German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Wolfsburg
VfL Bochum		43.5%
31.8%		24.6%
+130
+240
+132
+240
0
1		-1.25082-1.25155-1.14467
Dortmund
Eintracht Frankfurt		43.4%
33.2%		23.4%
-124
+345
-125
+320
3
2		-0.60486-0.63051-0.83372
Mainz 05
RB Leipzig		15.7%
73.3%		11.0%
+385
-135
+365
-132
1
4		-0.58756-0.61002-0.31012
Union Berlin
Bayer 04 Leverkusen		22.1%
60.1%		17.7%
+367
-125
+342
-130
2
2		-1.39634-1.40772-1.72918
Arminia Bielefeld
Freiburg		20.7%
61.0%		18.3%
+415
-130
+400
-115
2
2		-1.34746-1.33302-1.70007
Augsburg
Hoffenheim		21.2%
63.1%		15.6%
+540
-180
+520
-195
1
3		-0.46294-0.45754-0.45967
VfB Stuttgart
SpVgg Greuther Furth		42.7%
32.9%		24.5%
+115
+250
+116
+260
0
0		-1.28866-1.26848-1.40735
Borussia Monchengladbach
Bayern Munich		12.9%
79.6%		7.4%
+848
-318
+750
-330
2
1		-2.27089-2.18418-2.04469
VfB Stuttgart
FC Koln		34.6%
40.5%		24.9%
+312
-113
+310
-120
0
1		-0.65566-0.64596-0.90330
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Freiburg		36.7%
36.4%		26.9%
+176
+160
+165
+159
1
2		-0.97620-0.99282-1.01126
Dortmund
Hertha BSC		53.7%
26.4%		19.9%
-162
+435
-175
+410
2
3		-1.69991-1.67788-1.32995
Arminia Bielefeld
RB Leipzig		12.5%
77.9%		9.7%
+1450
-475
+1400
-455
2
0		-2.76892-2.74638-2.08128
Mainz 05
Eintracht Frankfurt		25.1%
56.5%		18.4%
+180
+160
+185
+150
0
1		-0.98663-0.96029-0.57068
Borussia Monchengladbach
Hoffenheim		34.4%
40.8%		24.8%
+265
+102
+255
-105
1
1		-1.41079-1.43873-1.39465
Union Berlin
VfL Bochum		37.2%
36.4%		26.4%
+110
+270
+110
+265
1
0		-0.77762-0.77718-0.98996
Augsburg
SpVgg Greuther Furth		35.7%
38.4%		25.8%
+115
+247
+112
+245
0
0		-1.30137-1.30926-1.35336
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.