German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Hertha BSC
Augsburg
29.5%
45.9%
24.6%
+314
-102
+330
-112
1
0
-1.44168-1.49286-1.22197
Hoffenheim
RB Leipzig
11.7%
72.2%
16.0%
+591
-209
+625
-235
0
3
-0.41189-0.39915-0.32533
Freiburg
Eintracht Frankfurt
27.7%
48.2%
24.1%
+210
+145
+205
+140
2
1
-1.15261-1.15728-1.28392
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
VfL Bochum
55.5%
22.2%
22.2%
-107
+305
-115
+305
0
0
-1.39058-1.39849-1.50409
Union Berlin
Hertha BSC
31.5%
43.0%
25.5%
+135
+263
+135
+260
4
1
-0.86783-0.87498-1.15572
Augsburg
Bayern Munich
2.7%
91.0%
6.3%
+1641
-625
+1800
-700
0
1
-0.17202-0.16079-0.09404
Arminia Bielefeld
Wolfsburg
13.3%
67.2%
19.5%
+458
-142
+440
-145
0
4
-0.55591-0.55741-0.39769
Mainz 05
FC Koln
28.5%
47.2%
24.3%
+170
+175
+175
+169
2
3
-1.04797-1.02374-0.75012
Borussia Monchengladbach
SpVgg Greuther Furth
53.2%
24.4%
22.4%
-133
+380
-141
+380
2
0
-0.57778-0.57265-0.63070
Dortmund
VfB Stuttgart
52.5%
25.1%
22.4%
-105
+295
-113
+305
2
0
-0.68738-0.66095-0.64384
Mainz 05
Augsburg
40.3%
33.5%
26.1%
+130
+230
+122
+237
1
2
-1.22537-1.25959-1.09354
Mainz 05
Borussia Monchengladbach
26.3%
50.0%
23.6%
+206
+143
+205
+140
1
1
-1.28471-1.28258-1.44295
Wolfsburg
Augsburg
43.1%
30.9%
26.0%
+184
+169
+175
+170
0
3
-1.00736-1.02963-1.17399
RB Leipzig
Dortmund
30.9%
44.8%
24.3%
+187
+147
+190
+140
4
1
-1.07479-1.10322-1.17568
SpVgg Greuther Furth
Eintracht Frankfurt
7.8%
79.9%
12.2%
+1000
-299
+800
-300
0
0
-1.77762-1.74681-2.10038
Hertha BSC
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
8.4%
78.5%
13.1%
+620
-212
+600
-234
1
2
-0.40944-0.40428-0.24219
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.