German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated 1 day ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
03/13/2022 02:30 PM	FC Koln Bayer 04 Leverkusen	8.6% 77.9%	13.5%	+394 -144 +388 -155	1 0	-1.61702-1.63204	-2.45225
03/12/2022 05:30 PM	Hertha BSC Borussia Monchengladbach	14.1% 68.4%	17.5%	+510 -190 +495 -190	0 2	-0.45645-0.45607	-0.37986
03/12/2022 02:30 PM	VfB Stuttgart Union Berlin	21.7% 55.9%	22.4%	+280 +115 +255 +110	1 1	-1.25218-1.27447	-1.49754
03/12/2022 02:30 PM	Wolfsburg Freiburg	29.3% 45.0%	25.6%	+290 +108 +290 +108	2 3	-0.74570-0.74345	-0.79822
03/12/2022 02:30 PM	Bayern Munich Hoffenheim	73.4% 11.2%	15.4%	-213 +519 -185 +486	1 1	-1.76650-1.72839	-1.87074
03/06/2022 04:30 PM	Hoffenheim FC Koln	43.2% 32.3%	24.5%	+139 +205 +145 +190	1 0	-0.88416-0.92490	-0.83991
03/05/2022 05:30 PM	Borussia Monchengladbach VfB Stuttgart	42.6% 32.5%	24.8%	+157 +184 +137 +190	2 3	-1.06111-1.10830	-1.12267
03/05/2022 02:30 PM	Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bayern Munich	7.5% 80.0%	12.5%	+618 -255 +575 -240	1 1	-1.82263-1.79108	-2.07920
03/05/2022 02:30 PM	Freiburg RB Leipzig	12.4% 70.2%	17.4%	+580 -190 +542 -175	1 1	-1.51072-1.49197	-1.74646
03/05/2022 02:30 PM	Union Berlin Wolfsburg	20.1% 57.6%	22.3%	+271 +130 +255 +124	0 1	-0.84959-0.83716	-0.55149
03/05/2022 02:30 PM	Eintracht Frankfurt Hertha BSC	38.4% 36.7%	24.9%	+122 +237 +120 +230	4 1	-0.81554-0.82926	-0.95732
03/05/2022 02:30 PM	SpVgg Greuther Furth VfL Bochum	16.9% 63.8%	19.2%	+400 -130 +377 -130	1 2	-0.60194-0.61469	-0.44870
03/04/2022 07:30 PM	Augsburg Arminia Bielefeld	25.2% 49.5%	25.3%	+210 +155 +195 +150	1 0	-1.15827-1.12298	-1.37845
02/27/2022 04:30 PM	Dortmund Augsburg	67.6% 14.5%	17.9%	-111 +320 -115 +295	1 1	-1.39090-1.39477	-1.71970
02/27/2022 02:30 PM	RB Leipzig VfL Bochum	65.5% 15.6%	18.9%	-130 +365 -140 +385	1 0	-0.60342-0.57478	-0.42373
02/26/2022 05:30 PM	Bayern Munich Eintracht Frankfurt	72.8% 11.8%	15.4%	-205 +511 -214 +500	1 0	-0.41908-0.42312	-0.31767

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.