German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Wolfsburg
RB Leipzig		21.7%
61.1%		17.2%
+562
-180
+540
-188
0
2		-0.46796-0.47257-0.49274
FC Koln
VfL Bochum		30.2%
47.3%		22.5%
+125
+229
+130
+213
2
2		-1.29248-1.28363-1.49330
Augsburg
Bayer 04 Leverkusen		15.6%
73.5%		10.9%
+660
-229
+615
-240
1
5		-0.38502-0.39693-0.30753
Union Berlin
Borussia Monchengladbach		25.2%
55.1%		19.7%
+300
+104
+276
+105
2
1		-1.40564-1.36000-1.37797
VfB Stuttgart
Freiburg		24.9%
55.2%		19.9%
+362
-113
+355
-115
0
2		-0.65759-0.66142-0.59377
Dortmund
Hoffenheim		44.5%
32.0%		23.4%
-104
+262
-105
+250
3
2		-0.69431-0.70550-0.80916
Mainz 05
SpVgg Greuther Furth		42.6%
32.7%		24.7%
-110
+350
-115
+380
1
2		-1.52537-1.58939-1.11825
Arminia Bielefeld
Eintracht Frankfurt		20.9%
62.9%		16.2%
+456
-140
+430
-136
2
0		-1.73824-1.70024-1.56643
Eintracht Frankfurt
Augsburg		44.6%
32.0%		23.3%
+164
+185
+138
+210
1
1		-1.25769-1.23870-1.45509
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Borussia Monchengladbach		33.9%
41.1%		25.0%
+120
+228
+130
+221
2
1		-0.80096-0.84234-1.08164
Hertha BSC
Wolfsburg		22.9%
59.2%		17.9%
+333
-101
+340
-105
0
0		-1.26969-1.26727-1.71931
Hoffenheim
Union Berlin		32.4%
42.8%		24.8%
+150
+205
+145
+195
1
2		-1.13355-1.12224-0.84873
RB Leipzig
VfB Stuttgart		53.6%
26.0%		20.4%
-163
+509
-160
+485
2
0		-0.50134-0.51529-0.62276
VfL Bochum
Mainz 05		27.4%
51.4%		21.2%
+500
-150
+465
-150
0
1		-0.53690-0.55701-0.66561
Bayern Munich
FC Koln		80.2%
12.8%		7.1%
-232
+562
-255
+585
4
0		-0.38188-0.36691-0.22111
Freiburg
Dortmund		20.9%
63.5%		15.6%
+565
-216
+550
-230
1
5		-0.40708-0.40758-0.45422
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.