German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 21, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
FC St. Pauli
Mainz 05 		21.2%
57.2%		21.6%
+290
+109
+295
+100
1.13
1.98		3.11
o2¼-103
u2¼-107
o2½+120
u2½-135
Bayern Munich
FC Heidenheim 		86.1%
4.5%		9.4%
-700
+1800
-850
+1700
3.26
0.68		3.94
o3¾-104
u3¾-109
o3½-135
u4-125
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Dec 20, 2025
Games for Dec 22, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Bayern Munich
Mainz 05		73.4%
11.0%		15.5%
-315
+834
-355
+825
3
1		-0.30147-0.29538-0.30926
VfB Stuttgart
Union Berlin		15.1%
65.8%		19.1%
+187
+160
+171
+164
3
0		-1.08282-1.04222-1.89373
Eintracht Frankfurt
Hoffenheim		30.0%
46.3%		23.7%
+275
+104
+281
+105
3
1		-1.34854-1.35441-1.20494
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Wolfsburg		42.7%
31.8%		25.5%
-130
+335
-135
+338
2
1		-0.60050-0.60574-0.85153
VfL Bochum
Freiburg		10.5%
73.8%		15.7%
+345
-120
+340
-120
1
2		-0.63237-0.63358-0.30315
RB Leipzig
Darmstadt 98		62.3%
17.7%		20.0%
-215
+555
-230
+560
3
1		-0.41653-0.39751-0.47262
Werder Bremen
Dortmund		8.8%
78.1%		13.1%
+850
-355
+875
-370
0
1		-0.28169-0.27648-0.24769
FC Heidenheim
Eintracht Frankfurt		10.0%
75.1%		14.9%
+370
-128
+415
-126
0
2		-0.61066-0.59232-0.28696
Freiburg
Bayern Munich		7.3%
80.1%		12.5%
+1855
-800
+1800
-900
0
3		-0.14827-0.15000-0.22131
FC Koln
Bayer 04 Leverkusen		15.7%
65.7%		18.6%
+1001
-350
+980
-379
0
3		-0.28128-0.27954-0.41989
Hoffenheim
Werder Bremen		38.5%
36.2%		25.2%
+158
+165
+155
+160
3
2		-0.97755-0.97862-0.95360
Union Berlin
Dortmund		16.3%
64.4%		19.3%
+400
-140
+365
-150
2
4		-0.56586-0.55995-0.44069
VfL Bochum
RB Leipzig		7.0%
80.9%		12.1%
+1000
-343
+775
-350
0
0		-1.91007-1.88335-2.11056
Wolfsburg
VfB Stuttgart		31.1%
43.5%		25.4%
+315
-111
+295
-110
1
3		-0.66875-0.68730-0.83289
Darmstadt 98
Augsburg		22.5%
55.3%		22.2%
+350
-122
+355
-125
2
1		-1.53842-1.54961-1.49068
Mainz 05
Borussia Monchengladbach		20.4%
58.7%		20.9%
+222
+120
+215
+120
2
2		-1.37263-1.37737-1.56542
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks60-3-3 (0.250)0-1.22770 
Sportsbooks60-3-3 (0.250)0-1.23552 
DRatings60-3-3 (0.250)0-1.36501
-0.13731
-0.12948

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.