brighton and Hove Albion
Tottenham
18.3%
60.2%
21.5%
+318
-133
+310
-134
1
2
-0.59196-0.59793-0.50770
Burnley
Liverpool
5.9%
81.6%
12.5%
+1450
-598
+1500
-655
1
3
-0.18647-0.17953-0.20314
Brentford
Wolverhampton
24.4%
49.1%
26.5%
+236
+125
+235
+122
2
0
-1.23008-1.23533-1.40989
Everton
Manchester City
4.3%
85.9%
9.8%
+1200
-418
+1210
-520
0
2
-0.23606-0.22609-0.15216
Manchester City
Brentford
75.4%
9.0%
15.6%
-263
+740
-280
+750
3
1
-0.34699-0.34105-0.28219
Liverpool
Arsenal
31.4%
41.9%
26.7%
+233
+122
+225
+120
1
3
-0.81477-0.82257-0.86903
Wolverhampton
Chelsea
10.3%
71.5%
18.1%
+515
-180
+485
-185
4
2
-1.83904-1.80551-2.26838
West Ham United
Manchester United
19.3%
58.2%
22.5%
+480
-174
+460
-180
0
3
-0.48331-0.48456-0.54046
Nottingham Forest
Bournemouth
22.4%
51.9%
25.7%
+408
-150
+375
-155
1
1
-1.50544-1.50828-1.35934
Aston Villa
Sheffield United
52.8%
22.2%
25.1%
-156
+440
-165
+425
5
0
-0.51691-0.52106-0.63925
Luton Town
Newcastle United
5.5%
82.6%
11.9%
+525
-182
+480
-195
4
4
-1.55538-1.57562-2.12586
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.