German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated 1 day ago

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Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
04/02/2022 01:30 PM	Bayern Munich Freiburg	67.3% 14.4%	18.4%	-201 +552 -210 +540	4 1	-0.42278-0.42181	-0.39641
04/02/2022 01:30 PM	VfL Bochum Hoffenheim	16.3% 64.7%	19.1%	+575 -204 +540 -200	2 1	-1.93378-1.89719	-1.81659
04/02/2022 01:30 PM	VfB Stuttgart Arminia Bielefeld	37.8% 34.8%	27.4%	+130 +250 +125 +237	1 1	-1.22991-1.24786	-1.29612
04/01/2022 06:30 PM	FC Koln Union Berlin	16.7% 63.8%	19.5%	+250 +133 +235 +130	0 1	-0.86365-0.87309	-0.44970
03/20/2022 06:30 PM	Dortmund FC Koln	66.2% 15.7%	18.1%	-103 +265 -110 +263	1 1	-1.41717-1.43439	-1.71125
03/20/2022 04:19 PM	Bayer 04 Leverkusen Wolfsburg	33.7% 39.8%	26.5%	+130 +220 +120 +220	2 0	-0.86147-0.83605	-1.08764
03/20/2022 02:30 PM	Eintracht Frankfurt RB Leipzig	12.5% 71.3%	16.2%	+675 -235 +705 -270	0 0	-1.66654-1.67804	-1.82078
03/19/2022 05:30 PM	Union Berlin Bayern Munich	4.0% 87.4%	8.6%	+2169 -245 +2200 -700	0 4	-0.18567-0.15977	-0.13505
03/19/2022 02:30 PM	Augsburg VfB Stuttgart	19.3% 59.7%	21.0%	+385 -120 +325 -115	2 3	-0.62429-0.65917	-0.51503
03/19/2022 02:30 PM	Arminia Bielefeld Mainz 05	20.1% 56.8%	23.1%	+600 -190 +640 -190	0 4	-0.44785-0.46119	-0.56616
03/19/2022 02:30 PM	Hoffenheim Hertha BSC	36.3% 38.1%	25.6%	+105 +258 -105 +300	0 3	-1.30519-1.40932	-0.96553
03/19/2022 02:30 PM	Freiburg SpVgg Greuther Furth	56.7% 21.2%	22.0%	-135 +410 -145 +375	0 0	-1.39143-1.43734	-1.51254
03/16/2022 05:30 PM	Dortmund Mainz 05	57.9% 20.7%	21.3%	+135 +205 +132 +260	1 0	-0.88892-0.83204	-0.54581
03/13/2022 06:30 PM	RB Leipzig SpVgg Greuther Furth	76.3% 9.4%	14.4%	-278 +900 -310 +900	6 1	-0.32278-0.30915	-0.27109
03/13/2022 04:30 PM	Arminia Bielefeld Dortmund	6.2% 81.8%	11.9%	+891 -280 +825 -320	0 1	-0.31848-0.31938	-0.20047
03/13/2022 04:30 PM	VfL Bochum Eintracht Frankfurt	14.0% 69.2%	16.8%	+541 -168 +530 -175	1 2	-0.48778-0.49024	-0.36857

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.