Below are our projections for this week’s English Premier League match ups.
We also do an EPL season simulation that we update often. This projects out how each team will do in regards to the final season table. It provides probabilities for final place, Champions League, Europa League and relegation.
Week 37 English Premier League Predictions
| Date | Away | Home | Odds to Win | ML Prediction | Score Proj | Total Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/4 | Manchester United | Brighton | Brighton to win: 17.6% | Brighton +469 | 0.80 | 2.32 |
| Manchester United to win: 57.1% | Manchester United -134 | 1.52 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 25.3% | Draw +296 | — | ||||
| 5/5 | Crystal Palace | Stoke | Stoke to win: 38.7% | Stoke +159 | 1.11 | 2.12 |
| Crystal Palace to win: 31.5% | Crystal Palace +218 | 1.00 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 29.8% | Draw +236 | — | ||||
| 5/5 | Swansea | Bournemouth | Bournemouth to win: 57.9% | Bournemouth -138 | 1.80 | 2.71 |
| Swansea to win: 17.1% | Swansea +485 | 0.90 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 25% | Draw +300 | — | ||||
| 5/5 | West Ham | Leicester | Leicester to win: 67.8% | Leicester -211 | 2.08 | 2.84 |
| West Ham to win: 11.7% | West Ham +755 | 0.76 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 20.5% | Draw +388 | — | ||||
| 5/5 | Newcastle | Watford | Watford to win: 45.5% | Watford +120 | 1.43 | 2.47 |
| Newcastle to win: 25.7% | Newcastle +290 | 1.04 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 28.8% | Draw +248 | — | ||||
| 5/5 | Tottenham | West Brom | West Brom to win: 8.5% | West Brom +1077 | 0.64 | 2.82 |
| Tottenham to win: 74.7% | Tottenham -296 | 2.18 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 16.8% | Draw +496 | — | ||||
| 5/5 | Southampton | Everton | Everton to win: 58.9% | Everton -144 | 1.72 | 2.56 |
| Southampton to win: 16.5% | Southampton +507 | 0.84 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 24.6% | Draw +307 | — | ||||
| 5/6 | Huddersfield | Manchester City | Manchester City to win: 88% | Manchester City -734 | 3.07 | 3.56 |
| Huddersfield to win: 3.5% | Huddersfield +2758 | 0.48 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 8.5% | Draw +1077 | — | ||||
| 5/6 | Burnley | Arsenal | Arsenal to win: 66.9% | Arsenal -203 | 1.92 | 2.65 |
| Burnley to win: 12.1% | Burnley +727 | 0.73 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 21% | Draw +377 | — | ||||
| 5/6 | Liverpool | Chelsea | Chelsea to win: 45.2% | Chelsea +122 | 1.57 | 2.72 |
| Liverpool to win: 25.9% | Liverpool +287 | 1.15 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 28.9% | Draw +247 | — |
The odds to win and score projections are entirely based on our algorithm.
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Makeup Games English Premier League Predictions
| Date | Away | Home | Odds to Win | ML Prediction | Score Proj | Total Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/8 | Southampton | Swansea | Swansea to win: 41.9% | Swansea +139 | 1.20 | 2.18 |
| Southampton to win: 28.6% | Southampton +250 | 0.98 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 29.5% | Draw +239 | — | ||||
| 5/9 | Huddersfield | Chelsea | Chelsea to win: 82.4% | Chelsea -469 | 2.64 | 3.21 |
| Huddersfield to win: 5.4% | Huddersfield +1752 | 0.56 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 12.2% | Draw +720 | — | ||||
| 5/9 | Arsenal | Leicester | Leicester to win: 28.5% | Leicester +251 | 1.11 | 2.51 |
| Arsenal to win: 42.1% | Arsenal +138 | 1.39 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 29.4% | Draw +241 | — | ||||
| 5/9 | Brighton | Manchester City | Manchester City to win: 82.8% | Manchester City -482 | 2.67 | 3.22 |
| Brighton to win: 5.2% | Brighton +1824 | 0.55 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 12% | Draw +734 | — | ||||
| 5/9 | Newcastle | Tottenham | Tottenham to win: 78.9% | Tottenham -374 | 2.51 | 3.13 |
| Newcastle to win: 6.7% | Newcastle +1393 | 0.61 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 14.4% | Draw +595 | — | ||||
| 5/10 | Manchester United | West Ham | West Ham to win: 9.5% | West Ham +953 | 0.67 | 2.79 |
| Manchester United to win: 72.4% | Manchester United -263 | 2.12 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 18.1% | Draw +453 | — |
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Week 38 English Premier League Predictions
| Date | Away | Home | Odds to Win | ML Prediction | Score Proj | Total Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/13 | Bournemouth | Burnley | Burnley to win: 58.2% | Burnley -140 | 1.68 | 2.52 |
| Bournemouth to win: 16.9% | Bournemouth +492 | 0.84 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 24.9% | Draw +302 | — | ||||
| 5/13 | West Brom | Crystal Palace | Crystal Palace to win: 59.2% | Crystal Palace -146 | 1.59 | 2.38 |
| West Brom to win: 16.3% | West Brom +514 | 0.78 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 24.5% | Draw +309 | — | ||||
| 5/13 | Arsenal | Huddersfield | Huddersfield to win: 15.5% | Huddersfield +546 | 0.87 | 2.77 |
| Arsenal to win: 60.6% | Arsenal -154 | 1.90 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 23.9% | Draw +319 | — | ||||
| 5/13 | Brighton | Liverpool | Liverpool to win: 78.2% | Liverpool -359 | 2.42 | 3.04 |
| Brighton to win: 7% | Brighton +1329 | 0.61 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 14.8% | Draw +576 | — | ||||
| 5/13 | Watford | Manchester United | Manchester United to win: 79.2% | Manchester United -381 | 2.42 | 3.01 |
| Watford to win: 6.6% | Watford +1416 | 0.59 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 14.2% | Draw +605 | — | ||||
| 5/13 | Chelsea | Newcastle | Newcastle to win: 16.4% | Newcastle +510 | 0.89 | 2.73 |
| Chelsea to win: 59.1% | Chelsea -145 | 1.84 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 24.5% | Draw +309 | — | ||||
| 5/13 | Manchester City | Southampton | Southampton to win: 8.3% | Southampton +1105 | 0.67 | 3.04 |
| Manchester City to win: 75% | Manchester City -300 | 2.37 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 16.7% | Draw +499 | — | ||||
| 5/13 | Stoke | Swansea | Swansea to win: 52% | Swansea -109 | 1.50 | 2.42 |
| Stoke to win: 20.9% | Stoke +379 | 0.91 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 27.1% | Draw +270 | — | ||||
| 5/13 | Leicester | Tottenham | Tottenham to win: 74.5% | Tottenham -293 | 2.32 | 3.00 |
| Leicester to win: 8.6% | Leicester +1063 | 0.67 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 16.9% | Draw +492 | — | ||||
| 5/13 | Everton | West Ham | West Ham to win: 28.2% | West Ham +255 | 1.08 | 2.43 |
| Everton to win: 42.4% | Everton +136 | 1.35 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 29.4% | Draw +241 | — |
Note that the projected money line for future games is simply a mathematical formula that is based on our projected odds to win. This is only a benchmark and it may or may not correspond to what the sportsbooks may be offering on the contest.