English Premier League Soccer Predictions


Below are our projections for the coming week’s English Premier League match ups. We use our proprietary formula is project the score of each game down to two decimal places and provide the odds to win and draw for each team.

Week 17 English Premier League Predictions

Date Away Home Odds to Win ML Prediction Score Proj Total Goals
12/15 Everton Manchester City Manchester City to win: 81.4% Manchester City -438 2.78 3.38
Everton to win: 5.8% Everton +1625 0.60
Odds to Draw: 12.8% Draw +682
12/15 Leicester Crystal Palace Crystal Palace to win: 52.2% Crystal Palace -110 1.59 2.54
Leicester to win: 20.8% Leicester +381 0.95
Odds to Draw: 27% Draw +271
12/15 Newcastle Huddersfield Huddersfield to win: 35.2% Huddersfield +185 1.05 2.09
Newcastle to win: 34.8% Newcastle +188 1.04
Odds to Draw: 30% Draw +234
12/15 Burnley Tottenham Tottenham to win: 79.3% Tottenham -384 2.35 2.94
Burnley to win: 6.6% Burnley +1416 0.58
Odds to Draw: 14.1% Draw +610
12/15 Cardiff Watford Watford to win: 46.9% Watford +114 1.33 2.27
Cardiff to win: 24.6% Cardiff +307 0.93
Odds to Draw: 28.5% Draw +251
12/15 Bournemouth Wolves Wolves to win: 55% Wolves -123 1.66 2.58
Bournemouth to win: 18.9% Bournemouth +430 0.91
Odds to Draw: 26.1% Draw +284
12/15 West Ham Fulham Fulham to win: 64% Fulham -178 2.10 2.96
West Ham to win: 13.6% West Ham +636 0.86
Odds to Draw: 22.4% Draw +347
12/16 Chelsea Brighton Brighton to win: 21.3% Brighton +370 0.94 2.48
Chelsea to win: 51.4% Chelsea -106 1.54
Odds to Draw: 27.3% Draw +267
12/16 Arsenal Southampton Southampton to win: 17.7% Southampton +465 0.92 2.70
Arsenal to win: 56.9% Arsenal -133 1.78
Odds to Draw: 25.4% Draw +294
12/16 Manchester United Liverpool Liverpool to win: 61% Liverpool -157 1.86 2.71
Manchester United to win: 15.3% Manchester United +554 0.85
Odds to Draw: 23.7% Draw +322

The odds to win and score projections are entirely based on our algorithm.

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Week 18 English Premier League Predictions

Date Away Home Odds to Win ML Prediction Score Proj Total Goals
12/21 Liverpool Wolves Wolves to win: 13.5% Wolves +641 0.80 2.75
Liverpool to win: 64.2% Liverpool -180 1.95
Odds to Draw: 22.3% Draw +349
12/22 Burnley Arsenal Arsenal to win: 69.6% Arsenal -229 2.09 2.82
Burnley to win: 10.8% Burnley +826 0.72
Odds to Draw: 19.6% Draw +411
12/22 Brighton Bournemouth Bournemouth to win: 51.8% Bournemouth -108 1.57 2.53
Brighton to win: 21% Brighton +377 0.95
Odds to Draw: 27.2% Draw +268
12/22 Leicester Chelsea Chelsea to win: 69.5% Chelsea -228 2.22 2.98
Leicester to win: 10.8% Leicester +826 0.76
Odds to Draw: 19.7% Draw +408
12/22 Southampton Huddersfield Huddersfield to win: 50.3% Huddersfield -102 1.38 2.27
Southampton to win: 22.1% Southampton +353 0.88
Odds to Draw: 27.6% Draw +263
12/22 Crystal Palace Manchester City Manchester City to win: 80.7% Manchester City -419 2.64 3.24
Crystal Palace to win: 6% Crystal Palace +1567 0.59
Odds to Draw: 13.3% Draw +652
12/22 Fulham Newcastle Newcastle to win: 47.4% Newcastle +111 1.50 2.54
Fulham to win: 24.2% Fulham +314 1.03
Odds to Draw: 28.4% Draw +253
12/22 Watford West Ham West Ham to win: 40.2% West Ham +149 1.30 2.41
Watford to win: 30.1% Watford +233 1.11
Odds to Draw: 29.7% Draw +237
12/22 Manchester United Cardiff Cardiff to win: 21.1% Cardiff +374 0.85 2.24
Manchester United to win: 51.7% Manchester United -108 1.39
Odds to Draw: 27.2% Draw +268
12/23 Tottenham Everton Everton to win: 15.2% Everton +558 0.87 2.82
Tottenham to win: 61.1% Tottenham -158 1.95
Odds to Draw: 23.7% Draw +322

Note that the projected money line for future games is simply a mathematical formula that is based on our projected odds to win. This is only a benchmark and it may or may not correspond to what the sportsbooks may be offering on the contest.

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EPL Season Prediction – Wins, Losses, Points

Below is our English Premier League table projections that we will update often as the season progresses. This projects out how each team will do in regards to the final season table. It provides probabilities for wins, losses, ties, points, and more.

Last simulation was done on 12/13/2018.

Actual Projected
Team Wins Losses Draws Points Wins Losses Draws Points
Manchester City
13
1
2
41
26.9
4.2
6.8
87.6
Liverpool
13
0
3
42
24.6
5
8.4
82.1
Tottenham
12
4
0
36
24.2
8.5
5.3
78
Chelsea
10
2
4
34
22
6.5
9.5
75.5
Arsenal
10
2
4
34
20.8
8.6
8.5
71.1
Manchester United
7
4
3
24
19.9
10
8.1
67.8
Everton
6
4
6
24
14.1
13.5
10.5
52.6
Leicester
6
6
4
22
14.6
15.2
8.3
51.9
Watford
6
7
3
21
13.6
16.4
8
48.9
Bournemouth
7
7
2
23
13.7
16.5
7.8
48.8
Wolves
6
6
4
22
11.4
16.3
10.3
44.5
Brighton
6
7
3
21
11.8
17.8
8.4
43.8
Newcastle
3
9
4
13
10.9
17.8
9.3
41.9
West Ham
6
7
3
21
10.6
18.5
9
40.6
Burnley
3
10
3
12
10.2
18.2
9.6
40.2
Crystal Palace
3
10
3
12
10.4
19.3
8.2
39.6
Southampton
1
9
6
9
9.2
17.2
11.6
39.3
Cardiff
4
10
2
14
9
20.4
8.5
35.6
Fulham
2
11
3
9
8.6
21.5
8
33.7
Huddersfield
2
10
4
10
6.4
21.5
10.1
29.4

EPL Season Prediction – Probability to win Title, Relegation

The top four in the English Premier League table at the end of the 2018-2019 season will get seeded into the Group Stage of the 2019-2020 Champions League. Similiarly, the fifth placed team will earn a berth to the Group Stage of Europa League for the following season.

Probability to Win/Advance/Be Demoted
Team Premiership Champs Lg Europa Lg Relegation
Manchester City
64.8%
98.9%
0.6%
0%
Liverpool
21.7%
91.7%
6%
0%
Tottenham
8%
79.6%
14%
0%
Chelsea
4.5%
69.3%
20.3%
0%
Arsenal
0.8%
40%
28.5%
0%
Manchester United
0.2%
19.4%
27.7%
0%
Everton
0%
0.5%
1.1%
0.6%
Leicester
0%
0.5%
1%
0.8%
Watford
0%
0%
0.3%
1.8%
Bournemouth
0%
0%
0.2%
1.2%
Wolves
0%
0.1%
0.1%
5.9%
Brighton
0%
0%
0%
8.3%
Newcastle
0%
0%
0.1%
13.2%
West Ham
0%
0%
0%
16.4%
Burnley
0%
0%
0%
19.9%
Crystal Palace
0%
0%
0.1%
22.9%
Southampton
0%
0%
0%
24.2%
Cardiff
0%
0%
0%
44.7%
Fulham
0%
0%
0%
57.4%
Huddersfield
0%
0%
0%
82.7%