German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated 12 hr ago

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Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
02/05/2023 02:30 PM	Werder Bremen VfB Stuttgart	27.4% 48.6%	24.0%	+355 -118 +325 -120	2 0	-1.53572-1.49121	-1.29572
02/04/2023 05:30 PM	Schalke 04 Borussia Monchengladbach	14.6% 67.5%	17.8%	+441 -162 +425 -175	0 0	-1.53954-1.55197	-1.72406
02/04/2023 02:30 PM	Hoffenheim VfL Bochum	52.8% 24.5%	22.7%	+156 +199 +150 +180	2 5	-1.10845-1.07318	-1.40519
02/04/2023 02:30 PM	Hertha BSC Eintracht Frankfurt	15.7% 65.9%	18.4%	+542 -185 +565 -200	0 3	-0.45416-0.44638	-0.41668
02/04/2023 02:30 PM	RB Leipzig FC Koln	47.2% 28.6%	24.2%	+104 +280 -105 +280	0 0	-1.33370-1.36688	-1.41915
02/04/2023 02:30 PM	Mainz 05 Union Berlin	22.4% 54.5%	23.1%	+350 -107 +320 -105	1 2	-0.69259-0.71333	-0.60708
02/04/2023 02:30 PM	Freiburg Dortmund	15.7% 65.6%	18.7%	+410 -140 +399 -150	1 5	-0.55636-0.55589	-0.42166
02/03/2023 07:30 PM	Bayer 04 Leverkusen Augsburg	54.3% 23.0%	22.8%	-108 +339 -112 +315	0 1	-1.47574-1.45171	-1.47146
01/29/2023 04:30 PM	Dortmund Bayer 04 Leverkusen	30.6% 45.2%	24.2%	+174 +155 +170 +150	2 0	-1.02803-1.03238	-1.18502
01/28/2023 05:30 PM	Eintracht Frankfurt Bayern Munich	8.1% 79.2%	12.7%	+663 -255 +650 -289	1 1	-1.80764-1.80539	-2.06625
01/28/2023 02:30 PM	Wolfsburg Werder Bremen	23.3% 53.5%	23.2%	+107 +257 +105 +245	1 2	-1.29200-1.28240	-0.62504
01/28/2023 02:30 PM	Union Berlin Hertha BSC	38.7% 34.8%	26.5%	+121 +280 +111 +300	2 0	-0.81240-0.78248	-0.95047
01/28/2023 02:30 PM	Borussia Monchengladbach Hoffenheim	24.1% 53.7%	22.1%	+263 +105 +247 +100	4 1	-1.30807-1.28779	-1.42171
01/28/2023 02:30 PM	VfL Bochum Mainz 05	13.1% 69.3%	17.5%	+360 -120 +385 -140	2 5	-0.63181-0.58266	-0.36616
01/28/2023 02:30 PM	Augsburg Freiburg	14.5% 66.6%	18.9%	+447 -147 +460 -158	1 3	-0.54058-0.52464	-0.40600
01/27/2023 07:30 PM	VfB Stuttgart RB Leipzig	11.6% 72.1%	16.4%	+910 -280 +800 -300	1 2	-0.32161-0.33798	-0.32777

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	2	1-0-1 (0.750)	0	-0.71816
Sportsbooks	2	1-0-1 (0.750)	0	-0.71803
DRatings	2	1-0-1 (0.750)	0	-0.84148	-0.12332 -0.12346

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.