German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated 1 day ago

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Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
12/17/2021 07:30 PM	Wolfsburg Bayern Munich	12.1% 80.4%	7.5%	+1601 -500 +1250 -525	0 4	-0.18704-0.21498	-0.21788
12/15/2021 07:30 PM	SpVgg Greuther Furth Dortmund	9.8% 85.3%	4.9%	+2400 -900 +2500 -900	0 3	-0.14000-0.14310	-0.15852
12/15/2021 07:30 PM	Hoffenheim Bayer 04 Leverkusen	24.1% 57.3%	18.6%	+270 +104 +285 -107	2 2	-1.37769-1.39352	-1.68325
12/15/2021 07:30 PM	Freiburg Union Berlin	32.6% 41.5%	25.9%	+204 +164 +200 +160	0 0	-1.18319-1.18221	-1.35077
12/15/2021 07:30 PM	RB Leipzig Augsburg	61.9% 21.5%	16.7%	-225 +654 -242 +650	1 1	-1.63887-1.63327	-1.79192
12/15/2021 05:30 PM	Eintracht Frankfurt Borussia Monchengladbach	28.4% 51.2%	20.4%	+238 +117 +235 +112	3 2	-1.23753-1.25218	-1.25973
12/14/2021 07:30 PM	FC Koln Wolfsburg	20.2% 65.0%	14.8%	+235 +122 +230 +120	3 2	-1.22516-1.23629	-1.60152
12/14/2021 07:30 PM	Hertha BSC Mainz 05	30.0% 46.8%	23.2%	+340 -108 +325 -105	0 4	-0.68949-0.70981	-0.75916
12/14/2021 07:30 PM	VfL Bochum Arminia Bielefeld	31.0% 43.5%	25.5%	+235 +125 +235 +125	0 2	-0.84323-0.84735	-0.83177
12/14/2021 05:30 PM	Bayern Munich VfB Stuttgart	74.9% 15.4%	9.7%	-316 +894 -340 +825	5 0	-0.28328-0.30162	-0.28898
12/12/2021 04:30 PM	Bayer 04 Leverkusen Eintracht Frankfurt	37.1% 37.5%	25.4%	+130 +225 +133 +215	2 5	-1.18846-1.17154	-0.98008
12/12/2021 02:30 PM	Union Berlin SpVgg Greuther Furth	47.4% 29.4%	23.1%	-105 +310 -110 +325	0 1	-1.43704-1.48316	-1.22288
12/11/2021 05:30 PM	VfB Stuttgart Wolfsburg	23.2% 58.3%	18.5%	+315 +105 +310 +105	2 0	-1.43117-1.43818	-1.45891
12/11/2021 02:30 PM	Mainz 05 Bayern Munich	8.0% 87.9%	4.1%	+1200 -420 +1125 -465	1 2	-0.23403-0.24119	-0.12862
12/11/2021 02:30 PM	Borussia Monchengladbach RB Leipzig	22.9% 59.7%	17.4%	+323 -113 +321 -115	1 4	-0.65697-0.65160	-0.51534
12/11/2021 02:30 PM	Hoffenheim Freiburg	29.8% 46.7%	23.4%	+230 +132 +225 +120	2 1	-1.20956-1.22166	-1.20972

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.