German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated 1 day ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
02/26/2022 02:30 PM	Arminia Bielefeld Bayer 04 Leverkusen	8.6% 76.3%	15.1%	+825 -295 +675 -268	0 3	-0.32802-0.36376	-0.27090
02/26/2022 02:30 PM	Mainz 05 Union Berlin	21.8% 55.4%	22.8%	+190 +170 +180 +168	1 3	-1.02538-1.01857	-0.58980
02/26/2022 02:30 PM	Wolfsburg Borussia Monchengladbach	24.8% 52.0%	23.3%	+270 +116 +275 +102	2 2	-1.28175-1.30944	-1.45878
02/26/2022 02:30 PM	Hertha BSC Freiburg	17.7% 62.0%	20.3%	+723 -240 +639 -210	0 3	-0.36818-0.40492	-0.47783
02/25/2022 07:30 PM	VfB Stuttgart Hoffenheim	19.0% 60.5%	20.5%	+485 -173 +465 -182	1 2	-0.47842-0.48636	-0.50182
02/20/2022 06:30 PM	RB Leipzig Hertha BSC	60.1% 19.0%	20.9%	-182 +555 -200 +550	6 1	-0.45463-0.45215	-0.50909
02/20/2022 04:30 PM	Borussia Monchengladbach Dortmund	16.1% 65.4%	18.5%	+325 -112 +315 -123	0 6	-0.64556-0.63966	-0.42457
02/20/2022 02:30 PM	SpVgg Greuther Furth Bayern Munich	2.0% 93.1%	4.9%	+2800 -1250 +3000 -1400	1 4	-0.10830-0.11279	-0.07175
02/19/2022 05:30 PM	Eintracht Frankfurt FC Koln	45.5% 30.9%	23.5%	+205 +143 +190 +142	0 1	-0.90644-0.92659	-1.17283
02/19/2022 02:30 PM	Hoffenheim Wolfsburg	22.9% 54.3%	22.8%	+148 +220 +145 +195	2 1	-0.90409-0.93080	-1.47447
02/19/2022 02:30 PM	VfL Bochum VfB Stuttgart	21.8% 56.5%	21.8%	+271 +110 +260 +116	1 1	-1.26284-1.25801	-1.52413
02/19/2022 02:30 PM	Freiburg Augsburg	45.9% 28.9%	25.2%	+137 +245 +135 +219	2 1	-0.86793-0.88702	-0.77881
02/19/2022 02:30 PM	Union Berlin Arminia Bielefeld	38.3% 33.6%	28.0%	+150 +210 +143 +205	0 1	-1.16587-1.15233	-1.09029
02/18/2022 07:30 PM	Bayer 04 Leverkusen Mainz 05	48.7% 27.0%	24.3%	+135 +205 +121 +207	2 3	-1.14583-1.16902	-1.30874
02/13/2022 04:30 PM	Arminia Bielefeld Hoffenheim	21.4% 60.8%	17.8%	+565 -205 +625 -225	0 2	-0.42768-0.40983	-0.49802
02/13/2022 02:30 PM	Dortmund Union Berlin	47.1% 29.7%	23.1%	+112 +266 +105 +265	3 0	-0.77014-0.75664	-0.75220

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.