English Premier League Soccer Predictions

Below are our projections for the coming week’s English Premier League match ups. We use our proprietary formula is project the score of each game down to two decimal places and provide the odds to win and draw for each team.

Week 17 English Premier League Predictions

Date Away Home Odds to Win ML Prediction Score Proj Total Goals
12/15 Everton Manchester City Manchester City to win: 81.4% Manchester City -438 2.78 3.38
Everton to win: 5.8% Everton +1625 0.60
Odds to Draw: 12.8% Draw +682 —
12/15 Leicester Crystal Palace Crystal Palace to win: 52.2% Crystal Palace -110 1.59 2.54
Leicester to win: 20.8% Leicester +381 0.95
Odds to Draw: 27% Draw +271 —
12/15 Newcastle Huddersfield Huddersfield to win: 35.2% Huddersfield +185 1.05 2.09
Newcastle to win: 34.8% Newcastle +188 1.04
Odds to Draw: 30% Draw +234 —
12/15 Burnley Tottenham Tottenham to win: 79.3% Tottenham -384 2.35 2.94
Burnley to win: 6.6% Burnley +1416 0.58
Odds to Draw: 14.1% Draw +610 —
12/15 Cardiff Watford Watford to win: 46.9% Watford +114 1.33 2.27
Cardiff to win: 24.6% Cardiff +307 0.93
Odds to Draw: 28.5% Draw +251 —
12/15 Bournemouth Wolves Wolves to win: 55% Wolves -123 1.66 2.58
Bournemouth to win: 18.9% Bournemouth +430 0.91
Odds to Draw: 26.1% Draw +284 —
12/15 West Ham Fulham Fulham to win: 64% Fulham -178 2.10 2.96
West Ham to win: 13.6% West Ham +636 0.86
Odds to Draw: 22.4% Draw +347 —
12/16 Chelsea Brighton Brighton to win: 21.3% Brighton +370 0.94 2.48
Chelsea to win: 51.4% Chelsea -106 1.54
Odds to Draw: 27.3% Draw +267 —
12/16 Arsenal Southampton Southampton to win: 17.7% Southampton +465 0.92 2.70
Arsenal to win: 56.9% Arsenal -133 1.78
Odds to Draw: 25.4% Draw +294 —
12/16 Manchester United Liverpool Liverpool to win: 61% Liverpool -157 1.86 2.71
Manchester United to win: 15.3% Manchester United +554 0.85
Odds to Draw: 23.7% Draw +322 —

The odds to win and score projections are entirely based on our algorithm.

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Week 18 English Premier League Predictions

Date Away Home Odds to Win ML Prediction Score Proj Total Goals
12/21 Liverpool Wolves Wolves to win: 13.5% Wolves +641 0.80 2.75
Liverpool to win: 64.2% Liverpool -180 1.95
Odds to Draw: 22.3% Draw +349 —
12/22 Burnley Arsenal Arsenal to win: 69.6% Arsenal -229 2.09 2.82
Burnley to win: 10.8% Burnley +826 0.72
Odds to Draw: 19.6% Draw +411 —
12/22 Brighton Bournemouth Bournemouth to win: 51.8% Bournemouth -108 1.57 2.53
Brighton to win: 21% Brighton +377 0.95
Odds to Draw: 27.2% Draw +268 —
12/22 Leicester Chelsea Chelsea to win: 69.5% Chelsea -228 2.22 2.98
Leicester to win: 10.8% Leicester +826 0.76
Odds to Draw: 19.7% Draw +408 —
12/22 Southampton Huddersfield Huddersfield to win: 50.3% Huddersfield -102 1.38 2.27
Southampton to win: 22.1% Southampton +353 0.88
Odds to Draw: 27.6% Draw +263 —
12/22 Crystal Palace Manchester City Manchester City to win: 80.7% Manchester City -419 2.64 3.24
Crystal Palace to win: 6% Crystal Palace +1567 0.59
Odds to Draw: 13.3% Draw +652 —
12/22 Fulham Newcastle Newcastle to win: 47.4% Newcastle +111 1.50 2.54
Fulham to win: 24.2% Fulham +314 1.03
Odds to Draw: 28.4% Draw +253 —
12/22 Watford West Ham West Ham to win: 40.2% West Ham +149 1.30 2.41
Watford to win: 30.1% Watford +233 1.11
Odds to Draw: 29.7% Draw +237 —
12/22 Manchester United Cardiff Cardiff to win: 21.1% Cardiff +374 0.85 2.24
Manchester United to win: 51.7% Manchester United -108 1.39
Odds to Draw: 27.2% Draw +268 —
12/23 Tottenham Everton Everton to win: 15.2% Everton +558 0.87 2.82
Tottenham to win: 61.1% Tottenham -158 1.95
Odds to Draw: 23.7% Draw +322 —

Note that the projected money line for future games is simply a mathematical formula that is based on our projected odds to win. This is only a benchmark and it may or may not correspond to what the sportsbooks may be offering on the contest.

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EPL Season Prediction – Wins, Losses, Points

Below is our English Premier League table projections that we will update often as the season progresses. This projects out how each team will do in regards to the final season table. It provides probabilities for wins, losses, ties, points, and more.

Last simulation was done on 12/13/2018.

Actual Projected
Team Wins Losses Draws Points Wins Losses Draws Points
Manchester City
13
1
2
41
26.9
4.2
6.8
87.6
Liverpool
13
0
3
42
24.6
5
8.4
82.1
Tottenham
12
4
0
36
24.2
8.5
5.3
78
Chelsea
10
2
4
34
22
6.5
9.5
75.5
Arsenal
10
2
4
34
20.8
8.6
8.5
71.1
Manchester United
7
4
3
24
19.9
10
8.1
67.8
Everton
6
4
6
24
14.1
13.5
10.5
52.6
Leicester
6
6
4
22
14.6
15.2
8.3
51.9
Watford
6
7
3
21
13.6
16.4
8
48.9
Bournemouth
7
7
2
23
13.7
16.5
7.8
48.8
Wolves
6
6
4
22
11.4
16.3
10.3
44.5
Brighton
6
7
3
21
11.8
17.8
8.4
43.8
Newcastle
3
9
4
13
10.9
17.8
9.3
41.9
West Ham
6
7
3
21
10.6
18.5
9
40.6
Burnley
3
10
3
12
10.2
18.2
9.6
40.2
Crystal Palace
3
10
3
12
10.4
19.3
8.2
39.6
Southampton
1
9
6
9
9.2
17.2
11.6
39.3
Cardiff
4
10
2
14
9
20.4
8.5
35.6
Fulham
2
11
3
9
8.6
21.5
8
33.7
Huddersfield
2
10
4
10
6.4
21.5
10.1
29.4

EPL Season Prediction – Probability to win Title, Relegation

The top four in the English Premier League table at the end of the 2018-2019 season will get seeded into the Group Stage of the 2019-2020 Champions League. Similiarly, the fifth placed team will earn a berth to the Group Stage of Europa League for the following season.

Probability to Win/Advance/Be Demoted
Team Premiership Champs Lg Europa Lg Relegation
Manchester City
64.8%
98.9%
0.6%
0%
Liverpool
21.7%
91.7%
6%
0%
Tottenham
8%
79.6%
14%
0%
Chelsea
4.5%
69.3%
20.3%
0%
Arsenal
0.8%
40%
28.5%
0%
Manchester United
0.2%
19.4%
27.7%
0%
Everton
0%
0.5%
1.1%
0.6%
Leicester
0%
0.5%
1%
0.8%
Watford
0%
0%
0.3%
1.8%
Bournemouth
0%
0%
0.2%
1.2%
Wolves
0%
0.1%
0.1%
5.9%
Brighton
0%
0%
0%
8.3%
Newcastle
0%
0%
0.1%
13.2%
West Ham
0%
0%
0%
16.4%
Burnley
0%
0%
0%
19.9%
Crystal Palace
0%
0%
0.1%
22.9%
Southampton
0%
0%
0%
24.2%
Cardiff
0%
0%
0%
44.7%
Fulham
0%
0%
0%
57.4%
Huddersfield
0%
0%
0%
82.7%