English Premier League Soccer Predictions


Below are our projections for the coming week’s English Premier League match ups. We use our proprietary formula is project the score of each game down to two decimal places and provide the odds to win and draw for each team.

Week 9 English Premier League Predictions

Date Away Home Odds to Win ML Prediction Score Proj Total Goals
10/20 Manchester United Chelsea Chelsea to win: 45.7% Chelsea +119 1.38 2.38
Manchester United to win: 25.5% Manchester United +293 1.00
Odds to Draw: 28.8% Draw +248
10/20 Southampton Bournemouth Bournemouth to win: 57.4% Bournemouth -135 1.74 2.62
Southampton to win: 17.4% Southampton +475 0.88
Odds to Draw: 25.2% Draw +297
10/20 Fulham Cardiff Cardiff to win: 47% Cardiff +113 1.42 2.41
Fulham to win: 24.5% Fulham +309 0.99
Odds to Draw: 28.5% Draw +251
10/20 Burnley Manchester City Manchester City to win: 82.2% Manchester City -462 2.59 3.15
Burnley to win: 5.5% Burnley +1719 0.55
Odds to Draw: 12.3% Draw +714
10/20 Brighton Newcastle Newcastle to win: 55.3% Newcastle -124 1.56 2.42
Brighton to win: 18.7% Brighton +435 0.85
Odds to Draw: 26% Draw +285
10/20 Tottenham West Ham West Ham to win: 9.8% West Ham +921 0.73 3.06
Tottenham to win: 71.7% Tottenham -254 2.32
Odds to Draw: 18.5% Draw +441
10/20 Watford Wolves Wolves to win: 54.5% Wolves -120 1.53 2.40
Watford to win: 19.2% Watford +421 0.86
Odds to Draw: 26.3% Draw +281
10/20 Liverpool Huddersfield Huddersfield to win: 8.4% Huddersfield +1091 0.66 2.95
Liverpool to win: 74.9% Liverpool -299 2.29
Odds to Draw: 16.7% Draw +499
10/21 Crystal Palace Everton Everton to win: 50% Everton -100 1.50 2.47
Crystal Palace to win: 22.3% Crystal Palace +349 0.96
Odds to Draw: 27.7% Draw +262
10/22 Leicester Arsenal Arsenal to win: 67.9% Arsenal -212 2.27 3.09
Leicester to win: 11.6% Leicester +763 0.81
Odds to Draw: 20.5% Draw +388

The odds to win and score projections are entirely based on our algorithm.

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Week 10 English Premier League Predictions

Date Away Home Odds to Win ML Prediction Score Proj Total Goals
10/27 Wolves Brighton Brighton to win: 46.2% Brighton +117 1.25 2.15
Wolves to win: 25.1% Wolves +299 0.90
Odds to Draw: 28.7% Draw +249
10/27 Bournemouth Fulham Fulham to win: 57.8% Fulham -137 1.92 2.88
Bournemouth to win: 17.2% Bournemouth +482 0.95
Odds to Draw: 25% Draw +300
10/27 Cardiff Liverpool Liverpool to win: 80.1% Liverpool -403 2.51 3.10
Cardiff to win: 6.3% Cardiff +1488 0.59
Odds to Draw: 13.6% Draw +636
10/27 Newcastle Southampton Southampton to win: 36.4% Southampton +175 1.06 2.08
Newcastle to win: 33.6% Newcastle +198 1.02
Odds to Draw: 30% Draw +234
10/27 Huddersfield Watford Watford to win: 58.9% Watford -144 1.68 2.51
Huddersfield to win: 16.5% Huddersfield +507 0.83
Odds to Draw: 24.6% Draw +307
10/27 West Ham Leicester Leicester to win: 61.3% Leicester -159 1.99 2.88
West Ham to win: 15.1% West Ham +563 0.89
Odds to Draw: 23.6% Draw +324
10/28 Chelsea Burnley Burnley to win: 22.9% Burnley +337 0.93 2.37
Chelsea to win: 49.2% Chelsea +104 1.43
Odds to Draw: 27.9% Draw +259
10/28 Arsenal Crystal Palace Crystal Palace to win: 27.3% Crystal Palace +267 1.10 2.53
Arsenal to win: 43.5% Arsenal +130 1.43
Odds to Draw: 29.2% Draw +243
10/28 Everton Manchester United Manchester United to win: 73.2% Manchester United -274 2.11 2.77
Everton to win: 9.1% Everton +999 0.65
Odds to Draw: 17.7% Draw +465
10/29 Manchester City Tottenham Tottenham to win: 44.6% Tottenham +125 1.56 2.72
Manchester City to win: 26.4% Manchester City +279 1.16
Odds to Draw: 29% Draw +245

Note that the projected money line for future games is simply a mathematical formula that is based on our projected odds to win. This is only a benchmark and it may or may not correspond to what the sportsbooks may be offering on the contest.

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EPL Season Prediction – Wins, Losses, Points

Below is our English Premier League table projections that we will update often as the season progresses. This projects out how each team will do in regards to the final season table. It provides probabilities for wins, losses, ties, points, and more.

Last simulation was done on 10/10/2018.

Actual Projected
Team Wins Losses Draws Points Wins Losses Draws Points
Manchester City
6
0
2
20
25.4
4.9
7.7
83.9
Liverpool
6
0
2
20
24.2
5.8
7.9
80.6
Chelsea
6
0
2
20
22.3
7.3
8.4
75.2
Tottenham
6
2
0
18
22.6
9
6.4
74.3
Arsenal
6
2
0
18
22.1
9.4
6.5
72.8
Manchester United
4
3
1
13
19.7
10.4
8
67
Leicester
4
4
0
12
15.1
15.7
7.2
52.4
Everton
3
2
3
12
13.6
14.1
10.4
51.1
Wolves
4
1
3
15
13.1
14.5
10.4
49.6
Bournemouth
5
2
1
16
13.8
16.3
7.9
49.4
Watford
4
3
1
13
13
16.7
8.3
47.3
Brighton
2
4
2
8
11
17.4
9.6
42.5
Crystal Palace
2
5
1
7
11.4
18.4
8.2
42.4
Southampton
1
5
2
5
10.7
17.7
9.6
41.8
Newcastle
0
6
2
2
10.8
17.8
9.4
41.7
Burnley
2
4
2
8
10.5
18
9.4
41
West Ham
2
5
1
7
10.8
19.3
7.9
40.2
Fulham
1
5
2
5
9.6
19.5
9
37.6
Cardiff
0
6
2
2
7.5
21.1
9.4
31.8
Huddersfield
0
5
3
3
7.2
20.8
10
31.6

EPL Season Prediction – Probability to win Title, Relegation

The top four in the English Premier League table at the end of the 2018-2019 season will get seeded into the Group Stage of the 2019-2020 Champions League. Similiarly, the fifth placed team will earn a berth to the Group Stage of Europa League for the following season.

Probability to Win/Advance/Be Demoted
Team Premiership Champs Lg Europa Lg Relegation
Manchester City
51.3%
96.2%
2.7%
0%
Liverpool
26.1%
90.2%
7.5%
0%
Chelsea
9.6%
69.4%
17.1%
0%
Tottenham
7.3%
65%
19.4%
0%
Arsenal
4.7%
54.9%
24.6%
0%
Manchester United
1%
21.6%
21.9%
0%
Leicester
0%
1.1%
2.2%
0.8%
Everton
0%
0.8%
1.9%
1.3%
Wolves
0%
0.2%
0.7%
1.8%
Bournemouth
0%
0.1%
1.1%
2.2%
Watford
0%
0.2%
0.4%
5%
Brighton
0%
0%
0.1%
15.2%
Crystal Palace
0%
0%
0.2%
16%
Southampton
0%
0.1%
0.1%
18%
Newcastle
0%
0%
0.1%
19.3%
Burnley
0%
0.1%
0%
17.7%
West Ham
0%
0.1%
0%
24.9%
Fulham
0%
0%
0%
37.5%
Cardiff
0%
0%
0%
69%
Huddersfield
0%
0%
0%
71.3%