German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated 51 min ago

Upcoming Games for December 21, 2025

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Games for Dec 20, 2025

Games for Dec 22, 2025

Games In Progress

Time	Teams	Orig. Win %	Orig. Draw %	Closing ML	Orig. Total Goals	Closing O/U	Period	Current Score
12/21/2025 04:30 PM	Bayern Munich FC Heidenheim	86.1% 4.5%	9.4%	-588 +1475 -725 +1500	3.94	o3¾-109 u3¾-102 o3½-130 u3½+120	TIME HALF	2 0

Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
05/27/2023 01:30 PM	Schalke 04 RB Leipzig	8.3% 78.3%	13.4%	+450 -180 +455 -200	2 4	-0.46088-0.44640	-0.24479
05/27/2023 01:30 PM	Mainz 05 Dortmund	14.3% 68.0%	17.8%	+1100 -464 +1165 -567	2 2	-2.10998-2.19095	-1.72828
05/21/2023 05:30 PM	Borussia Monchengladbach Bayer 04 Leverkusen	19.5% 60.1%	20.4%	+850 -312 +700 -315	2 2	-1.85489-1.84124	-1.58846
05/21/2023 03:30 PM	Dortmund Augsburg	58.9% 20.2%	21.0%	-231 +562 -258 +565	3 0	-0.38319-0.37600	-0.52980
05/21/2023 01:30 PM	VfB Stuttgart Mainz 05	23.4% 53.6%	23.0%	+160 +180 +155 +180	4 1	-0.98663-0.97859	-1.45363
05/20/2023 04:30 PM	RB Leipzig Bayern Munich	12.9% 70.1%	17.0%	+496 -184 +453 -195	3 1	-1.80060-1.75510	-2.05058
05/20/2023 01:30 PM	Union Berlin Hoffenheim	12.4% 70.7%	16.9%	+224 +138 +205 +133	2 4	-0.88559-0.89172	-0.34725
05/20/2023 01:30 PM	VfL Bochum Hertha BSC	18.1% 61.6%	20.3%	+181 +143 +185 +132	1 1	-1.38067-1.39857	-1.59371
05/20/2023 01:30 PM	FC Koln Werder Bremen	28.1% 47.9%	24.0%	+173 +152 +162 +160	1 1	-1.36489-1.34228	-1.42874
05/20/2023 01:30 PM	Eintracht Frankfurt Schalke 04	43.2% 32.2%	24.6%	+143 +191 +132 +185	2 2	-1.34531-1.36916	-1.40291
05/19/2023 06:30 PM	Wolfsburg Freiburg	17.0% 62.3%	20.7%	+222 +124 +220 +115	0 2	-0.82307-0.80542	-0.47350
05/14/2023 03:30 PM	Werder Bremen RB Leipzig	13.0% 69.7%	17.3%	+1040 -393 +1150 -450	1 2	-0.25019-0.23614	-0.36146
05/14/2023 01:30 PM	Bayer 04 Leverkusen VfB Stuttgart	38.6% 35.4%	26.0%	+175 +165 +165 +155	1 1	-1.29346-1.33731	-1.34857
05/13/2023 04:30 PM	Borussia Monchengladbach Dortmund	14.3% 68.5%	17.2%	+992 -426 +920 -450	2 5	-0.23698-0.24687	-0.37864
05/13/2023 01:30 PM	Hoffenheim Wolfsburg	37.2% 36.5%	26.3%	+275 -104 +270 -112	1 2	-0.69987-0.68256	-1.00794
05/13/2023 01:30 PM	Schalke 04 Bayern Munich	3.9% 88.0%	8.1%	+1700 -668 +1600 -755	0 6	-0.16124-0.16588	-0.12805

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	2	0-1-1 (0.250)	0	-1.24458
Sportsbooks	2	0-1-1 (0.250)	0	-1.23392
DRatings	2	0-1-1 (0.250)	0	-1.36392	-0.11934 -0.13000

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.