English Premier League Predictions

Updated 14 days ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
04/09/2023 03:30 PM	Arsenal Liverpool	19.5% 57.8%	22.6%	+154 +181 +160 +165	2 2	-1.32002-1.30970	-1.48611
04/09/2023 01:00 PM	Crystal Palace Leeds United	28.0% 45.3%	26.6%	+285 +111 +270 +105	5 1	-1.36728-1.34734	-1.27154
04/08/2023 04:30 PM	Manchester City Southampton	79.8% 7.3%	13.0%	-389 +1240 -425 +1150	4 1	-0.25364-0.25607	-0.22576
04/08/2023 02:00 PM	Bournemouth Leicester City	12.7% 69.0%	18.2%	+282 +110 +275 +101	1 0	-1.36285-1.36211	-2.05987
04/08/2023 02:00 PM	West Ham United Fulham	31.3% 41.5%	27.2%	+164 +197 +155 +192	1 0	-0.99093-0.97753	-1.16005
04/08/2023 02:00 PM	Brighton and Hove Albion Tottenham	22.6% 53.2%	24.1%	+161 +184 +155 +171	1 2	-1.06456-1.03891	-0.63083
04/08/2023 02:00 PM	Chelsea Wolverhampton	47.0% 25.9%	27.1%	-126 +401 -130 +388	0 1	-1.63563-1.62404	-1.34989
04/08/2023 02:00 PM	Newcastle United Brentford	43.0% 29.9%	27.1%	-103 +317 -105 +300	2 1	-0.70164-0.71123	-0.84488
04/08/2023 02:00 PM	Nottingham Forest Aston Villa	13.1% 67.1%	19.8%	+520 -166 +465 -175	0 2	-0.49413-0.50216	-0.39866
04/08/2023 11:30 AM	Everton Manchester United	9.3% 75.0%	15.6%	+510 -169 +520 -188	0 2	-0.48926-0.46954	-0.28731
04/05/2023 07:00 PM	Brentford Manchester United	9.2% 75.2%	15.6%	+466 -158 +425 -165	0 1	-0.51124-0.52106	-0.28459
04/05/2023 07:00 PM	Newcastle United West Ham United	36.9% 35.3%	27.8%	+131 +255 +123 +250	5 1	-0.85562-0.83850	-0.99688
04/04/2023 07:00 PM	Liverpool Chelsea	38.7% 33.6%	27.7%	+251 +122 +250 +110	0 0	-1.28790-1.29931	-1.28406
04/04/2023 06:45 PM	Brighton and Hove Albion Bournemouth	49.1% 24.3%	26.6%	-175 +491 -185 +490	2 0	-0.48430-0.47950	-0.71084
04/04/2023 06:45 PM	Nottingham Forest Leeds United	17.9% 59.1%	22.9%	+425 -140 +420 -145	1 2	-0.56562-0.57075	-0.52543
04/04/2023 06:45 PM	Aston Villa Leicester City	26.1% 49.6%	24.3%	+169 +175 +170 +165	2 1	-1.00961-1.03846	-1.34163

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.