German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
VfB Stuttgart
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
19.6%
66.0%
14.5%
+750
-262
+850
-270
2
4
-0.34497-0.33175-0.41594
Wolfsburg
Eintracht Frankfurt
32.2%
43.9%
23.9%
+265
+120
+240
+120
2
0
-1.31211-1.26986-1.13283
Augsburg
Borussia Monchengladbach
18.3%
69.1%
12.6%
+475
-175
+455
-169
2
3
-0.48396-0.50602-0.36894
Mainz 05
Freiburg
24.9%
54.9%
20.2%
+275
+110
+257
+110
1
1
-1.26217-1.28349-1.60097
Bayern Munich
VfL Bochum
79.3%
13.1%
7.6%
-465
+1342
-450
+1060
2
4
-2.69119-2.49811-2.03149
FC Koln
RB Leipzig
13.1%
79.0%
7.9%
+641
-224
+630
-250
1
3
-0.38575-0.38459-0.23513
SpVgg Greuther Furth
Wolfsburg
15.2%
74.5%
10.3%
+535
-160
+550
-170
1
4
-0.51760-0.50173-0.29391
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Dortmund
26.6%
53.1%
20.4%
+260
-100
+260
-105
5
2
-1.29612-1.32013-1.32490
RB Leipzig
Bayern Munich
18.9%
67.4%
13.7%
+600
-228
+575
-250
2
3
-0.38009-0.38365-0.39463
Eintracht Frankfurt
VfB Stuttgart
37.4%
37.5%
25.1%
+199
+151
+186
+150
3
2
-1.11529-1.08957-0.98369
Hoffenheim
Mainz 05
35.8%
38.3%
25.8%
+168
+172
+170
+168
0
2
-1.03493-1.02443-0.95902
Union Berlin
Augsburg
39.5%
34.4%
26.2%
+165
+185
+163
+185
0
2
-1.07546-1.08907-1.06828
Borussia Monchengladbach
Arminia Bielefeld
46.4%
29.2%
24.3%
+110
+277
+115
+269
1
1
-1.26919-1.26401-1.41284
Freiburg
FC Koln
41.9%
33.3%
24.9%
+185
+162
+195
+152
0
1
-0.97732-0.94554-1.09994
VfL Bochum
Hertha BSC
28.0%
50.7%
21.3%
+215
+135
+225
+140
1
1
-1.28107-1.25250-1.54524
Bayern Munich
Hertha BSC
75.6%
15.0%
9.4%
-509
+1300
-575
+1375
4
1
-0.20670-0.20039-0.28032
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.