English Premier League Soccer Predictions

Below are our projections for the coming week’s English Premier League match ups. We use our proprietary formula is project the score of each game down to two decimal places and provide the odds to win and draw for each team.

Week 26 English Premier League Predictions

Date Away Home Odds to Win ML Prediction Score Proj Total Goals
2/9 Manchester Utd Fulham Fulham to win: 16.5% Fulham +507 0.86 2.62
Manchester Utd to win: 58.9% Manchester Utd -144 1.75
Odds to Draw: 24.6% Draw +307 —
2/9 West Ham Crystal Palace Crystal Palace to win: 62.2% Crystal Palace -165 1.88 2.71
West Ham to win: 14.6% West Ham +585 0.83
Odds to Draw: 23.2% Draw +332 —
2/9 Arsenal Huddersfield Huddersfield to win: 13.9% Huddersfield +620 0.83 2.83
Arsenal to win: 63.5% Arsenal -174 1.99
Odds to Draw: 22.6% Draw +343 —
2/9 Bournemouth Liverpool Liverpool to win: 82% Liverpool -456 2.86 3.45
Bournemouth to win: 5.5% Bournemouth +1719 0.59
Odds to Draw: 12.5% Draw +700 —
2/9 Cardiff Southampton Southampton to win: 45.2% Southampton +122 1.23 2.15
Cardiff to win: 25.9% Cardiff +287 0.91
Odds to Draw: 28.9% Draw +247 —
2/9 Everton Watford Watford to win: 43.6% Watford +130 1.38 2.44
Everton to win: 27.2% Everton +268 1.06
Odds to Draw: 29.2% Draw +243 —
2/9 Burnley Brighton Brighton to win: 50.3% Brighton -102 1.32 2.16
Burnley to win: 22.1% Burnley +353 0.84
Odds to Draw: 27.6% Draw +263 —
2/10 Leicester Tottenham Tottenham to win: 76.3% Tottenham -322 2.42 3.08
Leicester to win: 7.8% Leicester +1183 0.65
Odds to Draw: 15.9% Draw +529 —
2/10 Chelsea Manchester City Manchester City to win: 68.4% Manchester City -217 2.29 3.10
Chelsea to win: 11.4% Chelsea +778 0.80
Odds to Draw: 20.2% Draw +396 —
2/11 Newcastle Wolves Wolves to win: 51.3% Wolves -106 1.44 2.33
Newcastle to win: 21.4% Newcastle +368 0.89
Odds to Draw: 27.3% Draw +267 —

The odds to win and score projections are entirely based on our algorithm.

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Week 27 English Premier League Predictions

Date Away Home Odds to Win ML Prediction Score Proj Total Goals
2/22 Watford Cardiff Cardiff to win: 49.4% Cardiff +103 1.41 2.33
Watford to win: 22.7% Watford +341 0.92
Odds to Draw: 27.9% Draw +259 —
2/22 Fulham West Ham West Ham to win: 46.6% West Ham +115 1.55 2.64
Fulham to win: 24.8% Fulham +304 1.09
Odds to Draw: 28.6% Draw +250 —
2/23 Tottenham Burnley Burnley to win: 13.8% Burnley +625 0.78 2.64
Tottenham to win: 63.6% Tottenham -175 1.85
Odds to Draw: 22.6% Draw +343 —
2/23 Wolves Bournemouth Bournemouth to win: 52.1% Bournemouth -109 1.59 2.55
Wolves to win: 20.8% Wolves +381 0.95
Odds to Draw: 27.1% Draw +270 —
2/23 Huddersfield Newcastle Newcastle to win: 60.8% Newcastle -156 1.72 2.52
Huddersfield to win: 15.4% Huddersfield +550 0.80
Odds to Draw: 23.8% Draw +321 —
2/23 Crystal Palace Leicester Leicester to win: 49.2% Leicester +104 1.48 2.44
Crystal Palace to win: 22.9% Crystal Palace +337 0.96
Odds to Draw: 27.9% Draw +259 —
2/24 Brighton Chelsea Chelsea to win: 71.4% Chelsea -250 2.07 2.76
Brighton to win: 9.9% Brighton +911 0.68
Odds to Draw: 18.7% Draw +435 —
2/24 Southampton Arsenal Arsenal to win: 78.9% Arsenal -374 2.52 3.14
Southampton to win: 6.7% Southampton +1393 0.61
Odds to Draw: 14.4% Draw +595 —
2/24 Liverpool Manchester Utd Manchester Utd to win: 36% Manchester Utd +178 1.15 2.28
Liverpool to win: 34% Liverpool +195 1.12
Odds to Draw: 30% Draw +234 —

Note that the projected money line for future games is simply a mathematical formula that is based on our projected odds to win. This is only a benchmark and it may or may not correspond to what the sportsbooks may be offering on the contest.

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EPL Season Prediction – Wins, Losses, Points

Below is our English Premier League table projections that we will update often as the season progresses. This projects out how each team will do in regards to the final season table. It provides probabilities for wins, losses, ties, points, and more.

Last simulation was done on 2/13/2019.

Actual Projected
Team Wins Losses Draws Points Wins Losses Draws Points
Liverpool
20
1
5
65
27.1
3.3
7.5
88.9
Manchester City
21
4
2
65
28.2
5.8
4
88.7
Tottenham
20
6
0
60
26.6
8.9
2.4
82.4
Manchester United
15
5
6
51
21.4
7.7
8.9
73
Chelsea
15
6
5
50
21.6
8.9
7.6
72.2
Arsenal
15
6
5
50
21.5
8.8
7.7
72.2
Wolves
11
9
6
39
14.3
14.8
8.9
51.9
Watford
10
9
7
37
13.8
14.5
9.8
51
Leicester
9
12
5
32
13.9
16.1
7.9
49.8
Bournemouth
10
13
3
33
13.7
18.4
5.9
46.9
Everton
9
12
6
33
12.5
16.7
8.8
46.2
West Ham
9
11
6
33
12.5
16.9
8.6
46.2
Crystal Palace
7
13
6
27
10.8
18.3
8.9
41.3
Newcastle
6
13
7
25
10.4
17.6
10.1
41.2
Brighton
7
13
6
27
10.5
18.6
8.9
40.5
Burnley
7
13
6
27
10.5
18.5
9
40.4
Southampton
5
12
9
24
8.9
17
12
38.9
Cardiff
7
15
4
25
10.3
20.8
6.9
37.9
Fulham
4
17
5
17
7.2
23
7.8
29.4
Huddersfield
2
19
5
11
4.5
25.7
7.8
21.4

EPL Season Prediction – Probability to win Title, Relegation

The top four in the English Premier League table at the end of the 2018-2019 season will get seeded into the Group Stage of the 2019-2020 Champions League. Similiarly, the fifth placed team will earn a berth to the Group Stage of Europa League for the following season.

Probability to Win/Advance/Be Demoted
Team Premiership Champs Lg Europa Lg Relegation
Liverpool
46.2%
99.9%
0.1%
0%
Manchester City
47.9%
100%
0%
0%
Tottenham
5.8%
96.1%
3.2%
0%
Manchester United
0%
39.7%
30.7%
0%
Chelsea
0%
32%
33.2%
0%
Arsenal
0.1%
32.3%
32.8%
0%
Wolves
0%
0%
0%
0%
Watford
0%
0%
0%
0.1%
Leicester
0%
0%
0%
0.1%
Bournemouth
0%
0%
0%
0.5%
Everton
0%
0%
0%
0.8%
West Ham
0%
0%
0%
0.2%
Crystal Palace
0%
0%
0%
8.2%
Newcastle
0%
0%
0%
10.6%
Brighton
0%
0%
0%
13.1%
Burnley
0%
0%
0%
15%
Southampton
0%
0%
0%
22.8%
Cardiff
0%
0%
0%
36.6%
Fulham
0%
0%
0%
92.1%
Huddersfield
0%
0%
0%
99.9%