English Premier League Soccer Predictions


Below are our projections for the coming week’s English Premier League match ups. We use our proprietary formula is project the score of each game down to two decimal places and provide the odds to win and draw for each team.

Week 1 English Premier League Predictions

Date Away Home Odds to Win ML Prediction Score Proj Total Goals
8/10 Leicester Manchester United Manchester United to win: 73.2% Manchester United -274 2.11 2.76
Leicester to win: 9.1% Leicester +999 0.65
Odds to Draw: 17.7% Draw +465
8/11 Tottenham Newcastle Newcastle to win: 18.7% Newcastle +435 0.93 2.67
Tottenham to win: 55.4% Tottenham -125 1.73
Odds to Draw: 25.9% Draw +287
8/11 Cardiff Bournemouth Bournemouth to win: 40.7% Bournemouth +146 1.25 2.30
Cardiff to win: 29.7% Cardiff +237 1.05
Odds to Draw: 29.6% Draw +238
8/11 Crystal Palace Fulham Fulham to win: 54.9% Fulham -122 1.69 2.63
Crystal Palace to win: 19% Crystal Palace +427 0.93
Odds to Draw: 26.1% Draw +284
8/11 Chelsea Huddersfield Huddersfield to win: 15.5% Huddersfield +546 0.84 2.66
Chelsea to win: 60.6% Chelsea -154 1.82
Odds to Draw: 23.9% Draw +319
8/11 Brighton Watford Watford to win: 46.3% Watford +116 1.31 2.25
Brighton to win: 25.1% Brighton +299 0.93
Odds to Draw: 28.6% Draw +250
8/11 Everton Wolves Wolves to win: 51.4% Wolves -106 1.51 2.43
Everton to win: 21.3% Everton +370 0.92
Odds to Draw: 27.3% Draw +267
8/12 West Ham Liverpool Liverpool to win: 84% Liverpool -525 2.95 3.52
West Ham to win: 4.8% West Ham +1984 0.56
Odds to Draw: 11.2% Draw +793
8/12 Burnley Southampton Southampton to win: 37.1% Southampton +170 0.98 1.90
Burnley to win: 33% Burnley +204 0.92
Odds to Draw: 29.9% Draw +235
8/12 Manchester City Arsenal Arsenal to win: 29.9% Arsenal +235 1.26 2.76
Manchester City to win: 40.4% Manchester City +148 1.50
Odds to Draw: 29.7% Draw +237

The odds to win and score projections are entirely based on our algorithm.

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Week 2 English Premier League Predictions

Date Away Home Odds to Win ML Prediction Score Proj Total Goals
8/18 Newcastle Cardiff Cardiff to win: 51.4% Cardiff -106 1.45 2.35
Newcastle to win: 21.3% Newcastle +370 0.89
Odds to Draw: 27.3% Draw +267
8/18 Watford Burnley Burnley to win: 57.4% Burnley -135 1.55 2.36
Watford to win: 17.4% Watford +475 0.80
Odds to Draw: 25.2% Draw +297
8/18 Southampton Everton Everton to win: 59.2% Everton -146 1.71 2.55
Southampton to win: 16.3% Southampton +514 0.83
Odds to Draw: 24.5% Draw +309
8/18 Wolves Leicester Leicester to win: 50.7% Leicester -103 1.50 2.45
Wolves to win: 21.8% Wolves +359 0.94
Odds to Draw: 27.5% Draw +264
8/18 Fulham Tottenham Tottenham to win: 71.6% Tottenham -253 2.30 3.04
Fulham to win: 9.8% Fulham +921 0.73
Odds to Draw: 18.6% Draw +438
8/18 Bournemouth West Ham West Ham to win: 45.7% West Ham +119 1.56 2.67
Bournemouth to win: 25.5% Bournemouth +293 1.11
Odds to Draw: 28.8% Draw +248
8/18 Arsenal Chelsea Chelsea to win: 52.2% Chelsea -110 1.79 2.84
Arsenal to win: 20.8% Arsenal +381 1.05
Odds to Draw: 27% Draw +271
8/19 Huddersfield Manchester City Manchester City to win: 86% Manchester City -615 2.87 3.38
Huddersfield to win: 4.1% Huddersfield +2340 0.51
Odds to Draw: 9.9% Draw +911
8/19 Manchester United Brighton Brighton to win: 17.4% Brighton +475 0.79 2.31
Manchester United to win: 57.4% Manchester United -135 1.51
Odds to Draw: 25.2% Draw +297
8/20 Liverpool Crystal Palace Crystal Palace to win: 15.1% Crystal Palace +563 0.87 2.83
Liverpool to win: 61.3% Liverpool -159 1.95
Odds to Draw: 23.6% Draw +324

Note that the projected money line for future games is simply a mathematical formula that is based on our projected odds to win. This is only a benchmark and it may or may not correspond to what the sportsbooks may be offering on the contest.

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EPL Season Prediction – Wins, Losses, Points

Below is our English Premier League table projections that we will update often as the season progresses. This projects out how each team will do in regards to the final season table. It provides probabilities for wins, losses, ties, points, and more.

Last simulation was done on 8/7/2018.

Actual Projected
Team Wins Losses Draws Points Wins Losses Draws Points
Manchester City
0
0
0
0
24.2
6.5
7.2
79.9
Liverpool
0
0
0
0
22.2
8
7.8
74.3
Chelsea
0
0
0
0
21
8.6
8.4
71.4
Manchester United
0
0
0
0
20.5
8.6
8.9
70.3
Arsenal
0
0
0
0
20.6
9.2
8.2
69.9
Tottenham
0
0
0
0
19.6
10
8.4
67.2
Leicester
0
0
0
0
14.2
14.6
9.2
51.8
Everton
0
0
0
0
13.9
14.6
9.5
51.2
Newcastle
0
0
0
0
13
15.7
9.3
48.3
Southampton
0
0
0
0
12.6
15.7
9.7
47.6
Crystal Palace
0
0
0
0
12.1
16.5
9.4
45.7
Wolves
0
0
0
0
12
16.4
9.6
45.6
Burnley
0
0
0
0
11.4
16.9
9.7
44
Bournemouth
0
0
0
0
11.2
18
8.7
42.5
West Ham
0
0
0
0
11.2
18.1
8.7
42.3
Watford
0
0
0
0
11
17.7
9.3
42.3
Brighton
0
0
0
0
10.9
17.6
9.5
42.2
Fulham
0
0
0
0
11.1
18.2
8.8
41.9
Huddersfield
0
0
0
0
9.4
19.6
9
37.2
Cardiff
0
0
0
0
8.6
20.2
9.2
35.1

EPL Season Prediction – Probability to win Title, Relegation

The top four in the English Premier League table at the end of the 2018-2019 season will get seeded into the Group Stage of the 2019-2020 Champions League. Similiarly, the fifth placed team will earn a berth to the Group Stage of Europa League for the following season.

Probability to Win/Advance/Be Demoted
Team Premiership Champs Lg Europa Lg Relegation
Manchester City
47.3%
90.8%
5%
0%
Liverpool
18.8%
77.7%
9.9%
0%
Chelsea
10%
61.1%
17%
0%
Manchester United
8.4%
55.9%
18.5%
0%
Arsenal
9.2%
56.6%
15.6%
0%
Tottenham
5.9%
43.2%
17.8%
0.2%
Leicester
0.2%
4.5%
4.1%
4.5%
Everton
0.2%
3.5%
2.7%
5.1%
Newcastle
0%
1.8%
1.8%
8.2%
Southampton
0%
1.3%
1.9%
9.2%
Crystal Palace
0%
0.8%
1%
14.8%
Wolves
0%
1%
0.9%
12.4%
Burnley
0%
0.4%
0.4%
18.1%
Bournemouth
0%
0.3%
0.6%
23.5%
West Ham
0%
0.1%
0.8%
23.9%
Watford
0%
0.3%
0.5%
23.4%
Brighton
0%
0.4%
0.4%
25.5%
Fulham
0%
0.2%
1%
26.5%
Huddersfield
0%
0%
0%
46.9%
Cardiff
0%
0.1%
0.1%
57.8%