German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Union Berlin
Werder Bremen		34.8%
38.6%		26.5%
+168
+198
+165
+190
2
1		-1.00682-1.01735-1.05486
Borussia Monchengladbach
Augsburg		41.4%
33.2%		25.3%
+125
+225
+120
+220
0
1		-1.19660-1.20701-1.10130
Eintracht Frankfurt
Freiburg		28.3%
47.6%		24.1%
+226
+136
+210
+130
1
1		-1.26058-1.29496-1.42304
VfL Bochum
Bayer 04 Leverkusen		7.2%
80.6%		12.2%
+587
-207
+575
-215
0
2		-0.41655-0.42233-0.21529
Dortmund
Mainz 05		45.5%
30.1%		24.4%
+120
+225
+115
+235
2
1		-0.81353-0.78856-0.78757
Wolfsburg
Hertha BSC		26.5%
49.2%		24.4%
+148
+209
+140
+195
5
0		-0.92483-0.92158-1.32897
VfB Stuttgart
Hoffenheim		17.9%
62.2%		19.9%
+243
+115
+235
+116
2
2		-1.34877-1.29887-1.61536
FC Koln
Bayern Munich		5.6%
84.3%		10.2%
+1020
-424
+1000
-475
1
1		-2.07936-2.06981-2.28661
RB Leipzig
Schalke 04		58.1%
20.4%		21.4%
-172
+520
-190
+525
6
1		-0.47404-0.46394-0.54220
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Borussia Monchengladbach		37.5%
36.8%		25.6%
+149
+184
+140
+170
3
2		-0.92902-0.91925-0.98032
Augsburg
Dortmund		7.9%
79.4%		12.7%
+900
-320
+840
-320
3
4		-0.29512-0.31472-0.23106
Werder Bremen
FC Koln		25.8%
50.9%		23.2%
+280
+105
+260
+100
1
7		-0.73464-0.74360-0.67525
Mainz 05
VfB Stuttgart		31.1%
43.4%		25.5%
+218
+132
+207
+130
1
1		-1.28349-1.30623-1.36645
Hertha BSC
VfL Bochum		36.5%
37.3%		26.2%
+224
+139
+204
+132
1
3		-0.88001-0.88625-0.98575
Freiburg
Wolfsburg		37.8%
35.2%		27.0%
+249
+128
+224
+130
0
6		-0.84323-0.87400-1.04404
Schalke 04
Eintracht Frankfurt		15.2%
66.7%		18.1%
+814
-273
+750
-275
0
3		-0.33180-0.35799-0.40467
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-0.71816 
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-0.71803 
DRatings21-0-1 (0.750)0-0.84148
-0.12332
-0.12346

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.