English Premier League Predictions

Updated 14 days ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
05/07/2023 06:00 PM	Manchester United West Ham United	67.6% 13.6%	18.8%	+106 +269 +100 +280	0 1	-1.32505-1.36098	-1.99694
05/07/2023 03:30 PM	Arsenal Newcastle United	34.1% 38.0%	27.9%	+206 +134 +195 +130	2 0	-1.13903-1.12701	-1.07649
05/06/2023 04:30 PM	Brentford Liverpool	7.8% 77.8%	14.3%	+587 -226 +562 -230	0 1	-0.39109-0.40792	-0.25075
05/06/2023 02:00 PM	Leeds United Manchester City	3.9% 87.1%	9.0%	+1685 -598 +1530 -685	1 2	-0.17810-0.18215	-0.13778
05/06/2023 02:00 PM	Chelsea Bournemouth	59.8% 17.8%	22.4%	+113 +260 +110 +254	3 1	-0.77494-0.77999	-0.51401
05/06/2023 02:00 PM	Crystal Palace Tottenham	16.2% 63.0%	20.8%	+342 -118 +309 -115	0 1	-0.63556-0.66738	-0.46256
05/06/2023 02:00 PM	Aston Villa Wolverhampton	33.9% 37.2%	28.8%	+142 +225 +134 +220	0 1	-1.19789-1.20424	-0.98811
05/04/2023 07:00 PM	Manchester United Brighton and Hove Albion	33.7% 37.8%	28.5%	+228 +121 +215 +119	0 1	-0.80995-0.81394	-0.97294
05/03/2023 07:00 PM	West Ham United Manchester City	2.8% 90.1%	7.1%	+1600 -555 +1450 -585	0 3	-0.19367-0.20427	-0.10451
05/03/2023 07:00 PM	Fulham Liverpool	7.1% 79.3%	13.6%	+915 -314 +900 -370	0 1	-0.29457-0.28662	-0.23208
05/02/2023 07:00 PM	Chelsea Arsenal	20.3% 56.5%	23.2%	+459 -158 +500 -175	1 3	-0.51133-0.48800	-0.57130
05/01/2023 07:00 PM	Everton Leicester City	21.1% 56.3%	22.6%	+303 +105 +280 +101	2 2	-1.27214-1.30637	-1.48651
04/30/2023 03:30 PM	Tottenham Liverpool	13.3% 68.5%	18.2%	+448 -181 +455 -188	3 4	-0.46968-0.46909	-0.37857
04/30/2023 01:00 PM	Leeds United Bournemouth	35.7% 36.1%	28.3%	+201 +150 +190 +145	1 4	-0.93815-0.93407	-1.01976
04/30/2023 01:00 PM	Manchester City Fulham	73.9% 9.9%	16.3%	-345 +1073 -368 +1060	2 1	-0.27740-0.25979	-0.30305
04/30/2023 01:00 PM	Southampton Newcastle United	9.2% 75.7%	15.2%	+1149 -380 +1050 -373	1 3	-0.25887-0.27753	-0.27889

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.