German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 21, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
FC St. Pauli
Mainz 05 		21.2%
57.2%		21.6%
+315
+102
+295
+100
1.13
1.98		3.11
o2¼-110
u2¼-101
o2½+120
u2½-135
Bayern Munich
FC Heidenheim 		86.1%
4.5%		9.4%
-700
+1800
-770
+1700
3.26
0.68		3.94
o3¾-109
u3¾+101
o3½-135
u4-125
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Dec 20, 2025
Games for Dec 22, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Augsburg
Freiburg		13.0%
69.3%		17.7%
+327
-114
+320
-115
0
2		-0.66279-0.66460-0.36723
Werder Bremen
Darmstadt 98		31.0%
44.5%		24.5%
+133
+195
+140
+175
2
4		-1.10933-1.06025-0.80912
Bayern Munich
RB Leipzig		50.8%
25.9%		23.3%
-129
+308
-122
+300
2
2		-1.53424-1.48118-1.45732
VfB Stuttgart
FC Koln		20.6%
58.3%		21.1%
+150
+185
+148
+180
2
0		-0.94680-0.95174-1.57823
Borussia Monchengladbach
VfL Bochum		46.7%
29.2%		24.1%
+210
+129
+210
+125
3
1		-1.16050-1.17302-0.76121
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Mainz 05		39.7%
34.6%		25.7%
-165
+435
-172
+440
3
0		-0.50508-0.49541-0.92337
Eintracht Frankfurt
Wolfsburg		37.4%
36.6%		26.0%
+258
+115
+260
+110
0
2		-0.79127-0.78008-1.00501
Union Berlin
FC Heidenheim		50.5%
24.9%		24.6%
+132
+208
+125
+210
0
1		-1.15935-1.17157-1.39078
Dortmund
Hoffenheim		42.7%
33.0%		24.3%
+113
+215
+110
+205
3
1		-0.78478-0.79164-0.85095
Freiburg
Eintracht Frankfurt		29.9%
45.6%		24.5%
+241
+122
+215
+125
0
0		-1.27558-1.28884-1.40511
FC Heidenheim
Bayer 04 Leverkusen		8.2%
78.1%		13.7%
+1300
-500
+1150
-500
1
4		-0.21802-0.23106-0.24756
FC Koln
Werder Bremen		32.6%
42.6%		24.8%
+195
+144
+179
+145
1
2		-0.91091-0.93728-0.85353
Wolfsburg
Dortmund		10.6%
74.4%		15.1%
+345
-133
+335
-140
0
1		-0.58324-0.58377-0.29624
VfL Bochum
Bayern Munich		3.0%
90.3%		6.7%
+2000
-709
+1850
-900
0
7		-0.15101-0.14668-0.10243
Mainz 05
Augsburg		32.7%
41.7%		25.6%
+183
+153
+180
+155
1
2		-0.95962-0.96661-0.87560
RB Leipzig
Borussia Monchengladbach		40.8%
34.0%		25.2%
-143
+380
-148
+355
1
0		-0.55401-0.55426-0.89639
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks60-3-3 (0.250)0-1.22770 
Sportsbooks60-3-3 (0.250)0-1.23552 
DRatings60-3-3 (0.250)0-1.36501
-0.13731
-0.12948

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.