German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated 18 hr ago

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Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
10/15/2022 04:30 PM	Hertha BSC RB Leipzig	9.1% 76.7%	14.2%	+590 -204 +550 -213	2 3	-0.42857-0.43314	-0.26563
10/15/2022 01:30 PM	Mainz 05 Werder Bremen	25.6% 50.7%	23.7%	+220 +125 +230 +115	2 0	-1.19287-1.23519	-1.19010
10/15/2022 01:30 PM	VfL Bochum VfB Stuttgart	15.2% 65.8%	18.9%	+376 -134 +395 -140	1 4	-0.53804-0.58311	-0.41791
10/15/2022 01:30 PM	Borussia Monchengladbach Wolfsburg	36.8% 36.9%	26.3%	+140 +198 +135 +195	2 2	-1.30645-1.32234	-1.33549
10/15/2022 01:30 PM	Bayer 04 Leverkusen Eintracht Frankfurt	34.5% 40.4%	25.1%	+175 +158 +169 +155	1 5	-0.97639-0.98067	-0.90562
10/14/2022 06:30 PM	Hoffenheim Schalke 04	42.3% 32.8%	24.9%	+105 +256 +105 +250	3 0	-0.74265-0.75724	-0.86079
10/09/2022 05:30 PM	Union Berlin VfB Stuttgart	38.3% 35.0%	26.7%	+182 +191 +175 +175	1 0	-1.03617-1.06025	-0.96024
10/09/2022 03:30 PM	Freiburg Hertha BSC	41.1% 33.1%	25.8%	+130 +221 +130 +215	2 2	-1.28428-1.26908	-1.35325
10/09/2022 01:30 PM	FC Koln Borussia Monchengladbach	21.4% 57.4%	21.2%	+250 +110 +250 +110	2 5	-0.76735-0.76669	-0.55549
10/08/2022 04:30 PM	Bayern Munich Dortmund	52.6% 25.1%	22.4%	-131 +350 -140 +321	2 2	-1.57939-1.52860	-1.49790
10/08/2022 01:30 PM	Wolfsburg Augsburg	30.0% 44.2%	25.8%	+155 +188 +153 +190	1 1	-1.27755-1.26787	-1.35526
10/08/2022 01:30 PM	Eintracht Frankfurt VfL Bochum	48.3% 28.0%	23.7%	-105 +292 -115 +295	0 3	-1.39018-1.41412	-1.27389
10/08/2022 01:30 PM	RB Leipzig Mainz 05	42.9% 31.5%	25.5%	+123 +230 +120 +215	1 1	-1.32388-1.34170	-1.36504
10/08/2022 01:30 PM	Schalke 04 Bayer 04 Leverkusen	9.1% 76.9%	14.0%	+640 -229 +630 -240	0 4	-0.38201-0.38764	-0.26325
10/07/2022 06:30 PM	Werder Bremen Hoffenheim	20.9% 57.9%	21.2%	+262 -103 +255 -105	2 1	-1.31658-1.31602	-1.56600
10/02/2022 03:30 PM	Augsburg Schalke 04	27.4% 48.4%	24.2%	+310 -109 +290 -110	3 2	-1.43919-1.40080	-1.29580

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	2	1-0-1 (0.750)	0	-0.71816
Sportsbooks	2	1-0-1 (0.750)	0	-0.71803
DRatings	2	1-0-1 (0.750)	0	-0.84148	-0.12332 -0.12346

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.