German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
VfB Stuttgart
Hertha BSC		34.0%
40.6%		25.3%
+146
+221
+140
+215
0
2		-1.18712-1.19112-0.90032
Augsburg
VfL Bochum		22.4%
55.0%		22.6%
+259
+129
+256
+125
2
0		-1.29627-1.30689-1.49781
Dortmund
Bayern Munich		9.7%
76.3%		13.9%
+712
-305
+700
-325
1
3		-0.31050-0.31652-0.27004
Union Berlin
RB Leipzig		8.0%
78.5%		13.6%
+560
-156
+512
-170
2
1		-1.90099-1.85368-2.53099
Hoffenheim
Eintracht Frankfurt		24.8%
53.1%		22.1%
+198
+138
+180
+145
2
2		-1.36340-1.34531-1.50801
Borussia Monchengladbach
Freiburg		20.8%
57.3%		21.8%
+325
-118
+310
-120
3
3		-1.42192-1.41535-1.52221
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
SpVgg Greuther Furth		71.5%
12.2%		16.3%
-322
+964
-315
+870
4
1		-0.28910-0.31408-0.33598
Mainz 05
Wolfsburg		24.2%
51.9%		23.9%
+190
+150
+205
+143
0
5		-0.94636-0.91672-0.65595
RB Leipzig
Bayer 04 Leverkusen		33.2%
41.3%		25.4%
+194
+160
+180
+156
1
0		-1.09542-1.07067-1.10175
Eintracht Frankfurt
Union Berlin		38.0%
36.1%		25.9%
+301
+105
+280
+100
0
2		-0.73653-0.74087-1.01791
SpVgg Greuther Furth
Hoffenheim		8.6%
78.2%		13.2%
+1400
-461
+1250
-520
0
0		-2.06507-2.03646-2.02692
Bayern Munich
Arminia Bielefeld		83.1%
5.6%		11.2%
-575
+1713
-600
+1500
3
0		-0.17605-0.20089-0.18485
FC Koln
Borussia Monchengladbach		24.6%
52.8%		22.5%
+242
+116
+250
+102
3
1		-1.24462-1.29913-1.40149
Wolfsburg
Dortmund		13.5%
69.0%		17.5%
+465
-166
+525
-180
1
6		-0.49451-0.46421-0.37106
VfL Bochum
Freiburg		14.2%
67.1%		18.6%
+471
-148
+431
-155
0
3		-0.53727-0.54001-0.39903
VfB Stuttgart
Mainz 05		23.7%
53.5%		22.8%
+270
+105
+290
-104
0
0		-1.31617-1.34419-1.47885
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.