German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated 4 hr ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
04/16/2023 03:30 PM	VfL Bochum Union Berlin	23.7% 52.9%	23.4%	+435 -128 +425 -140	1 1	-1.33663-1.33937	-1.45064
04/16/2023 01:30 PM	Freiburg Werder Bremen	33.6% 40.3%	26.1%	+180 +178 +168 +168	2 1	-1.04842-1.02541	-1.09035
04/15/2023 04:30 PM	Borussia Monchengladbach Eintracht Frankfurt	24.0% 54.2%	21.8%	+302 -106 +290 -109	1 1	-1.39010-1.39473	-1.52124
04/15/2023 01:30 PM	Mainz 05 FC Koln	27.2% 48.9%	23.9%	+175 +173 +180 +165	1 1	-1.22635-1.23932	-1.43108
04/15/2023 01:30 PM	Hoffenheim Bayern Munich	7.7% 80.0%	12.3%	+1300 -511 +1255 -550	1 1	-2.13877-2.13979	-2.09427
04/15/2023 01:30 PM	Augsburg RB Leipzig	8.2% 78.2%	13.6%	+1300 -450 +1065 -450	2 3	-0.22972-0.24649	-0.24612
04/15/2023 01:30 PM	Dortmund VfB Stuttgart	47.8% 28.4%	23.8%	+138 +200 +138 +185	3 3	-1.33181-1.33876	-1.43662
04/09/2023 05:30 PM	Schalke 04 Hoffenheim	13.6% 69.2%	17.2%	+298 -105 +300 -110	0 2	-0.69197-0.68699	-0.36827
04/09/2023 03:30 PM	VfB Stuttgart VfL Bochum	41.2% 33.1%	25.7%	+149 +212 +130 +220	3 2	-0.93532-0.88201	-0.88741
04/09/2023 01:30 PM	Wolfsburg Borussia Monchengladbach	20.8% 57.4%	21.8%	+180 +152 +185 +138	0 2	-0.94466-0.91113	-0.55551
04/08/2023 04:30 PM	RB Leipzig Hertha BSC	52.5% 24.4%	23.1%	-143 +454 -155 +425	1 0	-0.55212-0.54504	-0.64499
04/08/2023 01:30 PM	Eintracht Frankfurt Bayer 04 Leverkusen	22.0% 56.5%	21.5%	+315 -109 +282 -115	1 3	-0.67297-0.67072	-0.57049
04/08/2023 01:30 PM	FC Koln Augsburg	38.8% 35.2%	26.0%	+122 +255 +120 +241	3 1	-0.82344-0.82542	-0.94626
04/08/2023 01:30 PM	Bayern Munich Freiburg	58.5% 20.0%	21.4%	-205 +575 -225 +573	1 0	-0.41738-0.40591	-0.53541
04/08/2023 01:30 PM	Werder Bremen Mainz 05	24.7% 52.0%	23.3%	+405 -139 +360 -131	2 2	-1.42678-1.39914	-1.45607
04/08/2023 01:30 PM	Union Berlin Dortmund	7.5% 79.9%	12.6%	+440 -148 +440 -155	1 2	-0.53609-0.54611	-0.22437

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	2	1-0-1 (0.750)	0	-0.71816
Sportsbooks	2	1-0-1 (0.750)	0	-0.71803
DRatings	2	1-0-1 (0.750)	0	-0.84148	-0.12332 -0.12346

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.