German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 20, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Freiburg
Wolfsburg 		25.6%
50.1%		24.2%
+182
+156
+180
+153
1.13
1.67		2.80
o2½-116
u2½+105
o2½-120
u2½+100
Union Berlin
FC Koln 		28.3%
46.9%		24.8%
+188
+163
+205
+160
1.19
1.59		2.78
o2½-101
u2½-110
o2½+100
u2½-115
Hoffenheim
VfB Stuttgart 		21.8%
56.7%		21.5%
+235
+112
+230
+110
1.17
2.00		3.17
o3¼-102
u3¼-109
o3-130
u3+115
Werder Bremen
Augsburg 		31.0%
44.1%		24.9%
+204
+139
+210
+130
1.26
1.56		2.82
o2¾+101
u2¾-112
o2½-125
u2½+105
Eintracht Frankfurt
Hamburger SV 		46.8%
29.6%		23.6%
+177
+154
+173
+155
1.71
1.32		3.03
o2¾-108
u2¾-112
o2½-140
u3-145
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
RB Leipzig 		30.3%
44.9%		24.8%
+210
+128
+225
+125
1.25
1.57		2.82
o3-102
u3-110
o3-105
u3+105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Dec 19, 2025
Games for Dec 21, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Mainz 05
Freiburg		24.6%
51.8%		23.5%
+390
-126
+400
-125
0
0		-1.36920-1.34373-1.44732
RB Leipzig
Dortmund		34.4%
40.4%		25.2%
+220
+118
+230
+115
1
2		-0.80982-0.79969-0.90736
Augsburg
Wolfsburg		26.3%
49.4%		24.3%
+253
+112
+240
+110
1
1		-1.32927-1.31763-1.41498
VfL Bochum
Eintracht Frankfurt		12.0%
71.8%		16.2%
+595
-205
+610
-242
2
7		-0.41124-0.38945-0.33142
FC St. Pauli
Hoffenheim		19.1%
60.7%		20.1%
+300
-110
+295
-110
2
0		-1.41605-1.41309-1.65302
FC Heidenheim
Holstein Kiel		38.5%
35.6%		25.9%
+190
+150
+185
+150
0
1		-0.94246-0.96029-1.03381
Union Berlin
Bayern Munich		8.1%
78.3%		13.5%
+1850
-625
+1700
-660
0
3		-0.17441-0.17926-0.24420
VfB Stuttgart
Bayer 04 Leverkusen		15.8%
65.5%		18.8%
+420
-160
+425
-175
0
0		-1.55254-1.59484-1.67350
Hoffenheim
FC Heidenheim		27.0%
49.1%		23.9%
+160
+172
+170
+176
0
0		-1.30446-1.27100-1.43133
Eintracht Frankfurt
Union Berlin		30.0%
44.9%		25.1%
+220
+149
+200
+145
1
1		-1.22149-1.23746-1.38218
Bayern Munich
VfL Bochum		75.2%
10.0%		14.7%
-624
+1800
-800
+1700
5
0		-0.16305-0.16525-0.28459
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Werder Bremen		59.8%
19.6%		20.7%
-223
+590
-215
+520
2
2		-1.67590-1.65559-1.57683
Holstein Kiel
VfB Stuttgart		7.3%
80.8%		11.9%
+1200
-446
+1200
-480
1
2		-0.22818-0.22637-0.21295
Dortmund
Augsburg		43.3%
31.9%		24.7%
-121
+320
-125
+315
1
2		-1.45848-1.46508-1.14144
Freiburg
RB Leipzig		12.4%
70.5%		17.1%
+342
-123
+315
-125
1
3		-0.61646-0.63626-0.34954
Wolfsburg
FC St. Pauli		36.7%
37.0%		26.3%
+186
+160
+190
+149
0
0		-1.27257-1.27400-1.33644
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.43569 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.44498 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.26704
0.16865
0.17794

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.