German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 21, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
FC St. Pauli
Mainz 05 		21.2%
57.2%		21.6%
+290
+107
+295
+100
1.13
1.98		3.11
o2¼-109
u2¼-103
o2½+120
u2½-135
Bayern Munich
FC Heidenheim 		86.1%
4.5%		9.4%
-714
+1800
-850
+1700
3.26
0.68		3.94
o3¾-109
u3¾-105
o3½-135
u4-125
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Dec 20, 2025
Games for Dec 22, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Hoffenheim		34.5%
40.3%		25.1%
-190
+452
-185
+430
3
2		-0.45664-0.47119-1.06288
Augsburg
FC Koln		21.5%
56.8%		21.7%
+260
+109
+245
+110
1
1		-1.34834-1.36379-1.52717
Borussia Monchengladbach
Freiburg		22.6%
55.3%		22.1%
+270
+100
+260
+105
3
3		-1.37765-1.36332-1.50815
RB Leipzig
Mainz 05		49.1%
26.9%		24.0%
-132
+356
-135
+385
0
2		-1.54332-1.60321-1.31312
VfL Bochum
Darmstadt 98		26.3%
50.1%		23.6%
+210
+135
+201
+135
2
1		-1.16075-1.14062-1.33511
Freiburg
Bayer 04 Leverkusen		25.4%
50.8%		23.8%
+1200
-424
+1050
-420
1
2		-0.24541-0.26094-0.67651
Dortmund
Eintracht Frankfurt		38.8%
36.4%		24.8%
+126
+213
+125
+220
3
3		-1.34996-1.32516-1.39602
FC Koln
RB Leipzig		11.2%
73.2%		15.6%
+550
-205
+585
-230
0
6		-0.43104-0.40618-0.31195
Union Berlin
Werder Bremen		40.4%
33.5%		26.1%
+152
+185
+150
+180
0
2		-1.08019-1.07157-1.09383
Darmstadt 98
Bayern Munich		3.0%
90.4%		6.6%
+2750
-1400
+2400
-1500
0
8		-0.10348-0.11231-0.10122
Wolfsburg
Augsburg		30.0%
44.6%		25.4%
+180
+150
+175
+155
2
3		-0.94693-0.97289-0.80723
Hoffenheim
VfB Stuttgart		39.4%
35.3%		25.3%
+385
-144
+318
-130
3
2		-1.59978-1.47307-0.93095
FC Heidenheim
Borussia Monchengladbach		10.5%
74.1%		15.3%
+360
-145
+340
-140
1
2		-0.56037-0.57869-0.29917
Mainz 05
VfL Bochum		37.8%
36.1%		26.0%
+152
+182
+153
+175
2
2		-1.30970-1.29018-1.34534
Augsburg
FC Heidenheim		35.3%
38.1%		26.6%
+201
+137
+200
+132
5
2		-1.13339-1.14363-1.04231
Borussia Monchengladbach
FC Koln		34.4%
40.7%		24.9%
+180
+146
+185
+141
1
3		-0.93003-0.91160-0.89911
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks60-3-3 (0.250)0-1.22770 
Sportsbooks60-3-3 (0.250)0-1.23552 
DRatings60-3-3 (0.250)0-1.36501
-0.13731
-0.12948

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.