German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 8, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Eintracht Frankfurt
FC St. Pauli 		43.3%
33.3%		23.4%
+160
+187
+150
+190
1.69
1.47		3.16
o2½+105
u2½-118
o2½+100
u2½-120
Werder Bremen
Union Berlin 		32.6%
41.3%		26.1%
+230
+130
+220
+130
1.22
1.41		2.63
o2½+101
u2½-114
o2½+110
u2½-125
Games for Mar 7, 2026
Games for Mar 9, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Freiburg
VfL Bochum		42.3%
32.1%		25.6%
+165
+185
+160
+180
1
0		-0.99666-0.99932-0.86102
Borussia Monchengladbach
VfB Stuttgart		16.9%
64.1%		19.1%
+397
-150
+400
-155
2
1		-1.63353-1.63907-1.78076
Augsburg
FC St. Pauli		34.8%
39.5%		25.6%
+285
+115
+285
+110
1
1		-1.22142-1.23213-1.36176
Holstein Kiel
Bayern Munich		2.4%
92.0%		5.5%
+4542
-2500
+4150
-2600
3
4		-0.07176-0.07820-0.08326
Mainz 05
Werder Bremen		34.3%
40.1%		25.6%
+208
+139
+210
+136
0
1		-0.90617-0.89830-0.91362
Union Berlin
FC St. Pauli		39.7%
34.0%		26.3%
+230
+140
+220
+140
0
3		-0.90716-0.91629-1.07822
Eintracht Frankfurt
Hoffenheim		40.9%
34.3%		24.7%
+110
+237
+110
+225
2
2		-1.38023-1.40047-1.39760
VfL Bochum
Borussia Monchengladbach		12.3%
71.4%		16.3%
+357
-132
+360
-140
0
3		-0.59455-0.58266-0.33630
Werder Bremen
Dortmund		12.4%
71.4%		16.1%
+510
-197
+505
-200
2
2		-1.62004-1.60814-1.82418
VfB Stuttgart
Mainz 05		34.4%
39.9%		25.7%
+124
+232
+130
+220
0
2		-1.22888-1.20041-0.91897
Bayern Munich
Freiburg		58.3%
20.2%		21.4%
-416
+1150
-420
+1225
2
1		-0.24407-0.23926-0.53907
FC Heidenheim
Augsburg		23.4%
53.3%		23.3%
+315
-102
+295
+100
1
2		-0.70672-0.73287-0.62961
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
RB Leipzig		46.9%
28.7%		24.5%
+110
+260
+105
+260
2
2		-1.31420-1.33351-1.40846
Holstein Kiel
Wolfsburg		12.7%
70.6%		16.8%
+545
-213
+580
-220
2
2		-1.64439-1.64341-1.78641
Augsburg
Werder Bremen		24.0%
53.1%		22.9%
+299
-107
+305
-115
2
0		-1.41404-1.44604-1.42666
Mainz 05
Union Berlin		26.5%
48.8%		24.7%
+167
+193
+175
+180
1
2		-1.09368-1.06714-0.71660
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks63-1-2 (0.667)0-0.85407 
Sportsbooks63-1-2 (0.667)0-0.87401 
DRatings63-1-2 (0.667)0-0.89270
-0.03863
-0.01868

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.